Model

Use cases · Individuals

Commodities trader: 20 ways to use Ora

Gold, silver, oil, gas, metals and agriculture through their exchange-traded funds and producers. Each example is a complete, runnable request with the real answers it returned (35 requests, captured 2026-10-31), what they mean and, where it fits, the action it would send.

Run withAnswers were captured on ora-fin-0.1.1. Another model changes the request JSON and the Playground link; run it there to see its answers.

Rule functions and facts used by this player (49)

sma 12 ref 5 roc 4 avg 3 highest 3 offset 3 swinglow 3 rsi 3 lowest 3 ema 2 atr_pct 2 atr 2 max 2 swinghigh 2 min 2 adx 1 log 1 sqrt 1 std 1 tr 1 obv 1 crossup 1 beat_eps_last 1 div_yield_ttm 1 years_of_growth 1 dragonfly_doji 1 hammer 1 inverted_hammer 1 macd 1 macdsignal 1 inside_bar 1 abs 1 beats_last4 1 days_to_earnings 1 last_earnings_gap 1 last_earnings_move 1 cut_last 1 engulfing_bull 1 harami_bull 1 pays_dividend 1 bblower 1 percentrank 1 stochd 1 linreg 1 rma 1 wma 1 engulfing_bear 1 three_black_crows 1 eps_growth_yoy 1

Examples 1–10 of 20 · page 1 of 2

Commodities trader · example 1

Is gold (GLD) in a long-term uptrend?

Read gold's trend through GLD: averages, slope and the odds of a 5% rally or drawdown within a month.

ora-fin-0.1.1GLD5 questions

StateGLD
Questions5 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actionsnone

State

{"symbol":"GLD"} The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`above_200d`	English → rule	Is the stock above its 200-day moving average?
`sma200_up`	rule	`sma(C, 200) > ref(sma(C, 200), -20)` The 200-day average is rising
`stacked`	rule	`C > ema(C, 20) and ema(C, 20) > sma(C, 50) and sma(C, 50) > sma(C, 200)` Stacked averages: close > 20 EMA > 50 > 200
`rally5`	forecast	Will it rally at least 5% at some point in the next month? A 5% rally within a month
`drop5`	forecast	Will it drop at least 5% at some point in the next month? A 5% drawdown within a month

Answers

Question	Answer	Reading
`above_200d` Is the stock above its 200-day moving average compiled to `C > sma(C, 200)`	0.0537	false
`sma200_up` The 200-day average is rising	0.085	false
`stacked` Stacked averages: close > 20 EMA > 50 > 200	0.0537	false
`rally5` A 5% rally within a month	0.503	50% · close to even
`drop5` A 5% drawdown within a month	0.435	44% · close to even

What it means

For GLD on the session of 2026-10-30: Not true: Is the stock above its 200-day moving average; The 200-day average is rising; Stacked averages: close > 20 EMA > 50 > 200. Forecasts: A 5% rally within a month 50%; A 5% drawdown within a month 44%.

Trend rules describe the regime; the two forecasts frame the month as upside odds against downside odds.

Request JSON

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "GLD"
  },
  "questions": {
    "above_200d": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Is the stock above its 200-day moving average?"
    },
    "sma200_up": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "sma(C, 200) > ref(sma(C, 200), -20)"
    },
    "stacked": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C > ema(C, 20) and ema(C, 20) > sma(C, 50) and sma(C, 50) > sma(C, 200)"
    },
    "rally5": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will it rally at least 5% at some point in the next month?"
    },
    "drop5": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will it drop at least 5% at some point in the next month?"
    }
  }
}

Response JSON (GLD, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "above_200d": {
      "yes_no": 0.0537,
      "rule": "C > sma(C, 200)",
      "basis": "comparison"
    },
    "sma200_up": {
      "yes_no": 0.085,
      "rule": "sma(C, 200) > ref(sma(C, 200), -20)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "stacked": {
      "yes_no": 0.0537,
      "rule": "C > ema(C, 20) and ema(C, 20) > sma(C, 50) and sma(C, 50) > sma(C, 200)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "rally5": {
      "yes_no": 0.503
    },
    "drop5": {
      "yes_no": 0.435
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "GLD",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  }
}

ema ref sma

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Commodities trader · example 2

Gold or silver: GLD vs SLV momentum

Silver moves more than gold in both directions. Compare momentum, volatility and trend before choosing which to hold.

ora-fin-0.1.12 symbols, one request each4 questions

State2 symbols
Questions4 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actionsnone

State

{"symbol":"GLD"} then SLV, one request each. The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`roc`	rule	`roc(C, 20) > 5` Up more than 5% in 20 sessions
`atr3`	rule	`atr_pct(14) > 3` A typical day moves more than 3%
`trend`	rule	`C > sma(C, 50)` Above the 50-day average
`beat_spy`	forecast	Will it beat SPY over the next month? Beating SPY over a month

Answers

Symbol	`roc`rule	`atr3`rule	`trend`rule	`beat_spy`forecast
`GLD`	0.0839	0.0537	0.0807	0.544
`SLV`	0.0656	0.9463	0.0607	0.466

true false not known for rules; forecasts are odds. Hover a column for its question.

What it means

Session of 2026-10-30, 2 symbols: Up more than 5% in 20 sessions: true for none of 2. A typical day moves more than 3%: true for SLV of 2. Above the 50-day average: true for none of 2. Highest odds for “Beating SPY over a month”: GLD at 54%.

If silver leads on momentum with gold also in trend, precious metals are in a risk-on phase; silver lagging is the defensive version.

Request JSON (GLD; the others differ only in the symbol)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "GLD"
  },
  "questions": {
    "roc": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "roc(C, 20) > 5"
    },
    "atr3": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "atr_pct(14) > 3"
    },
    "trend": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C > sma(C, 50)"
    },
    "beat_spy": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will it beat SPY over the next month?"
    }
  }
}

Response JSON (GLD, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "roc": {
      "yes_no": 0.0839,
      "rule": "roc(C, 20) > 5",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "atr3": {
      "yes_no": 0.0537,
      "rule": "atr_pct(14) > 3",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "trend": {
      "yes_no": 0.0807,
      "rule": "C > sma(C, 50)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "beat_spy": {
      "yes_no": 0.544
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "GLD",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  }
}

atr_pct roc sma

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Commodities trader · example 3

Crude oil breakout in USO, confirmed by Brent (BNO)?

A 20-day breakout in WTI is stronger when Brent confirms. Same questions, one request per fund.

ora-fin-0.1.12 symbols, one request each4 questions

State2 symbols
Questions4 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actionsnone

State

{"symbol":"USO"} then BNO, one request each. The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`breakout`	rule	`C > highest(C, 20)` 20-day closing breakout
`volume`	rule	`C > C[-1] and V > 1.5 * ref(avg(V, 20), -1)` Up on heavy volume
`adx`	rule	`adx(14) > 25` Trending (ADX above 25)
`new_high`	forecast	Will it make a new 20-day high in the next week? A new 20-day high next week

Answers

Symbol	`breakout`rule	`volume`rule	`adx`rule	`new_high`forecast
`USO`	0.4362	0.1578	0.8459	0.551
`BNO`	0.6215	0.2729	0.89	0.706

true false not known for rules; forecasts are odds. Hover a column for its question.

What it means

Session of 2026-10-30, 2 symbols: 20-day closing breakout: true for BNO of 2. Up on heavy volume: true for none of 2. Trending (ADX above 25): true for USO, BNO of 2. Highest odds for “A new 20-day high next week”: BNO at 71%.

Both funds breaking out together says the move is in global crude, not in a single contract or storage story.

Request JSON (USO; the others differ only in the symbol)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "USO"
  },
  "questions": {
    "breakout": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C > highest(C, 20)"
    },
    "volume": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C > C[-1] and V > 1.5 * ref(avg(V, 20), -1)"
    },
    "adx": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "adx(14) > 25"
    },
    "new_high": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will it make a new 20-day high in the next week?"
    }
  }
}

Response JSON (USO, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "breakout": {
      "yes_no": 0.4362,
      "rule": "C > highest(C, 20)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "volume": {
      "yes_no": 0.1578,
      "rule": "C > C[-1] and V > 1.5 * ref(avg(V, 20), -1)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "adx": {
      "yes_no": 0.8459,
      "rule": "adx(14) > 25",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "new_high": {
      "yes_no": 0.551
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "USO",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  }
}

adx avg highest offset ref

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Commodities trader · example 4

Natural gas (UNG): how wild is it right now?

UNG is among the most volatile funds. Measure its volatility before sizing a trade, and the odds of a 10% drop.

ora-fin-0.1.1UNG5 questions1 action

StateUNG
Questions5 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actions1 rule · dry run

State

{"symbol":"UNG"} The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`hv`	English → rule	Is 20-day historical volatility above 40%?
`atr3`	rule	`atr_pct(14) > 3` A typical day moves more than 3%
`tr_wide`	rule	`tr() > 2 * ref(atr(14), -1)` Today's true range more than twice yesterday's ATR
`drawdown`	rule	`C < 0.8 * max(H, 252)` More than 20% off the 52-week high
`drop10`	forecast	Will it drop at least 10% at some point in the next month? A 10% drawdown within a month

Answers

Question	Answer	Reading
`hv` Is 20-day historical volatility above 40% compiled to `std(log(C / C[-1]), 20) * sqrt(20 / 19) * sqrt(252) > 0.4`	0.3218	false
`atr3` A typical day moves more than 3%	0.9298	true
`tr_wide` Today's true range more than twice yesterday's ATR	0.0537	false
`drawdown` More than 20% off the 52-week high	0.9463	true
`drop10` A 10% drawdown within a month	0.632	63% · likely

Actions

Rules on the answers decide what to send.

hv >= 0.6 or atr3 >= 0.6→Slackcommodities-desk

What each action would send 1 of 1 fired · dry run, nothing sent

size_downwould send (dry run)Slack → commodities-desk

{
  "text": "UNG (2026-10-30): high volatility (HV over 40% 32%, ATR over 3% 93%). 10% drop odds 63%. Cut size."
}

What it means

For UNG on the session of 2026-10-30: True now: A typical day moves more than 3%; More than 20% off the 52-week high. Not true: Is 20-day historical volatility above 40%; Today's true range more than twice yesterday's ATR. Forecasts: A 10% drawdown within a month 63%. Fired: size_down (Slack → commodities-desk).

When either volatility rule is true, the desk is told to size down; the drawdown rule shows how far the fund already sits from its high.

Request JSON

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "UNG"
  },
  "questions": {
    "hv": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Is 20-day historical volatility above 40%?"
    },
    "atr3": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "atr_pct(14) > 3"
    },
    "tr_wide": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "tr() > 2 * ref(atr(14), -1)"
    },
    "drawdown": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C < 0.8 * max(H, 252)"
    },
    "drop10": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will it drop at least 10% at some point in the next month?"
    }
  },
  "actions": [
    {
      "id": "size_down",
      "when": "hv >= 0.6 or atr3 >= 0.6",
      "do": "slack",
      "connection": "commodities-desk",
      "message": "{{symbol}} ({{as_of}}): high volatility (HV over 40% {{hv|pct}}, ATR over 3% {{atr3|pct}}). 10% drop odds {{drop10|pct}}. Cut size."
    }
  ],
  "dry_run": true
}

Response JSON (UNG, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "hv": {
      "yes_no": 0.3218,
      "rule": "std(log(C / C[-1]), 20) * sqrt(20 / 19) * sqrt(252) > 0.4",
      "basis": "pattern"
    },
    "atr3": {
      "yes_no": 0.9298,
      "rule": "atr_pct(14) > 3",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "tr_wide": {
      "yes_no": 0.0537,
      "rule": "tr() > 2 * ref(atr(14), -1)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "drawdown": {
      "yes_no": 0.9463,
      "rule": "C < 0.8 * max(H, 252)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "drop10": {
      "yes_no": 0.632
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "UNG",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  },
  "actions": [
    {
      "id": "size_down",
      "fired": true,
      "status": "dry_run",
      "do": "slack",
      "connection": "commodities-desk",
      "preview": {
        "text": "UNG (2026-10-30): high volatility (HV over 40% 32%, ATR over 3% 93%). 10% drop odds 63%. Cut size."
      }
    }
  ]
}

atr atr_pct log max offset ref sqrt std tr

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Commodities trader · example 5

Gold miners GDX and GDXJ: leverage to gold working?

Miners should beat gold when gold rises. Check the miners' trend, momentum and volume behind the move.

ora-fin-0.1.12 symbols, one request each4 questions

State2 symbols
Questions4 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actionsnone

State

{"symbol":"GDX"} then GDXJ, one request each. The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`trend`	rule	`sma(C, 50) > sma(C, 200)` 50-day above the 200-day
`momentum`	rule	`roc(C, 20) > 5 and V > avg(V, 50) and C > sma(C, 50)` Momentum with participation
`obv`	rule	`obv() > sma(obv(), 20)` On-balance volume above its 20-day average
`rally10`	forecast	Will it rally at least 10% at some point in the next month? A 10% rally within a month

Answers

Symbol	`trend`rule	`momentum`rule	`obv`rule	`rally10`forecast
`GDX`	0.6459	0.1025	0.2083	0.649
`GDXJ`	0.3749	0.0916	0.1665	0.741

true false not known for rules; forecasts are odds. Hover a column for its question.

What it means

Session of 2026-10-30, 2 symbols: 50-day above the 200-day: true for GDX of 2. Momentum with participation: true for none of 2. On-balance volume above its 20-day average: true for none of 2. Highest odds for “A 10% rally within a month”: GDXJ at 74%.

Miners in trend with rising on-balance volume confirm a gold rally; miners lagging a rising gold price is a warning about the move.

Request JSON (GDX; the others differ only in the symbol)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "GDX"
  },
  "questions": {
    "trend": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "sma(C, 50) > sma(C, 200)"
    },
    "momentum": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "roc(C, 20) > 5 and V > avg(V, 50) and C > sma(C, 50)"
    },
    "obv": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "obv() > sma(obv(), 20)"
    },
    "rally10": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will it rally at least 10% at some point in the next month?"
    }
  }
}

Response JSON (GDX, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "trend": {
      "yes_no": 0.6459,
      "rule": "sma(C, 50) > sma(C, 200)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "momentum": {
      "yes_no": 0.1025,
      "rule": "roc(C, 20) > 5 and V > avg(V, 50) and C > sma(C, 50)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "obv": {
      "yes_no": 0.2083,
      "rule": "obv() > sma(obv(), 20)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "rally10": {
      "yes_no": 0.649
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "GDX",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  }
}

avg obv roc sma

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Commodities trader · example 6

Copper (COPX, FCX, SCCO): is the cycle turning up?

Copper is a read on industry. Check miners for higher swing lows, a reclaim of the 50-day and momentum.

ora-fin-0.1.13 symbols, one request each4 questions

State3 symbols
Questions4 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actionsnone

State

{"symbol":"COPX"} then FCX, SCCO, one request each. The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`higher_lows`	rule	`swinglow(3) > swinglow(3, 2)` Higher swing lows
`reclaim`	rule	`crossup(C, sma(C, 50))` Crossed above the 50-day today
`hh_hl`	English → rule	Is the stock making higher swing highs and higher swing lows?
`up_week`	forecast	Will the stock be higher in a week? Higher in a week

Answers

Symbol	`higher_lows`rule	`reclaim`rule	`hh_hl`rule	`up_week`forecast
`COPX`	0.0842	0.05	0.2347	0.561
`FCX`	0.2658	0.05	0.4376	0.575
`SCCO`	0.1054	0.05	0.4486	0.589

true false not known for rules; forecasts are odds. Hover a column for its question.

What it means

Session of 2026-10-30, 3 symbols: Higher swing lows: true for none of 3. Crossed above the 50-day today: true for none of 3. Is the stock making higher swing highs and higher swing lows: true for none of 3. Highest odds for “Higher in a week”: SCCO at 59%.

Higher swing lows across all three is the early sign of a cycle turn; a reclaim of the 50-day adds confirmation.

Request JSON (COPX; the others differ only in the symbol)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "COPX"
  },
  "questions": {
    "higher_lows": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "swinglow(3) > swinglow(3, 2)"
    },
    "reclaim": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "crossup(C, sma(C, 50))"
    },
    "hh_hl": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Is the stock making higher swing highs and higher swing lows?"
    },
    "up_week": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will the stock be higher in a week?"
    }
  }
}

Response JSON (COPX, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "higher_lows": {
      "yes_no": 0.0842,
      "rule": "swinglow(3) > swinglow(3, 2)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "reclaim": {
      "yes_no": 0.05,
      "rule": "crossup(C, sma(C, 50))",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "hh_hl": {
      "yes_no": 0.2347,
      "rule": "(swinghigh(5, 1) > swinghigh(5, 2)) and (swinglow(5, 1) > swinglow(5, 2))",
      "basis": "pattern"
    },
    "up_week": {
      "yes_no": 0.561
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "COPX",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  }
}

crossup sma swinghigh swinglow

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Commodities trader · example 7

XOM and CVX: dividends, earnings and trend

For an energy income position, check the dividend record, the last earnings and the price trend of the two majors.

ora-fin-0.1.12 symbols, one request each5 questions

State2 symbols
Questions5 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actionsnone

State

{"symbol":"XOM"} then CVX, one request each. The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`yield3`	rule	`div_yield_ttm > 3` Yield above 3%
`grower`	rule	`years_of_growth >= 10` Ten years of dividend growth
`beat`	English → rule	Did the stock beat EPS estimates last quarter?
`trend`	English → rule	Is the stock above its 200-day moving average?
`raise`	forecast	Will the company raise its dividend next year? Raising the dividend next year

Answers

Symbol	`yield3`rule	`grower`rule	`beat`rule	`trend`rule	`raise`forecast
`XOM`	0.0537	0.0537	0.8591	0.9463	0.569
`CVX`	0.4906	0.1409	0.8591	0.9463	0.563

true false not known for rules; forecasts are odds. Hover a column for its question.

What it means

Session of 2026-10-30, 2 symbols: Yield above 3%: true for none of 2. Ten years of dividend growth: true for none of 2. Did the stock beat EPS estimates last quarter: true for XOM, CVX of 2. Is the stock above its 200-day moving average: true for XOM, CVX of 2. Highest odds for “Raising the dividend next year”: XOM at 57%.

Dividend facts and earnings facts come from the records; the trend says whether the market agrees with the income case.

Request JSON (XOM; the others differ only in the symbol)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "XOM"
  },
  "questions": {
    "yield3": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "div_yield_ttm > 3"
    },
    "grower": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "years_of_growth >= 10"
    },
    "beat": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Did the stock beat EPS estimates last quarter?"
    },
    "trend": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Is the stock above its 200-day moving average?"
    },
    "raise": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will the company raise its dividend next year?"
    }
  }
}

Response JSON (XOM, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "yield3": {
      "yes_no": 0.0537,
      "rule": "div_yield_ttm > 3",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "grower": {
      "yes_no": 0.0537,
      "rule": "years_of_growth >= 10",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "beat": {
      "yes_no": 0.8591,
      "rule": "beat_eps_last > 0.5",
      "basis": "pattern"
    },
    "trend": {
      "yes_no": 0.9463,
      "rule": "C > sma(C, 200)",
      "basis": "comparison"
    },
    "raise": {
      "yes_no": 0.569
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "XOM",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  }
}

beat_eps_last div_yield_ttm sma years_of_growth

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Commodities trader · example 8

Agriculture (DBA): reversal candles at the lows

Look for bottoming candles in the agriculture fund after a decline: hammer, inverted hammer, dragonfly doji.

ora-fin-0.1.1DBA5 questions

StateDBA
Questions5 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actionsnone

State

{"symbol":"DBA"} The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`hammer`	rule	`hammer()` hammer candle: Lower wick at least twice the body, upper wick at most 10% of the range, closing below the close five bars back.
`inv_hammer`	rule	`inverted_hammer()` inverted hammer candle: Shooting-star shape after a five-bar decline.
`dragonfly`	rule	`dragonfly_doji()` dragonfly doji candle: Doji with a long lower wick (60%+ of the range) and almost no upper wick.
`near_low`	rule	`C < 1.03 * min(L, 60)` Within 3% of the 60-day low
`up_week`	forecast	Will the stock be higher in a week? Higher in a week

Answers

Question	Answer	Reading
`hammer` hammer candle: Lower wick at least twice the body, upper wick at most 10% of the range, closing below the close five bars back.	0.0779	false
`inv_hammer` inverted hammer candle: Shooting-star shape after a five-bar decline.	0.0858	false
`dragonfly` dragonfly doji candle: Doji with a long lower wick (60%+ of the range) and almost no upper wick.	0.0614	false
`near_low` Within 3% of the 60-day low	0.8378	true
`up_week` Higher in a week	0.62	62% · likely

What it means

For DBA on the session of 2026-10-30: True now: Within 3% of the 60-day low. Not true: hammer candle: Lower wick at least twice the body, upper wick at most 10% of the range, closing below the close five bars back.; inverted hammer candle: Shooting-star shape after a five-bar decline.; dragonfly doji candle: Doji with a long lower wick (60%+ of the range) and almost no upper wick.. Forecasts: Higher in a week 62%.

A bottoming candle near the low is worth watching; without the low nearby, the same candle means little.

Request JSON

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "DBA"
  },
  "questions": {
    "hammer": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "hammer()"
    },
    "inv_hammer": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "inverted_hammer()"
    },
    "dragonfly": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "dragonfly_doji()"
    },
    "near_low": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C < 1.03 * min(L, 60)"
    },
    "up_week": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will the stock be higher in a week?"
    }
  }
}

Response JSON (DBA, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "hammer": {
      "yes_no": 0.0779,
      "rule": "hammer()",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "inv_hammer": {
      "yes_no": 0.0858,
      "rule": "inverted_hammer()",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "dragonfly": {
      "yes_no": 0.0614,
      "rule": "dragonfly_doji()",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "near_low": {
      "yes_no": 0.8378,
      "rule": "C < 1.03 * min(L, 60)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "up_week": {
      "yes_no": 0.62
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "DBA",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  }
}

dragonfly_doji hammer inverted_hammer min

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Commodities trader · example 9

Broad commodities (DBC, PDBC): risk-on or risk-off?

Two broad baskets with identical questions, to read whether commodities as a group are trending.

ora-fin-0.1.12 symbols, one request each4 questions

State2 symbols
Questions4 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actionsnone

State

{"symbol":"DBC"} then PDBC, one request each. The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`trend`	rule	`C > sma(C, 50)` Above the 50-day average
`long`	English → rule	Is the stock above its 200-day moving average?
`macd`	rule	`macd(C) > macdsignal(C)` MACD above its signal line
`drop5`	forecast	Will it drop at least 5% at some point in the next month? A 5% drawdown within a month

Answers

Symbol	`trend`rule	`long`rule	`macd`rule	`drop5`forecast
`DBC`	0.8888	0.9463	0.3099	0.351
`PDBC`	0.8811	0.9463	0.3059	0.331

true false not known for rules; forecasts are odds. Hover a column for its question.

What it means

Session of 2026-10-30, 2 symbols: Above the 50-day average: true for DBC, PDBC of 2. Is the stock above its 200-day moving average: true for DBC, PDBC of 2. MACD above its signal line: true for none of 2. Highest odds for “A 5% drawdown within a month”: DBC at 35%.

Both baskets above both averages is a commodity bull regime; mixed answers usually mean energy and metals disagree.

Request JSON (DBC; the others differ only in the symbol)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "DBC"
  },
  "questions": {
    "trend": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C > sma(C, 50)"
    },
    "long": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Is the stock above its 200-day moving average?"
    },
    "macd": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "macd(C) > macdsignal(C)"
    },
    "drop5": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will it drop at least 5% at some point in the next month?"
    }
  }
}

Response JSON (DBC, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "trend": {
      "yes_no": 0.8888,
      "rule": "C > sma(C, 50)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "long": {
      "yes_no": 0.9463,
      "rule": "C > sma(C, 200)",
      "basis": "comparison"
    },
    "macd": {
      "yes_no": 0.3099,
      "rule": "macd(C) > macdsignal(C)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "drop5": {
      "yes_no": 0.351
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "DBC",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  }
}

macd macdsignal sma

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Commodities trader · example 10

Uranium (URA): buy the pullback in a trend?

A pullback-in-uptrend entry for the uranium ETF, with a stop distance check before ordering.

ora-fin-0.1.1URA4 questions2 actions

StateURA
Questions4 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actions2 rules · dry run

State

{"symbol":"URA"} The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`entry`	rule	`(C > sma(C, 50)) and (sma(C, 50) > sma(C, 200)) and (L <= sma(C, 20) * 1.01) and (C >= sma(C, 20))` Uptrend pullback to the 20-day (entry zone)
`stop`	English → rule	Is a stop below the last swing low less than 1.5 ATR away?
`rsi_dip`	rule	`C > sma(C, 200) and rsi(C, 14) < 40` Pullback in an uptrend: above the 200-day, RSI under 40
`drop5`	forecast	Will it drop at least 5% at some point in the next month? A 5% drawdown within a month

Answers

Question	Answer	Reading
`entry` Uptrend pullback to the 20-day (entry zone)	0.0537	false
`stop` Is a stop below the last swing low less than 1.5 ATR away compiled to `(C > swinglow(5, 1)) and (C - swinglow(5, 1) < 1.5 * atr(14))`	0.0916	false
`rsi_dip` Pullback in an uptrend: above the 200-day, RSI under 40	0.0537	false
`drop5` A 5% drawdown within a month	0.691	69% · likely

Actions

Rules on the answers decide what to send.

entry >= 0.6 and stop >= 0.6→Webhookmy-oms

rsi_dip >= 0.6→Slackcommodities-desk

What each action would send 0 of 2 fired · dry run, nothing sent

orderrule false: skipped

watchrule false: skipped

What it means

For URA on the session of 2026-10-30: Not true: Uptrend pullback to the 20-day (entry zone); Is a stop below the last swing low less than 1.5 ATR away; Pullback in an uptrend: above the 200-day, RSI under 40. Forecasts: A 5% drawdown within a month 69%. No action fired: every rule was false.

An order goes out only when the entry zone and a close stop line up; a dip without both is a watch note.

Request JSON

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "URA"
  },
  "questions": {
    "entry": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "(C > sma(C, 50)) and (sma(C, 50) > sma(C, 200)) and (L <= sma(C, 20) * 1.01) and (C >= sma(C, 20))"
    },
    "stop": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Is a stop below the last swing low less than 1.5 ATR away?"
    },
    "rsi_dip": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C > sma(C, 200) and rsi(C, 14) < 40"
    },
    "drop5": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will it drop at least 5% at some point in the next month?"
    }
  },
  "actions": [
    {
      "id": "order",
      "when": "entry >= 0.6 and stop >= 0.6",
      "do": "webhook",
      "connection": "my-oms",
      "body": {
        "symbol": "{{symbol}}",
        "side": "buy",
        "type": "limit",
        "signal": "pullback_entry",
        "p_entry": "{{entry}}",
        "p_stop_close": "{{stop}}",
        "as_of": "{{as_of}}"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "watch",
      "when": "rsi_dip >= 0.6",
      "do": "slack",
      "connection": "commodities-desk",
      "message": "{{symbol}} ({{as_of}}): dip in an uptrend, but no clean entry yet (entry {{entry|pct}}, stop close {{stop|pct}})."
    }
  ],
  "dry_run": true
}

Response JSON (URA, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "entry": {
      "yes_no": 0.0537,
      "rule": "(C > sma(C, 50)) and (sma(C, 50) > sma(C, 200)) and (L <= sma(C, 20) * 1.01) and (C >= sma(C, 20))",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "stop": {
      "yes_no": 0.0916,
      "rule": "(C > swinglow(5, 1)) and (C - swinglow(5, 1) < 1.5 * atr(14))",
      "basis": "pattern"
    },
    "rsi_dip": {
      "yes_no": 0.0537,
      "rule": "C > sma(C, 200) and rsi(C, 14) < 40",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "drop5": {
      "yes_no": 0.691
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "URA",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  },
  "actions": [
    {
      "id": "order",
      "fired": false,
      "status": "skipped"
    },
    {
      "id": "watch",
      "fired": false,
      "status": "skipped"
    }
  ]
}

atr rsi sma swinglow

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Information, not investment advice. Rules answer from the latest completed daily session; forecasts are probabilities. Actions ran as dry runs: nothing was sent. More in Individuals: Retail investor, Active day trader, Swing trader, Options trader, Dividend investor, Long-term passive investor, Crypto trader, FX trader, Social trading community, Students and universities.

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What it means

Uranium (URA): buy the pullback in a trend?

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Questions

Answers

Actions

What it means