Model

VC / growth investor: 20 ways to use Ora

Public growth comps, IPO windows and the health of listed portfolio companies. Each example is a complete, runnable request with the real answers it returned (41 requests, captured 2026-10-31), what they mean and, where it fits, the action it would send.

Run withAnswers were captured on ora-fin-0.1.1. Another model changes the request JSON and the Playground link; run it there to see its answers.

Rule functions and facts used by this player (48)

sma 16 max 9 offset 8 log 4 roc 4 sqrt 4 std 4 ema 3 ref 3 atr 3 revenue_growth_yoy 2 beat_eps_last 2 beat_revenue_last 2 beats_last4 1 days_to_earnings 1 crossup 1 adx 1 swinghigh 1 swinglow 1 linreg 1 cum 1 highestbars 1 obv 1 sign 1 sum 1 abs 1 eps_surprise_pct 1 last_earnings_gap 1 last_earnings_move 1 pre_earnings_close 1 inverted_hammer 1 macd 1 macdsignal 1 morning_star 1 stochd 1 stochk 1 three_white_soldiers 1 inside_bar 1 lowest 1 min 1 spinning_top 1 tweezer_bottom 1 avg 1 hl2 1 mean 1 ohlc4 1 rec 1 zscore 1

Examples 1–10 of 20 · page 1 of 2

VC / growth investor · example 1

Growth risk appetite: is ARKK in an uptrend?

Speculative growth funds are a read on how public investors price unprofitable growth; check ARKK's trend and volatility.

ora-fin-0.1.1ARKK6 questions

StateARKK
Questions6 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actionsnone

State

{"symbol":"ARKK"} The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`trend`	English → rule	Is the stock above its 200-day moving average?
`golden`	rule	`sma(C, 50) > sma(C, 200)` 50-day above the 200-day
`mom`	rule	`roc(C, 20) > 5` Up more than 5% in 20 sessions
`hv`	rule	`std(log(C / C[-1]), 20) * sqrt(252) > 0.4` Annualized 20-day volatility above 40%
`rally10`	forecast	Will it rally at least 10% at some point in the next month? A 10% rally within a month
`drop10`	forecast	Will it drop at least 10% at some point in the next month? A 10% drawdown within a month

Answers

Question	Answer	Reading
`trend` Is the stock above its 200-day moving average compiled to `C > sma(C, 200)`	0.8132	true
`golden` 50-day above the 200-day	0.9463	true
`mom` Up more than 5% in 20 sessions	0.0701	false
`hv` Annualized 20-day volatility above 40%	0.7844	true
`rally10` A 10% rally within a month	0.681	68% · likely
`drop10` A 10% drawdown within a month	0.61	61% · likely

What it means

For ARKK on the session of 2026-10-30: True now: Is the stock above its 200-day moving average; 50-day above the 200-day; Annualized 20-day volatility above 40%. Not true: Up more than 5% in 20 sessions. Forecasts: A 10% rally within a month 68%; A 10% drawdown within a month 61%.

Strong growth funds usually mean easier late-stage rounds and IPOs; weakness tends to show up in private marks a few quarters later.

Request JSON

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "ARKK"
  },
  "questions": {
    "trend": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Is the stock above its 200-day moving average?"
    },
    "golden": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "sma(C, 50) > sma(C, 200)"
    },
    "mom": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "roc(C, 20) > 5"
    },
    "hv": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "std(log(C / C[-1]), 20) * sqrt(252) > 0.4"
    },
    "rally10": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will it rally at least 10% at some point in the next month?"
    },
    "drop10": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will it drop at least 10% at some point in the next month?"
    }
  }
}

Response JSON (ARKK, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "trend": {
      "yes_no": 0.8132,
      "rule": "C > sma(C, 200)",
      "basis": "comparison"
    },
    "golden": {
      "yes_no": 0.9463,
      "rule": "sma(C, 50) > sma(C, 200)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "mom": {
      "yes_no": 0.0701,
      "rule": "roc(C, 20) > 5",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "hv": {
      "yes_no": 0.7844,
      "rule": "std(log(C / C[-1]), 20) * sqrt(252) > 0.4",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "rally10": {
      "yes_no": 0.681
    },
    "drop10": {
      "yes_no": 0.61
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "ARKK",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  }
}

log offset roc sma sqrt std

Try it in the Playground

VC / growth investor · example 2

IPO window for a tech portfolio company: QQQ and IWM

Before telling a portfolio company to prepare an S-1, read large-cap tech and small caps together.

ora-fin-0.1.12 symbols, one request each4 questions

State2 symbols
Questions4 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actionsnone

State

{"symbol":"QQQ"} then IWM, one request each. The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`trend`	rule	`C > ema(C, 20) and ema(C, 20) > sma(C, 50) and sma(C, 50) > sma(C, 200)` Stacked averages: close > 20 EMA > 50 > 200
`near_high`	rule	`C >= 0.98 * max(H, 252)` Within 2% of the 52-week high
`calm`	English → rule	Is 20-day historical volatility below 20%?
`vol_calm`	forecast	Will volatility calm down over the next 5 days? Volatility calming over 5 days

Answers

Symbol	`trend`rule	`near_high`rule	`calm`rule	`vol_calm`forecast
`QQQ`	0.0619	0.0537	0.1956	0.563
`IWM`	0.1218	0.0689	0.9387	0.522

true false not known for rules; forecasts are odds. Hover a column for its question.

What it means

Session of 2026-10-30, 2 symbols: Stacked averages: close > 20 EMA > 50 > 200: true for none of 2. Within 2% of the 52-week high: true for none of 2. Is 20-day historical volatility below 20%: true for IWM of 2. Highest odds for “Volatility calming over 5 days”: QQQ at 56%.

Both indices trending near highs with calm volatility is the classic open window; small caps lagging narrows it.

Request JSON (QQQ; the others differ only in the symbol)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "QQQ"
  },
  "questions": {
    "trend": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C > ema(C, 20) and ema(C, 20) > sma(C, 50) and sma(C, 50) > sma(C, 200)"
    },
    "near_high": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C >= 0.98 * max(H, 252)"
    },
    "calm": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Is 20-day historical volatility below 20%?"
    },
    "vol_calm": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will volatility calm down over the next 5 days?"
    }
  }
}

Response JSON (QQQ, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "trend": {
      "yes_no": 0.0619,
      "rule": "C > ema(C, 20) and ema(C, 20) > sma(C, 50) and sma(C, 50) > sma(C, 200)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "near_high": {
      "yes_no": 0.0537,
      "rule": "C >= 0.98 * max(H, 252)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "calm": {
      "yes_no": 0.1956,
      "rule": "std(log(C / C[-1]), 20) * sqrt(20 / 19) * sqrt(252) < 0.2",
      "basis": "pattern"
    },
    "vol_calm": {
      "yes_no": 0.563
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "QQQ",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  }
}

ema log max offset sma sqrt std

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VC / growth investor · example 3

Public SaaS comps for a Series D: CRM, NOW, WDAY, INTU

Check how listed software leaders trade before setting a growth-round valuation.

ora-fin-0.1.14 symbols, one request each4 questions

State4 symbols
Questions4 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actionsnone

State

{"symbol":"CRM"} then NOW, WDAY, INTU, one request each. The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`dd`	rule	`C < 0.8 * max(H, 252)` More than 20% off the 52-week high
`mom`	rule	`roc(C, 63) > 10 and C >= 0.95 * max(H, 63)` Up more than 10% in a quarter, near the high
`rev`	English → rule	Did revenue grow more than 5% year over year?
`trend`	English → rule	Is the stock above its 200-day moving average?

Answers

Symbol	`dd`rule	`mom`rule	`rev`rule	`trend`rule
`CRM`	0.1862	0.0638	0.9463	0.9107
`NOW`	0.9463	0.0537	0.9463	0.1728
`WDAY`	0.2316	0.0711	0.9463	0.9463
`INTU`	0.9463	0.2815	0.9463	0.2453

true false not known for rules; forecasts are odds. Hover a column for its question.

What it means

Session of 2026-10-30, 4 symbols: More than 20% off the 52-week high: true for NOW, INTU of 4. Up more than 10% in a quarter, near the high: true for none of 4. Did revenue grow more than 5% year over year: true for CRM, NOW, WDAY, INTU of 4. Is the stock above its 200-day moving average: true for CRM, WDAY of 4.

Leaders in drawdown compress the multiples a late-stage round can command; leaders at highs support them.

Request JSON (CRM; the others differ only in the symbol)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "CRM"
  },
  "questions": {
    "dd": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C < 0.8 * max(H, 252)"
    },
    "mom": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "roc(C, 63) > 10 and C >= 0.95 * max(H, 63)"
    },
    "rev": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Did revenue grow more than 5% year over year?"
    },
    "trend": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Is the stock above its 200-day moving average?"
    }
  }
}

Response JSON (CRM, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "dd": {
      "yes_no": 0.1862,
      "rule": "C < 0.8 * max(H, 252)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "mom": {
      "yes_no": 0.0638,
      "rule": "roc(C, 63) > 10 and C >= 0.95 * max(H, 63)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "rev": {
      "yes_no": 0.9463,
      "rule": "revenue_growth_yoy > 5",
      "basis": "pattern"
    },
    "trend": {
      "yes_no": 0.9107,
      "rule": "C > sma(C, 200)",
      "basis": "comparison"
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "CRM",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  }
}

max revenue_growth_yoy roc sma

Try it in the Playground

VC / growth investor · example 4

Post-IPO portfolio company: TWLO health check

After the IPO the fund holds stock; review trend, earnings track record and drawdown before the distribution decision.

ora-fin-0.1.1TWLO6 questions2 actions

StateTWLO
Questions6 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actions2 rules · dry run

State

{"symbol":"TWLO"} The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`trend`	English → rule	Is the stock above its 50-day moving average?
`beats`	English → rule	Has the stock beaten EPS estimates in at least 3 of the last 4 quarters?
`rev_growth`	English → rule	Did revenue grow more than 5% year over year?
`dd`	rule	`C < 0.8 * max(H, 252)` More than 20% off the 52-week high
`earn_soon`	English → rule	Is earnings in the next 14 days?
`rally5`	forecast	Will it rally at least 5% at some point in the next month? A 5% rally within a month

Answers

Question	Answer	Reading
`trend` Is the stock above its 50-day moving average compiled to `C > sma(C, 50)`	0.0622	false
`beats` Has the stock beaten EPS estimates in at least 3 of the last 4 quarters compiled to `beats_last4 >= 3`	0.8591	true
`rev_growth` Did revenue grow more than 5% year over year compiled to `revenue_growth_yoy > 5`	0.9463	true
`dd` More than 20% off the 52-week high	0.94	true
`earn_soon` Is earnings in the next 14 days compiled to `days_to_earnings <= 14`	0.0537	false
`rally5` A 5% rally within a month	0.855	86% · likely

Actions

Rules on the answers decide what to send.

trend >= 0.6 and dd < 0.5→Emailpartners

else→Emailpartners

What each action would send 1 of 2 fired · dry run, nothing sent

distributerule false: skipped

holdwould send (dry run)Email → partners

{
  "subject": "TWLO: hold distributions",
  "text": "TWLO (2026-10-30): trend 6%, 20% drawdown 94%. Hold the distribution."
}

What it means

For TWLO on the session of 2026-10-30: True now: Has the stock beaten EPS estimates in at least 3 of the last 4 quarters; Did revenue grow more than 5% year over year; More than 20% off the 52-week high. Not true: Is the stock above its 50-day moving average; Is earnings in the next 14 days. Forecasts: A 5% rally within a month 86%. Fired: hold (Email → partners).

Partners get a distribute-or-hold note with the facts behind it; the decision stays with them.

Request JSON

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "TWLO"
  },
  "questions": {
    "trend": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Is the stock above its 50-day moving average?"
    },
    "beats": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Has the stock beaten EPS estimates in at least 3 of the last 4 quarters?"
    },
    "rev_growth": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Did revenue grow more than 5% year over year?"
    },
    "dd": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C < 0.8 * max(H, 252)"
    },
    "earn_soon": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Is earnings in the next 14 days?"
    },
    "rally5": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will it rally at least 5% at some point in the next month?"
    }
  },
  "actions": [
    {
      "id": "distribute",
      "when": "trend >= 0.6 and dd < 0.5",
      "do": "email",
      "connection": "partners",
      "subject": "{{symbol}}: distribution window check ({{as_of}})",
      "message": "{{symbol}} is above its 50-day ({{trend|pct}}) and not in a 20% drawdown. Report within 14 days: {{earn_soon|pct}}. Consider distributing shares to LPs before the print."
    },
    {
      "id": "hold",
      "when": "else",
      "do": "email",
      "connection": "partners",
      "subject": "{{symbol}}: hold distributions",
      "message": "{{symbol}} ({{as_of}}): trend {{trend|pct}}, 20% drawdown {{dd|pct}}. Hold the distribution."
    }
  ],
  "dry_run": true
}

Response JSON (TWLO, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "trend": {
      "yes_no": 0.0622,
      "rule": "C > sma(C, 50)",
      "basis": "comparison"
    },
    "beats": {
      "yes_no": 0.8591,
      "rule": "beats_last4 >= 3",
      "basis": "pattern"
    },
    "rev_growth": {
      "yes_no": 0.9463,
      "rule": "revenue_growth_yoy > 5",
      "basis": "pattern"
    },
    "dd": {
      "yes_no": 0.94,
      "rule": "C < 0.8 * max(H, 252)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "earn_soon": {
      "yes_no": 0.0537,
      "rule": "days_to_earnings <= 14",
      "basis": "pattern"
    },
    "rally5": {
      "yes_no": 0.855
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "TWLO",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  },
  "actions": [
    {
      "id": "distribute",
      "fired": false,
      "status": "skipped"
    },
    {
      "id": "hold",
      "fired": true,
      "status": "dry_run",
      "do": "email",
      "connection": "partners",
      "preview": {
        "subject": "TWLO: hold distributions",
        "text": "TWLO (2026-10-30): trend 6%, 20% drawdown 94%. Hold the distribution."
      }
    }
  ]
}

beats_last4 days_to_earnings max revenue_growth_yoy sma

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VC / growth investor · example 5

Biotech funding climate: XBI and IBB

Biotech rounds track the listed biotech indices; check their trend and drawdown.

ora-fin-0.1.12 symbols, one request each5 questions

State2 symbols
Questions5 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actionsnone

State

{"symbol":"XBI"} then IBB, one request each. The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`trend`	English → rule	Is the stock above its 200-day moving average?
`dd`	rule	`C < 0.8 * max(H, 252)` More than 20% off the 52-week high
`cross`	rule	`crossup(sma(C, 50), sma(C, 200))` 50-day crossed above the 200-day today
`mom`	English → rule	Is the stock up more than 10% over the last three months?
`beat_spy`	forecast	Will it beat SPY over the next month? Beating SPY over a month

Answers

Symbol	`trend`rule	`dd`rule	`cross`rule	`mom`rule	`beat_spy`forecast
`XBI`	0.9204	0.0537	0.05	0.3103	0.516
`IBB`	0.9463	0.0537	0.05	0.8518	0.474

true false not known for rules; forecasts are odds. Hover a column for its question.

What it means

Session of 2026-10-30, 2 symbols: Is the stock above its 200-day moving average: true for XBI, IBB of 2. More than 20% off the 52-week high: true for none of 2. 50-day crossed above the 200-day today: true for none of 2. Is the stock up more than 10% over the last three months: true for IBB of 2. Highest odds for “Beating SPY over a month”: XBI at 52%.

XBI in an uptrend usually means more crossover rounds and biotech IPOs; a deep drawdown means bridge rounds.

Request JSON (XBI; the others differ only in the symbol)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "XBI"
  },
  "questions": {
    "trend": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Is the stock above its 200-day moving average?"
    },
    "dd": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C < 0.8 * max(H, 252)"
    },
    "cross": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "crossup(sma(C, 50), sma(C, 200))"
    },
    "mom": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Is the stock up more than 10% over the last three months?"
    },
    "beat_spy": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will it beat SPY over the next month?"
    }
  }
}

Response JSON (XBI, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "trend": {
      "yes_no": 0.9204,
      "rule": "C > sma(C, 200)",
      "basis": "comparison"
    },
    "dd": {
      "yes_no": 0.0537,
      "rule": "C < 0.8 * max(H, 252)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "cross": {
      "yes_no": 0.05,
      "rule": "crossup(sma(C, 50), sma(C, 200))",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "mom": {
      "yes_no": 0.3103,
      "rule": "C / C[-63] - 1 > 0.1",
      "basis": "pattern"
    },
    "beat_spy": {
      "yes_no": 0.516
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "XBI",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  }
}

crossup max offset sma

Try it in the Playground

VC / growth investor · example 6

AI infrastructure comps: NVDA, AMD, SMCI, MU

For an AI infrastructure startup, see whether the listed leaders are still trending or rolling over.

ora-fin-0.1.14 symbols, one request each3 questions

State4 symbols
Questions3 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actionsnone

State

{"symbol":"NVDA"} then AMD, SMCI, MU, one request each. The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`trend`	English → rule	Is the stock above its 50-day moving average?
`lh_ll`	English → rule	Is the stock making lower swing highs and lower swing lows?
`adx`	rule	`adx(14) > 25` Trending (ADX above 25)

Answers

Symbol	`trend`rule	`lh_ll`rule	`adx`rule
`NVDA`	0.0746	0.0653	0.0578
`AMD`	0.1909	0.0575	0.1799
`SMCI`	0.128	0.1481	0.0991
`MU`	0.1166	0.2246	0.6891

true false not known for rules; forecasts are odds. Hover a column for its question.

What it means

Session of 2026-10-30, 4 symbols: Is the stock above its 50-day moving average: true for none of 4. Is the stock making lower swing highs and lower swing lows: true for none of 4. Trending (ADX above 25): true for MU of 4.

If the leaders are making lower highs and lows, late-stage AI valuations face pressure from public comps.

Request JSON (NVDA; the others differ only in the symbol)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "NVDA"
  },
  "questions": {
    "trend": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Is the stock above its 50-day moving average?"
    },
    "lh_ll": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Is the stock making lower swing highs and lower swing lows?"
    },
    "adx": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "adx(14) > 25"
    }
  }
}

Response JSON (NVDA, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "trend": {
      "yes_no": 0.0746,
      "rule": "C > sma(C, 50)",
      "basis": "comparison"
    },
    "lh_ll": {
      "yes_no": 0.0653,
      "rule": "(swinghigh(5, 1) < swinghigh(5, 2)) and (swinglow(5, 1) < swinglow(5, 2))",
      "basis": "pattern"
    },
    "adx": {
      "yes_no": 0.0578,
      "rule": "adx(14) > 25",
      "basis": "rule"
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "NVDA",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  }
}

adx sma swinghigh swinglow

Try it in the Playground

VC / growth investor · example 7

Fintech comps: PYPL, GPN, MA, AXP

For a payments startup round, compare listed payments companies on trend and earnings beats.

ora-fin-0.1.14 symbols, one request each3 questions

State4 symbols
Questions3 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actionsnone

State

{"symbol":"PYPL"} then GPN, MA, AXP, one request each. The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`trend`	English → rule	Is the stock above its 200-day moving average?
`beat`	English → rule	Did the stock beat on both EPS and revenue last quarter?
`mom`	rule	`C > C[-63]` Higher than three months ago

Answers

Symbol	`trend`rule	`beat`rule	`mom`rule
`PYPL`	0.9423	0.1409	0.4212
`GPN`	0.9463	0.1409	0.8818
`MA`	0.9463	0.8591	0.9463
`AXP`	0.2571	0.1409	0.1648

true false not known for rules; forecasts are odds. Hover a column for its question.

What it means

Session of 2026-10-30, 4 symbols: Is the stock above its 200-day moving average: true for PYPL, GPN, MA of 4. Did the stock beat on both EPS and revenue last quarter: true for MA of 4. Higher than three months ago: true for GPN, MA of 4.

Payments leaders beating and trending support a premium round; laggards show which business models the market discounts.

Request JSON (PYPL; the others differ only in the symbol)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "PYPL"
  },
  "questions": {
    "trend": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Is the stock above its 200-day moving average?"
    },
    "beat": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Did the stock beat on both EPS and revenue last quarter?"
    },
    "mom": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C > C[-63]"
    }
  }
}

Response JSON (PYPL, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "trend": {
      "yes_no": 0.9423,
      "rule": "C > sma(C, 200)",
      "basis": "comparison"
    },
    "beat": {
      "yes_no": 0.1409,
      "rule": "beat_eps_last > 0.5 and beat_revenue_last > 0.5",
      "basis": "pattern"
    },
    "mom": {
      "yes_no": 0.4212,
      "rule": "C > C[-63]",
      "basis": "rule"
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "PYPL",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  }
}

beat_eps_last beat_revenue_last offset sma

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VC / growth investor · example 8

Climate tech comps: ICLN and TAN

Climate tech rounds track the listed clean energy funds; check trend, drawdown and momentum.

ora-fin-0.1.12 symbols, one request each4 questions

State2 symbols
Questions4 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actionsnone

State

{"symbol":"ICLN"} then TAN, one request each. The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`trend`	English → rule	Is the stock above its 200-day moving average?
`dd`	rule	`C < 0.8 * max(H, 252)` More than 20% off the 52-week high
`lin`	rule	`linreg(C, 60) > ref(linreg(C, 60), -20)` 60-day regression line higher than a month ago
`rally10`	forecast	Will it rally at least 10% at some point in the next month? A 10% rally within a month

Answers

Symbol	`trend`rule	`dd`rule	`lin`rule	`rally10`forecast
`ICLN`	0.0537	0.9463	0.1579	0.622
`TAN`	0.0537	0.9463	0.114	0.701

true false not known for rules; forecasts are odds. Hover a column for its question.

What it means

Session of 2026-10-30, 2 symbols: Is the stock above its 200-day moving average: true for none of 2. More than 20% off the 52-week high: true for ICLN, TAN of 2. 60-day regression line higher than a month ago: true for none of 2. Highest odds for “A 10% rally within a month”: TAN at 70%.

A rising regression line out of a deep drawdown signals a turn; a falling one means the public discount persists.

Request JSON (ICLN; the others differ only in the symbol)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "ICLN"
  },
  "questions": {
    "trend": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Is the stock above its 200-day moving average?"
    },
    "dd": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C < 0.8 * max(H, 252)"
    },
    "lin": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "linreg(C, 60) > ref(linreg(C, 60), -20)"
    },
    "rally10": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will it rally at least 10% at some point in the next month?"
    }
  }
}

Response JSON (ICLN, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "trend": {
      "yes_no": 0.0537,
      "rule": "C > sma(C, 200)",
      "basis": "comparison"
    },
    "dd": {
      "yes_no": 0.9463,
      "rule": "C < 0.8 * max(H, 252)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "lin": {
      "yes_no": 0.1579,
      "rule": "linreg(C, 60) > ref(linreg(C, 60), -20)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "rally10": {
      "yes_no": 0.622
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "ICLN",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  }
}

linreg max ref sma

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VC / growth investor · example 9

Monday growth sentiment digest for the partners meeting

Every Monday, the same three questions for growth, small caps and biotech, posted to the partners channel.

ora-fin-0.1.13 symbols, one request each3 questions1 actionworkflow · Mon at 08:00 ET

ScheduleMon at 08:00 ET
State3 symbols
Questions3 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actions1 rule · dry run

State

{"symbol":"ARKK"} then IWM, XBI, one request each. The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`trend`	English → rule	Is the stock above its 200-day moving average?
`mom`	rule	`roc(C, 20) > 5` Up more than 5% in 20 sessions
`up_week`	forecast	Will the stock be higher in a week? Higher in a week

Answers

Symbol	`trend`rule	`mom`rule	`up_week`forecast	Fired
`ARKK`	0.8132	0.0701	0.505	`post`
`IWM`	0.5564	0.0719	0.526	`post`
`XBI`	0.9204	0.2053	0.539	`post`

true false not known for rules; forecasts are odds. Hover a column for its question.

Actions

Rules on the answers decide what to send. Each symbol runs its own request, so each one can fire.

trend >= 0→Slackpartners

ARKK 1 of 1 fired · dry run, nothing sent

postwould send (dry run)Slack → partners

{
  "text": "ARKK (2026-10-30): above 200-day 81%, up 5% in 20 days 7%, higher in a week 50%."
}

IWM 1 of 1 fired · dry run, nothing sent

postwould send (dry run)Slack → partners

{
  "text": "IWM (2026-10-30): above 200-day 56%, up 5% in 20 days 7%, higher in a week 53%."
}

XBI 1 of 1 fired · dry run, nothing sent

postwould send (dry run)Slack → partners

{
  "text": "XBI (2026-10-30): above 200-day 92%, up 5% in 20 days 21%, higher in a week 54%."
}

What it means

Session of 2026-10-30, 3 symbols: Is the stock above its 200-day moving average: true for ARKK, XBI of 3. Up more than 5% in 20 sessions: true for none of 3. Highest odds for “Higher in a week”: XBI at 54%. post fired for ARKK, IWM, XBI.

A standing Monday read keeps the partners meeting grounded in the same public-market facts each week.

As a scheduled workflow (Mon at 08:00 ET)

Create it under Workflows in the console: it runs these questions for every symbol on the schedule and fires the actions per symbol. The answers above are what one run returned.

{
  "name": "Monday growth sentiment digest for the partners meeting",
  "symbols": "ARKK IWM XBI",
  "days": [
    1
  ],
  "at_time": "08:00",
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "questions": {
    "trend": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Is the stock above its 200-day moving average?"
    },
    "mom": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "roc(C, 20) > 5"
    },
    "up_week": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will the stock be higher in a week?"
    }
  },
  "actions": [
    {
      "id": "post",
      "when": "trend >= 0",
      "do": "slack",
      "connection": "partners",
      "message": "{{symbol}} ({{as_of}}): above 200-day {{trend|pct}}, up 5% in 20 days {{mom|pct}}, higher in a week {{up_week|pct}}."
    }
  ]
}

Request JSON (ARKK; the others differ only in the symbol)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "ARKK"
  },
  "questions": {
    "trend": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Is the stock above its 200-day moving average?"
    },
    "mom": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "roc(C, 20) > 5"
    },
    "up_week": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will the stock be higher in a week?"
    }
  },
  "actions": [
    {
      "id": "post",
      "when": "trend >= 0",
      "do": "slack",
      "connection": "partners",
      "message": "{{symbol}} ({{as_of}}): above 200-day {{trend|pct}}, up 5% in 20 days {{mom|pct}}, higher in a week {{up_week|pct}}."
    }
  ],
  "dry_run": true
}

Response JSON (ARKK, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "trend": {
      "yes_no": 0.8132,
      "rule": "C > sma(C, 200)",
      "basis": "comparison"
    },
    "mom": {
      "yes_no": 0.0701,
      "rule": "roc(C, 20) > 5",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "up_week": {
      "yes_no": 0.505
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "ARKK",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  },
  "actions": [
    {
      "id": "post",
      "fired": true,
      "status": "dry_run",
      "do": "slack",
      "connection": "partners",
      "preview": {
        "text": "ARKK (2026-10-30): above 200-day 81%, up 5% in 20 days 7%, higher in a week 50%."
      }
    }
  ]
}

roc sma

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VC / growth investor · example 10

Crypto portfolio exposure: IBIT and MSTR

A fund with crypto-native startups watches spot bitcoin and the most bitcoin-heavy listed company.

ora-fin-0.1.12 symbols, one request each4 questions1 action

State2 symbols
Questions4 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actions1 rule · dry run

State

{"symbol":"IBIT"} then MSTR, one request each. The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`trend`	English → rule	Is the stock above its 50-day moving average?
`hv`	rule	`std(log(C / C[-1]), 20) * sqrt(252) > 0.4` Annualized 20-day volatility above 40%
`ext`	English → rule	Is price extended more than 2 ATR above its 20-day average?
`drop10`	forecast	Will it drop at least 10% at some point in the next month? A 10% drawdown within a month

Answers

Symbol	`trend`rule	`hv`rule	`ext`rule	`drop10`forecast	Fired
`IBIT`	0.1649	0.1239	0.0618	0.566	none
`MSTR`	0.1883	0.9288	0.0576	0.777	`risk`

true false not known for rules; forecasts are odds. Hover a column for its question.

Actions

Rules on the answers decide what to send. Each symbol runs its own request, so each one can fire.

drop10 >= 0.5 and hv >= 0.6→Webhookteams-portfolio

IBIT 0 of 1 fired · dry run, nothing sent

MSTR 1 of 1 fired · dry run, nothing sent

riskwould send (dry run)Webhook → teams-portfolio

{
  "text": "MSTR (2026-10-30): realized vol above 40% and 78% odds of a 10% drop within a month. Check runway for crypto-exposed portfolio companies."
}

What it means

Session of 2026-10-30, 2 symbols: Is the stock above its 50-day moving average: true for none of 2. Annualized 20-day volatility above 40%: true for MSTR of 2. Is price extended more than 2 ATR above its 20-day average: true for none of 2. Highest odds for “A 10% drawdown within a month”: MSTR at 78%. risk fired for MSTR.

High volatility with high drawdown odds is a cue to check the runway of portfolio companies that hold crypto treasuries.

Request JSON (IBIT; the others differ only in the symbol)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "IBIT"
  },
  "questions": {
    "trend": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Is the stock above its 50-day moving average?"
    },
    "hv": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "std(log(C / C[-1]), 20) * sqrt(252) > 0.4"
    },
    "ext": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Is price extended more than 2 ATR above its 20-day average?"
    },
    "drop10": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will it drop at least 10% at some point in the next month?"
    }
  },
  "actions": [
    {
      "id": "risk",
      "when": "drop10 >= 0.5 and hv >= 0.6",
      "do": "webhook",
      "connection": "teams-portfolio",
      "body": {
        "text": "{{symbol}} ({{as_of}}): realized vol above 40% and {{drop10|pct}} odds of a 10% drop within a month. Check runway for crypto-exposed portfolio companies."
      }
    }
  ],
  "dry_run": true
}

Response JSON (IBIT, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "trend": {
      "yes_no": 0.1649,
      "rule": "C > sma(C, 50)",
      "basis": "comparison"
    },
    "hv": {
      "yes_no": 0.1239,
      "rule": "std(log(C / C[-1]), 20) * sqrt(252) > 0.4",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "ext": {
      "yes_no": 0.0618,
      "rule": "C - sma(C, 20) > 2 * atr(14)",
      "basis": "pattern"
    },
    "drop10": {
      "yes_no": 0.566
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "IBIT",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  },
  "actions": [
    {
      "id": "risk",
      "fired": false,
      "status": "skipped"
    }
  ]
}

atr log offset sma sqrt std

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Information, not investment advice. Rules answer from the latest completed daily session; forecasts are probabilities. Actions ran as dry runs: nothing was sent. More in Buy side: Financial advisor / RIA, Wealth manager, Family office, Hedge fund PM, Quant researcher, Portfolio manager (long-only), Risk manager, Private equity, Fund-of-funds allocator.

Create an account Open the Playground Everything here also lives in the console, next to your keys and usage.

Individuals

Buy side

Sell side

Corporates

Builders

Institutions

Growth risk appetite: is ARKK in an uptrend?

State

Questions

Answers

What it means

IPO window for a tech portfolio company: QQQ and IWM

State

Questions

Answers

What it means

Public SaaS comps for a Series D: CRM, NOW, WDAY, INTU

State

Questions

Answers

What it means

Post-IPO portfolio company: TWLO health check

State

Questions

Answers

Actions

What it means

Biotech funding climate: XBI and IBB

State

Questions

Answers

What it means

AI infrastructure comps: NVDA, AMD, SMCI, MU

State

Questions

Answers

What it means

Fintech comps: PYPL, GPN, MA, AXP

State

Questions

Answers

What it means

Climate tech comps: ICLN and TAN

State

Questions

Answers

What it means

Monday growth sentiment digest for the partners meeting

State

Questions

Answers

Actions

What it means

Crypto portfolio exposure: IBIT and MSTR

State

Questions

Answers

Actions

What it means