Model

Use cases · Corporates

Corporate treasury: 20 ways to use Ora

Cash, hedges and buybacks: rates and dollar ETFs, own-stock levels and counterparty checks. Each example is a complete, runnable request with the real answers it returned (42 requests, captured 2026-10-31), what they mean and, where it fits, the action it would send.

Run withAnswers were captured on ora-fin-0.1.1. Another model changes the request JSON and the Playground link; run it there to see its answers.

Rule functions and facts used by this player (51)

sma 13 offset 8 ref 5 atr 4 max 4 lowest 4 log 3 sqrt 3 std 3 rsi 3 avg 3 swinglow 2 ema 2 zscore 2 adx 2 days_to_earnings 2 highest 2 macd 1 swinghigh 1 roc 1 between 1 crossup 1 stochd 1 stochk 1 bblower 1 mean 1 rma 1 abs 1 atr_pct 1 highestbars 1 bbupper 1 diminus 1 diplus 1 marubozu 1 three_white_soldiers 1 days_since_earnings 1 next_report_bmo 1 days_to_ex_div 1 div_ttm 1 last_div_amount 1 next_div_amount 1 raised_last 1 tr 1 percentrank 1 willr 1 cut_last 1 miss_eps_last 1 three_black_crows 1 hl2 1 obv 1 ohlc4 1

Examples 1–10 of 20 · page 1 of 2

Corporate treasury · example 1

Treasury: is long duration (TLT) in a downtrend before we term out debt?

Before issuing long-dated debt, the treasury team reads the long-bond ETF: trend, momentum and the odds of further weakness.

ora-fin-0.1.1TLT6 questions

StateTLT
Questions6 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actionsnone

State

{"symbol":"TLT"} The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`below_200d`	English → rule	Is the stock below its 200-day moving average?
`sma200_up`	rule	`sma(C, 200) > ref(sma(C, 200), -20)` The 200-day average is rising
`macd`	English → rule	Is MACD above zero?
`lh_ll`	English → rule	Is the stock making lower swing highs and lower swing lows?
`down_week`	forecast	Will the stock be lower in a week? Lower in a week
`drop5`	forecast	Will it drop at least 5% at some point in the next month? A 5% drawdown within a month

Answers

Question	Answer	Reading
`below_200d` Is the stock below its 200-day moving average compiled to `C < sma(C, 200)`	0.8873	true
`sma200_up` The 200-day average is rising	0.0537	false
`macd` Is MACD above zero compiled to `macd(C) > 0`	0.8818	true
`lh_ll` Is the stock making lower swing highs and lower swing lows compiled to `(swinghigh(5, 1) < swinghigh(5, 2)) and (swinglow(5, 1) < swinglow(5, 2))`	0.662	true
`down_week` Lower in a week	0.504	50% · close to even
`drop5` A 5% drawdown within a month	0.164	16% · unlikely

What it means

For TLT on the session of 2026-10-30: True now: Is the stock below its 200-day moving average; Is MACD above zero; Is the stock making lower swing highs and lower swing lows. Not true: The 200-day average is rising. Forecasts: Lower in a week 50%; A 5% drawdown within a month 16%.

Long bonds in a downtrend mean rising long rates; the team weighs that against the issuance calendar rather than trying to time the bottom.

Request JSON

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "TLT"
  },
  "questions": {
    "below_200d": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Is the stock below its 200-day moving average?"
    },
    "sma200_up": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "sma(C, 200) > ref(sma(C, 200), -20)"
    },
    "macd": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Is MACD above zero?"
    },
    "lh_ll": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Is the stock making lower swing highs and lower swing lows?"
    },
    "down_week": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will the stock be lower in a week?"
    },
    "drop5": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will it drop at least 5% at some point in the next month?"
    }
  }
}

Response JSON (TLT, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "below_200d": {
      "yes_no": 0.8873,
      "rule": "C < sma(C, 200)",
      "basis": "comparison"
    },
    "sma200_up": {
      "yes_no": 0.0537,
      "rule": "sma(C, 200) > ref(sma(C, 200), -20)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "macd": {
      "yes_no": 0.8818,
      "rule": "macd(C) > 0",
      "basis": "pattern"
    },
    "lh_ll": {
      "yes_no": 0.662,
      "rule": "(swinghigh(5, 1) < swinghigh(5, 2)) and (swinglow(5, 1) < swinglow(5, 2))",
      "basis": "pattern"
    },
    "down_week": {
      "yes_no": 0.504
    },
    "drop5": {
      "yes_no": 0.164
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "TLT",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  }
}

macd ref sma swinghigh swinglow

Try it in the Playground

Corporate treasury · example 2

Treasury: SHY, IEF and TLT trend side by side

Read the yield curve through three Treasury ETFs at once to see which part of the curve is moving.

ora-fin-0.1.13 symbols, one request each5 questions

State3 symbols
Questions5 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actionsnone

State

{"symbol":"SHY"} then IEF, TLT, one request each. The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`trend`	rule	`C > sma(C, 50)` Above the 50-day average
`ema_up`	rule	`ema(C, 10) > ema(C, 30)` 10-day exponential average above the 30-day
`roc`	rule	`roc(C, 20) > 0` 20-day rate of change positive
`vol_low`	English → rule	Is 20-day historical volatility below 20%?
`up_week`	forecast	Will the stock be higher in a week? Higher in a week

Answers

Symbol	`trend`rule	`ema_up`rule	`roc`rule	`vol_low`rule	`up_week`forecast
`SHY`	0.8971	0.869	0.931	0.9463	0.594
`IEF`	0.8514	0.8245	0.929	0.9463	0.483
`TLT`	0.8482	0.8762	0.934	0.9463	0.561

true false not known for rules; forecasts are odds. Hover a column for its question.

What it means

Session of 2026-10-30, 3 symbols: Above the 50-day average: true for SHY, IEF, TLT of 3. 10-day exponential average above the 30-day: true for SHY, IEF, TLT of 3. 20-day rate of change positive: true for SHY, IEF, TLT of 3. Is 20-day historical volatility below 20%: true for SHY, IEF, TLT of 3. Highest odds for “Higher in a week”: SHY at 59%.

When the short end trends up and the long end does not, the curve is steepening; treasury uses that to choose the tenor of new borrowing.

Request JSON (SHY; the others differ only in the symbol)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "SHY"
  },
  "questions": {
    "trend": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C > sma(C, 50)"
    },
    "ema_up": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "ema(C, 10) > ema(C, 30)"
    },
    "roc": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "roc(C, 20) > 0"
    },
    "vol_low": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Is 20-day historical volatility below 20%?"
    },
    "up_week": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will the stock be higher in a week?"
    }
  }
}

Response JSON (SHY, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "trend": {
      "yes_no": 0.8971,
      "rule": "C > sma(C, 50)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "ema_up": {
      "yes_no": 0.869,
      "rule": "ema(C, 10) > ema(C, 30)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "roc": {
      "yes_no": 0.931,
      "rule": "roc(C, 20) > 0",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "vol_low": {
      "yes_no": 0.9463,
      "rule": "std(log(C / C[-1]), 20) * sqrt(20 / 19) * sqrt(252) < 0.2",
      "basis": "pattern"
    },
    "up_week": {
      "yes_no": 0.594
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "SHY",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  }
}

ema log offset roc sma sqrt std

Try it in the Playground

Corporate treasury · example 3

Treasury: is our cash parking (SGOV, BIL) behaving like cash?

Check that the T-bill ETFs used for excess cash have tiny volatility and no unusual drawdown.

ora-fin-0.1.12 symbols, one request each5 questions1 action

State2 symbols
Questions5 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actions1 rule · dry run

State

{"symbol":"SGOV"} then BIL, one request each. The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`atr_low`	English → rule	Is the 14-day ATR less than 2% of the price?
`hv_low`	English → rule	Is 20-day historical volatility below 20%?
`drawdown`	rule	`C < 0.99 * max(H, 63)` More than 1% below its three-month high
`zshock`	rule	`zscore(C / C[-1] - 1, 20) < -2` A two-sigma down day
`stable`	rule	`between(C / sma(C, 20), 0.995, 1.005)` Within half a percent of its 20-day average

Answers

Symbol	`atr_low`rule	`hv_low`rule	`drawdown`rule	`zshock`rule	`stable`rule	Fired
`SGOV`	0.9463	0.9463	0.0537	0.0543	0.95	none
`BIL`	0.9463	0.9463	0.0537	0.0537	0.95	none

true false not known for rules; forecasts are odds. Hover a column for its question.

Actions

Rules on the answers decide what to send. Each symbol runs its own request, so each one can fire.

drawdown >= 0.6 or zshock >= 0.6→Emailtreasury-ops

SGOV 0 of 1 fired · dry run, nothing sent

BIL 0 of 1 fired · dry run, nothing sent

What it means

Session of 2026-10-30, 2 symbols: Is the 14-day ATR less than 2% of the price: true for SGOV, BIL of 2. Is 20-day historical volatility below 20%: true for SGOV, BIL of 2. More than 1% below its three-month high: true for none of 2. A two-sigma down day: true for none of 2. cash_alert fired for none.

These should almost always be false; an alert means the cash vehicle is not behaving like cash and treasury reviews the allocation.

Request JSON (SGOV; the others differ only in the symbol)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "SGOV"
  },
  "questions": {
    "atr_low": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Is the 14-day ATR less than 2% of the price?"
    },
    "hv_low": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Is 20-day historical volatility below 20%?"
    },
    "drawdown": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C < 0.99 * max(H, 63)"
    },
    "zshock": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "zscore(C / C[-1] - 1, 20) < -2"
    },
    "stable": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "between(C / sma(C, 20), 0.995, 1.005)"
    }
  },
  "actions": [
    {
      "id": "cash_alert",
      "when": "drawdown >= 0.6 or zshock >= 0.6",
      "do": "email",
      "connection": "treasury-ops",
      "subject": "{{symbol}}: cash vehicle moved unusually",
      "message": "{{symbol}} ({{as_of}}): 1% off its three-month high {{drawdown|pct}}, return shock {{zshock|pct}}. Review the money-market allocation."
    }
  ],
  "dry_run": true
}

Response JSON (SGOV, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "atr_low": {
      "yes_no": 0.9463,
      "rule": "atr(14) / C < 0.02",
      "basis": "pattern"
    },
    "hv_low": {
      "yes_no": 0.9463,
      "rule": "std(log(C / C[-1]), 20) * sqrt(20 / 19) * sqrt(252) < 0.2",
      "basis": "pattern"
    },
    "drawdown": {
      "yes_no": 0.0537,
      "rule": "C < 0.99 * max(H, 63)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "zshock": {
      "yes_no": 0.0543,
      "rule": "zscore(C / C[-1] - 1, 20) < -2",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "stable": {
      "yes_no": 0.95,
      "rule": "between(C / sma(C, 20), 0.995, 1.005)",
      "basis": "rule"
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "SGOV",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  },
  "actions": [
    {
      "id": "cash_alert",
      "fired": false,
      "status": "skipped"
    }
  ]
}

atr between log max offset sma sqrt std zscore

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Corporate treasury · example 4

Treasury: is the dollar (UUP) strengthening before we hedge euro receivables?

A dollar-strength read through the dollar index ETF helps decide whether to layer in hedges now or wait.

ora-fin-0.1.1UUP6 questions2 actions

StateUUP
Questions6 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actions2 rules · dry run

State

{"symbol":"UUP"} The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`trend`	English → rule	Is the stock above its 50-day moving average?
`cross`	rule	`crossup(C, sma(C, 50))` Crossed above its 50-day today
`adx`	rule	`adx(14) > 25` Trending (ADX above 25)
`stoch`	rule	`stochk(14) > stochd(14)` Stochastic %K above %D
`up_week`	forecast	Will the stock be higher in a week? Higher in a week
`rally5`	forecast	Will it rally at least 5% at some point in the next month? A 5% rally within a month

Answers

Question	Answer	Reading
`trend` Is the stock above its 50-day moving average compiled to `C > sma(C, 50)`	0.8725	true
`cross` Crossed above its 50-day today	0.05	false
`adx` Trending (ADX above 25)	0.7393	true
`stoch` Stochastic %K above %D	0.1848	false
`up_week` Higher in a week	0.561	56% · close to even
`rally5` A 5% rally within a month	0.014	1% · unlikely

Actions

Rules on the answers decide what to send.

trend >= 0.6 and up_week >= 0.55→Webhooktms

else→Slacktreasury

What each action would send 1 of 2 fired · dry run, nothing sent

hedge_nowwould send (dry run)Webhook → tms

{
  "event": "fx_hedge_review",
  "instrument": "UUP",
  "as_of": "2026-10-30",
  "dollar_uptrend": 0.8725,
  "p_up_week": 0.561,
  "action": "layer_next_tranche"
}

waitrule false: skipped

What it means

For UUP on the session of 2026-10-30: True now: Is the stock above its 50-day moving average; Trending (ADX above 25). Not true: Crossed above its 50-day today; Stochastic %K above %D. Forecasts: Higher in a week 56%; A 5% rally within a month 1%. Fired: hedge_now (Webhook → tms).

Treasury follows its hedge policy either way; the signal only changes the timing of the next tranche within the policy window.

Request JSON

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "UUP"
  },
  "questions": {
    "trend": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Is the stock above its 50-day moving average?"
    },
    "cross": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "crossup(C, sma(C, 50))"
    },
    "adx": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "adx(14) > 25"
    },
    "stoch": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "stochk(14) > stochd(14)"
    },
    "up_week": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will the stock be higher in a week?"
    },
    "rally5": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will it rally at least 5% at some point in the next month?"
    }
  },
  "actions": [
    {
      "id": "hedge_now",
      "when": "trend >= 0.6 and up_week >= 0.55",
      "do": "webhook",
      "connection": "tms",
      "body": {
        "event": "fx_hedge_review",
        "instrument": "{{symbol}}",
        "as_of": "{{as_of}}",
        "dollar_uptrend": "{{trend}}",
        "p_up_week": "{{up_week}}",
        "action": "layer_next_tranche"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "wait",
      "when": "else",
      "do": "slack",
      "connection": "treasury",
      "message": "{{symbol}} ({{as_of}}): no confirmed dollar uptrend (above 50-day {{trend|pct}}, higher in a week {{up_week|pct}}). Keep the hedge schedule."
    }
  ],
  "dry_run": true
}

Response JSON (UUP, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "trend": {
      "yes_no": 0.8725,
      "rule": "C > sma(C, 50)",
      "basis": "comparison"
    },
    "cross": {
      "yes_no": 0.05,
      "rule": "crossup(C, sma(C, 50))",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "adx": {
      "yes_no": 0.7393,
      "rule": "adx(14) > 25",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "stoch": {
      "yes_no": 0.1848,
      "rule": "stochk(14) > stochd(14)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "up_week": {
      "yes_no": 0.561
    },
    "rally5": {
      "yes_no": 0.014
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "UUP",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  },
  "actions": [
    {
      "id": "hedge_now",
      "fired": true,
      "status": "dry_run",
      "do": "webhook",
      "connection": "tms",
      "preview": {
        "body": {
          "event": "fx_hedge_review",
          "instrument": "UUP",
          "as_of": "2026-10-30",
          "dollar_uptrend": 0.8725,
          "p_up_week": 0.561,
          "action": "layer_next_tranche"
        }
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "wait",
      "fired": false,
      "status": "skipped"
    }
  ]
}

adx crossup sma stochd stochk

Try it in the Playground

Corporate treasury · example 5

Treasury at AAPL: is this a good week for the buyback program?

Treasury teams with discretion in a repurchase plan prefer buying on weakness: pullbacks, oversold readings and support.

ora-fin-0.1.1AAPL6 questions2 actions

StateAAPL
Questions6 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actions2 rules · dry run

State

{"symbol":"AAPL"} The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`pullback`	English → rule	Has the stock pulled back at least 5% from its 20-day high?
`rsi40`	English → rule	Is RSI below 40?
`near_sup`	English → rule	Is the stock within 2% above its last swing low (support)?
`below_band`	rule	`C < bblower(C, 20, 2)` Closed under the lower Bollinger band
`earn_soon`	rule	`days_to_earnings <= 10` Reports earnings within 10 days
`drop5`	forecast	Will it drop at least 5% at some point in the next month? A 5% drawdown within a month

Answers

Question	Answer	Reading
`pullback` Has the stock pulled back at least 5% from its 20-day high compiled to `C <= max(H, 20) * 0.95`	0.1693	false
`rsi40` Is RSI below 40 compiled to `rsi(C, 14) < 40`	0.0634	false
`near_sup` Is the stock within 2% above its last swing low (support) compiled to `(C >= swinglow(5, 1)) and (C <= swinglow(5, 1) * 1.02)`	0.5691	on the line (true)
`below_band` Closed under the lower Bollinger band	0.0874	false
`earn_soon` Reports earnings within 10 days	0.9392	true
`drop5` A 5% drawdown within a month	0.365	37% · unlikely

Actions

Rules on the answers decide what to send.

(pullback >= 0.6 or rsi40 >= 0.6) and earn_soon < 0.4→Webhookbuyback-broker

else→Emailtreasury-ops

What each action would send 1 of 2 fired · dry run, nothing sent

acceleraterule false: skipped

standardwould send (dry run)Email → treasury-ops

{
  "subject": "AAPL buyback: standard pace",
  "text": "AAPL (2026-10-30): no pullback signal (17%) or earnings within 10 days (94%). Standard daily pace."
}

What it means

For AAPL on the session of 2026-10-30: True now: Reports earnings within 10 days. Not true: Has the stock pulled back at least 5% from its 20-day high; Is RSI below 40; Closed under the lower Bollinger band. On the line: Is the stock within 2% above its last swing low (support). Forecasts: A 5% drawdown within a month 37%. Fired: standard (Email → treasury-ops).

Inside a pre-set plan, the signal moves purchases within an agreed grid; the earnings check keeps the desk out of blackout-adjacent windows.

Request JSON

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "AAPL"
  },
  "questions": {
    "pullback": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Has the stock pulled back at least 5% from its 20-day high?"
    },
    "rsi40": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Is RSI below 40?"
    },
    "near_sup": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Is the stock within 2% above its last swing low (support)?"
    },
    "below_band": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C < bblower(C, 20, 2)"
    },
    "earn_soon": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "days_to_earnings <= 10"
    },
    "drop5": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will it drop at least 5% at some point in the next month?"
    }
  },
  "actions": [
    {
      "id": "accelerate",
      "when": "(pullback >= 0.6 or rsi40 >= 0.6) and earn_soon < 0.4",
      "do": "webhook",
      "connection": "buyback-broker",
      "body": {
        "program": "10b5-1",
        "ticker": "{{symbol}}",
        "as_of": "{{as_of}}",
        "instruction": "use_upper_grid",
        "p_pullback": "{{pullback}}",
        "p_rsi_under_40": "{{rsi40}}"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "standard",
      "when": "else",
      "do": "email",
      "connection": "treasury-ops",
      "subject": "{{symbol}} buyback: standard pace",
      "message": "{{symbol}} ({{as_of}}): no pullback signal ({{pullback|pct}}) or earnings within 10 days ({{earn_soon|pct}}). Standard daily pace."
    }
  ],
  "dry_run": true
}

Response JSON (AAPL, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "pullback": {
      "yes_no": 0.1693,
      "rule": "C <= max(H, 20) * 0.95",
      "basis": "pattern"
    },
    "rsi40": {
      "yes_no": 0.0634,
      "rule": "rsi(C, 14) < 40",
      "basis": "comparison"
    },
    "near_sup": {
      "yes_no": 0.5691,
      "rule": "(C >= swinglow(5, 1)) and (C <= swinglow(5, 1) * 1.02)",
      "basis": "pattern"
    },
    "below_band": {
      "yes_no": 0.0874,
      "rule": "C < bblower(C, 20, 2)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "earn_soon": {
      "yes_no": 0.9392,
      "rule": "days_to_earnings <= 10",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "drop5": {
      "yes_no": 0.365
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "AAPL",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  },
  "actions": [
    {
      "id": "accelerate",
      "fired": false,
      "status": "skipped"
    },
    {
      "id": "standard",
      "fired": true,
      "status": "dry_run",
      "do": "email",
      "connection": "treasury-ops",
      "preview": {
        "subject": "AAPL buyback: standard pace",
        "text": "AAPL (2026-10-30): no pullback signal (17%) or earnings within 10 days (94%). Standard daily pace."
      }
    }
  ]
}

bblower days_to_earnings max rsi swinglow

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Corporate treasury · example 6

Treasury: are credit markets (HYG, LQD) open for a new bond?

Before going to market with a bond deal, check that high-yield and investment-grade ETFs are calm and trending.

ora-fin-0.1.12 symbols, one request each6 questions

State2 symbols
Questions6 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actionsnone

State

{"symbol":"HYG"} then LQD, one request each. The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`trend`	rule	`C > sma(C, 50)` Above the 50-day average
`breakdown`	rule	`C < lowest(L, 20)` Closed under the 20-day low
`atr`	rule	`atr(14) > 1.2 * ref(atr(14), -10)` ATR up 20% in two weeks
`vol_spike`	rule	`V > 2 * ref(avg(V, 20), -1)` Volume more than twice the previous 20-day average
`drop5`	forecast	Will it drop at least 5% at some point in the next month? A 5% drawdown within a month
`vol_up`	forecast	Will volatility be higher over the next month? Higher volatility next month

Answers

Symbol	`trend`rule	`breakdown`rule	`atr`rule	`vol_spike`rule	`drop5`forecast	`vol_up`forecast
`HYG`	0.1914	0.0811	0.0777	0.0911	0.009	0.476
`LQD`	0.6552	0.0537	0.0607	0.0597	0.022	0.511

true false not known for rules; forecasts are odds. Hover a column for its question.

What it means

Session of 2026-10-30, 2 symbols: Above the 50-day average: true for LQD of 2. Closed under the 20-day low: true for none of 2. ATR up 20% in two weeks: true for none of 2. Volume more than twice the previous 20-day average: true for none of 2. Highest odds for “A 5% drawdown within a month”: LQD at 2%.

Calm, trending credit ETFs describe an open market; a breakdown with expanding ranges is when bankers suggest waiting for a better window.

Request JSON (HYG; the others differ only in the symbol)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "HYG"
  },
  "questions": {
    "trend": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C > sma(C, 50)"
    },
    "breakdown": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C < lowest(L, 20)"
    },
    "atr": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "atr(14) > 1.2 * ref(atr(14), -10)"
    },
    "vol_spike": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "V > 2 * ref(avg(V, 20), -1)"
    },
    "drop5": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will it drop at least 5% at some point in the next month?"
    },
    "vol_up": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will volatility be higher over the next month?"
    }
  }
}

Response JSON (HYG, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "trend": {
      "yes_no": 0.1914,
      "rule": "C > sma(C, 50)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "breakdown": {
      "yes_no": 0.0811,
      "rule": "C < lowest(L, 20)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "atr": {
      "yes_no": 0.0777,
      "rule": "atr(14) > 1.2 * ref(atr(14), -10)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "vol_spike": {
      "yes_no": 0.0911,
      "rule": "V > 2 * ref(avg(V, 20), -1)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "drop5": {
      "yes_no": 0.009
    },
    "vol_up": {
      "yes_no": 0.476
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "HYG",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  }
}

atr avg lowest ref sma

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Corporate treasury · example 7

Treasury: is TIP outperforming nominal bonds?

Compare inflation-linked bonds with nominal Treasuries to read inflation expectations before pricing supplier contracts.

ora-fin-0.1.12 symbols, one request each5 questions

State2 symbols
Questions5 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actionsnone

State

{"symbol":"TIP"} then IEF, one request each. The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`trend`	English → rule	Is the stock above its 200-day moving average?
`mom`	English → rule	Is the stock up over the last month?
`mean_up`	rule	`C > mean(C, 100)` Above its 100-day average
`rma_up`	rule	`C > rma(C, 14)` Above its 14-day smoothed average
`beat_spy`	forecast	Will it beat SPY over the next month? Beating SPY over a month

Answers

Symbol	`trend`rule	`mom`rule	`mean_up`rule	`rma_up`rule	`beat_spy`forecast
`TIP`	0.3682	0.9132	0.6331	0.8978	0.284
`IEF`	0.1576	0.9203	0.4095	0.9089	0.281

true false not known for rules; forecasts are odds. Hover a column for its question.

What it means

Session of 2026-10-30, 2 symbols: Is the stock above its 200-day moving average: true for none of 2. Is the stock up over the last month: true for TIP, IEF of 2. Above its 100-day average: true for TIP of 2. Above its 14-day smoothed average: true for TIP, IEF of 2. Highest odds for “Beating SPY over a month”: TIP at 28%.

If TIP trends while IEF does not, the market is pricing more inflation; procurement hears about it before negotiating escalators.

Request JSON (TIP; the others differ only in the symbol)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "TIP"
  },
  "questions": {
    "trend": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Is the stock above its 200-day moving average?"
    },
    "mom": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Is the stock up over the last month?"
    },
    "mean_up": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C > mean(C, 100)"
    },
    "rma_up": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C > rma(C, 14)"
    },
    "beat_spy": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will it beat SPY over the next month?"
    }
  }
}

Response JSON (TIP, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "trend": {
      "yes_no": 0.3682,
      "rule": "C > sma(C, 200)",
      "basis": "comparison"
    },
    "mom": {
      "yes_no": 0.9132,
      "rule": "C > C[-21]",
      "basis": "pattern"
    },
    "mean_up": {
      "yes_no": 0.6331,
      "rule": "C > mean(C, 100)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "rma_up": {
      "yes_no": 0.8978,
      "rule": "C > rma(C, 14)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "beat_spy": {
      "yes_no": 0.284
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "TIP",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  }
}

mean offset rma sma

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Corporate treasury · example 8

A pre-open treasury dashboard: rates, credit and the dollar

Every weekday before the open, one line per instrument for the treasury channel.

ora-fin-0.1.15 symbols, one request each3 questions1 actionworkflow · Mon–Fri at 08:30 ET

ScheduleMon–Fri at 08:30 ET
State5 symbols
Questions3 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actions1 rule · dry run

State

{"symbol":"SHY"} then TLT, LQD, HYG, UUP, one request each. The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`trend`	rule	`C > sma(C, 50)` Above the 50-day average
`big`	rule	`abs(C - C[-1]) > 1.5 * atr(14)` Today's move was bigger than 1.5 ATR
`up_week`	forecast	Will the stock be higher in a week? Higher in a week

Answers

Symbol	`trend`rule	`big`rule	`up_week`forecast	Fired
`SHY`	0.8971	0.1331	0.594	none
`TLT`	0.8482	0.0601	0.561	none
`LQD`	0.6552	0.0545	0.547	none
`HYG`	0.1914	0.0613	0.499	none
`UUP`	0.8725	0.0581	0.561	none

true false not known for rules; forecasts are odds. Hover a column for its question.

Actions

Rules on the answers decide what to send. Each symbol runs its own request, so each one can fire.

big >= 0.6→Slacktreasury

SHY 0 of 1 fired · dry run, nothing sent

TLT 0 of 1 fired · dry run, nothing sent

LQD 0 of 1 fired · dry run, nothing sent

HYG 0 of 1 fired · dry run, nothing sent

UUP 0 of 1 fired · dry run, nothing sent

What it means

Session of 2026-10-30, 5 symbols: Above the 50-day average: true for SHY, TLT, LQD, UUP of 5. Today's move was bigger than 1.5 ATR: true for none of 5. Highest odds for “Higher in a week”: SHY at 59%. line fired for none.

Only outsized moves post, so the channel highlights the instruments that matter that morning.

As a scheduled workflow (Mon–Fri at 08:30 ET)

Create it under Workflows in the console: it runs these questions for every symbol on the schedule and fires the actions per symbol. The answers above are what one run returned.

{
  "name": "A pre-open treasury dashboard: rates, credit and the dollar",
  "symbols": "SHY TLT LQD HYG UUP",
  "days": [
    1,
    2,
    3,
    4,
    5
  ],
  "at_time": "08:30",
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "questions": {
    "trend": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C > sma(C, 50)"
    },
    "big": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "abs(C - C[-1]) > 1.5 * atr(14)"
    },
    "up_week": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will the stock be higher in a week?"
    }
  },
  "actions": [
    {
      "id": "line",
      "when": "big >= 0.6",
      "do": "slack",
      "connection": "treasury",
      "message": "{{symbol}} ({{as_of}}): moved over 1.5 ATR yesterday. Above 50-day {{trend|pct}}, higher in a week {{up_week|pct}}."
    }
  ]
}

Request JSON (SHY; the others differ only in the symbol)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "SHY"
  },
  "questions": {
    "trend": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C > sma(C, 50)"
    },
    "big": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "abs(C - C[-1]) > 1.5 * atr(14)"
    },
    "up_week": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will the stock be higher in a week?"
    }
  },
  "actions": [
    {
      "id": "line",
      "when": "big >= 0.6",
      "do": "slack",
      "connection": "treasury",
      "message": "{{symbol}} ({{as_of}}): moved over 1.5 ATR yesterday. Above 50-day {{trend|pct}}, higher in a week {{up_week|pct}}."
    }
  ],
  "dry_run": true
}

Response JSON (SHY, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "trend": {
      "yes_no": 0.8971,
      "rule": "C > sma(C, 50)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "big": {
      "yes_no": 0.1331,
      "rule": "abs(C - C[-1]) > 1.5 * atr(14)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "up_week": {
      "yes_no": 0.594
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "SHY",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  },
  "actions": [
    {
      "id": "line",
      "fired": false,
      "status": "skipped"
    }
  ]
}

abs atr offset sma

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Corporate treasury · example 9

Treasury at MSFT: equity-comp hedge check

When hedging stock-based compensation exposure, read the stock's volatility regime and trend.

ora-fin-0.1.1MSFT6 questions

StateMSFT
Questions6 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actionsnone

State

{"symbol":"MSFT"} The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`hv40`	rule	`std(log(C / C[-1]), 20) * sqrt(252) > 0.4` Annualized 20-day volatility above 40%
`vol5`	English → rule	Is 5-day volatility higher than 20-day volatility?
`atr`	rule	`atr_pct(14) > 2` ATR above 2% of price
`trend`	rule	`sma(C, 50) > sma(C, 200)` 50-day above the 200-day
`vol_up`	forecast	Will volatility be higher over the next month? Higher volatility next month
`big5`	forecast	Will there be a big move in either direction in the next 5 days? A big move either way in 5 days

Answers

Question	Answer	Reading
`hv40` Annualized 20-day volatility above 40%	0.1008	false
`vol5` Is 5-day volatility higher than 20-day volatility compiled to `std(log(C / C[-1]), 5) * sqrt(5 / 4) > std(log(C / C[-1]), 20) * sqrt(20 / 19)`	0.3915	false
`atr` ATR above 2% of price	0.8399	true
`trend` 50-day above the 200-day	0.9369	true
`vol_up` Higher volatility next month	0.673	67% · likely
`big5` A big move either way in 5 days	0.397	40% · unlikely

What it means

For MSFT on the session of 2026-10-30: True now: ATR above 2% of price; 50-day above the 200-day. Not true: Annualized 20-day volatility above 40%; Is 5-day volatility higher than 20-day volatility. Forecasts: Higher volatility next month 67%; A big move either way in 5 days 40%.

Rising volatility raises hedge costs; treasury uses the regime read to choose between collars and plain forwards.

Request JSON

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "MSFT"
  },
  "questions": {
    "hv40": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "std(log(C / C[-1]), 20) * sqrt(252) > 0.4"
    },
    "vol5": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Is 5-day volatility higher than 20-day volatility?"
    },
    "atr": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "atr_pct(14) > 2"
    },
    "trend": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "sma(C, 50) > sma(C, 200)"
    },
    "vol_up": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will volatility be higher over the next month?"
    },
    "big5": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will there be a big move in either direction in the next 5 days?"
    }
  }
}

Response JSON (MSFT, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "hv40": {
      "yes_no": 0.1008,
      "rule": "std(log(C / C[-1]), 20) * sqrt(252) > 0.4",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "vol5": {
      "yes_no": 0.3915,
      "rule": "std(log(C / C[-1]), 5) * sqrt(5 / 4) > std(log(C / C[-1]), 20) * sqrt(20 / 19)",
      "basis": "pattern"
    },
    "atr": {
      "yes_no": 0.8399,
      "rule": "atr_pct(14) > 2",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "trend": {
      "yes_no": 0.9369,
      "rule": "sma(C, 50) > sma(C, 200)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "vol_up": {
      "yes_no": 0.673
    },
    "big5": {
      "yes_no": 0.397
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "MSFT",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  }
}

atr_pct log offset sma sqrt std

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Corporate treasury · example 10

Treasury: counterparty bank stocks under stress?

Watch the listed banks the company deposits with or trades derivatives with: drawdowns, breakdowns and big down days.

ora-fin-0.1.15 symbols, one request each4 questions1 action

State5 symbols
Questions4 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actions1 rule · dry run

State

{"symbol":"JPM"} then BAC, C, WFC, GS, one request each. The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`drawdown`	rule	`C < 0.8 * max(H, 252)` More than 20% off the 52-week high
`breakdown`	rule	`C < lowest(L, 20)` Closed under the 20-day low
`down_vol`	rule	`C < C[-1] and V > 1.5 * ref(avg(V, 20), -1)` Down on heavy volume
`drop10`	forecast	Will it drop at least 10% at some point in the next month? A 10% drawdown within a month

Answers

Symbol	`drawdown`rule	`breakdown`rule	`down_vol`rule	`drop10`forecast	Fired
`JPM`	0.0537	0.1005	0.1978	0.30	none
`BAC`	0.7068	0.2511	0.1184	0.446	`stress`
`C`	0.1573	0.1857	0.5062	0.461	none
`WFC`	0.0651	0.0564	0.0638	0.431	none
`GS`	0.706	0.0885	0.0751	0.515	`stress`

true false not known for rules; forecasts are odds. Hover a column for its question.

Actions

Rules on the answers decide what to send. Each symbol runs its own request, so each one can fire.

drawdown >= 0.6 or (breakdown >= 0.6 and down_vol >= 0.6)→Emailtreasury-risk

JPM 0 of 1 fired · dry run, nothing sent

BAC 1 of 1 fired · dry run, nothing sent

stresswould send (dry run)Email → treasury-risk

{
  "subject": "Counterparty watch: BAC",
  "text": "BAC (2026-10-30): 20% drawdown 71%, 20-day breakdown 25% on volume 12%. 10% drop odds 45%. Review exposure limits."
}

C 0 of 1 fired · dry run, nothing sent

WFC 0 of 1 fired · dry run, nothing sent

GS 1 of 1 fired · dry run, nothing sent

stresswould send (dry run)Email → treasury-risk

{
  "subject": "Counterparty watch: GS",
  "text": "GS (2026-10-30): 20% drawdown 71%, 20-day breakdown 9% on volume 8%. 10% drop odds 52%. Review exposure limits."
}

What it means

Session of 2026-10-30, 5 symbols: More than 20% off the 52-week high: true for BAC, GS of 5. Closed under the 20-day low: true for none of 5. Down on heavy volume: true for none of 5. Highest odds for “A 10% drawdown within a month”: GS at 52%. stress fired for BAC, GS.

Equity stress is an early, imperfect signal for bank counterparties; an alert prompts a review of deposit and derivative limits, not an automatic move.

Request JSON (JPM; the others differ only in the symbol)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "JPM"
  },
  "questions": {
    "drawdown": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C < 0.8 * max(H, 252)"
    },
    "breakdown": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C < lowest(L, 20)"
    },
    "down_vol": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C < C[-1] and V > 1.5 * ref(avg(V, 20), -1)"
    },
    "drop10": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will it drop at least 10% at some point in the next month?"
    }
  },
  "actions": [
    {
      "id": "stress",
      "when": "drawdown >= 0.6 or (breakdown >= 0.6 and down_vol >= 0.6)",
      "do": "email",
      "connection": "treasury-risk",
      "subject": "Counterparty watch: {{symbol}}",
      "message": "{{symbol}} ({{as_of}}): 20% drawdown {{drawdown|pct}}, 20-day breakdown {{breakdown|pct}} on volume {{down_vol|pct}}. 10% drop odds {{drop10|pct}}. Review exposure limits."
    }
  ],
  "dry_run": true
}

Response JSON (JPM, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "drawdown": {
      "yes_no": 0.0537,
      "rule": "C < 0.8 * max(H, 252)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "breakdown": {
      "yes_no": 0.1005,
      "rule": "C < lowest(L, 20)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "down_vol": {
      "yes_no": 0.1978,
      "rule": "C < C[-1] and V > 1.5 * ref(avg(V, 20), -1)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "drop10": {
      "yes_no": 0.3
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "JPM",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  },
  "actions": [
    {
      "id": "stress",
      "fired": false,
      "status": "skipped"
    }
  ]
}

avg lowest max offset ref

Try it in the Playground

Information, not investment advice. Rules answer from the latest completed daily session; forecasts are probabilities. Actions ran as dry runs: nothing was sent. More in Corporates: Investor relations team, CFO office, Bank credit analyst, Financial journalist / media.

Create an account Open the Playground Everything here also lives in the console, next to your keys and usage.

Individuals

Buy side

Sell side

Corporates

Builders

Institutions

Treasury: is long duration (TLT) in a downtrend before we term out debt?

State

Questions

Answers

What it means

Treasury: SHY, IEF and TLT trend side by side

State

Questions

Answers

What it means

Treasury: is our cash parking (SGOV, BIL) behaving like cash?

State

Questions

Answers

Actions

What it means

Treasury: is the dollar (UUP) strengthening before we hedge euro receivables?

State

Questions

Answers

Actions

What it means

Treasury at AAPL: is this a good week for the buyback program?

State

Questions

Answers

Actions

What it means

Treasury: are credit markets (HYG, LQD) open for a new bond?

State

Questions

Answers

What it means

Treasury: is TIP outperforming nominal bonds?

State

Questions

Answers

What it means

A pre-open treasury dashboard: rates, credit and the dollar

State

Questions

Answers

Actions

What it means

Treasury at MSFT: equity-comp hedge check

State

Questions

Answers

What it means

Treasury: counterparty bank stocks under stress?

State

Questions

Answers

Actions

What it means