Model

Use cases · Individuals

Retail investor: 20 ways to use Ora

Checks a handful of stocks before buying, adding or trimming, and wants alerts instead of screen time. Each example is a complete, runnable request with the real answers it returned (26 requests, captured 2026-10-31), what they mean and, where it fits, the action it would send.

Run withAnswers were captured on ora-fin-0.1.1. Another model changes the request JSON and the Playground link; run it there to see its answers.

Rule functions and facts used by this player (49)

sma 13 rsi 5 max 5 lowest 4 offset 4 beat_eps_last 3 div_yield_ttm 3 atr 3 ref 3 abs 2 years_of_growth 2 avg 2 highest 2 min 2 ema 2 bbupper 2 swinglow 2 std 2 beat_revenue_last 1 days_to_earnings 1 last_earnings_move 1 next_report_amc 1 cut_last 1 pays_dividend 1 obv 1 zscore 1 macd 1 macdsignal 1 days_since_split 1 days_to_split 1 last_split_ratio 1 reverse_split_last 1 splits_5y 1 engulfing_bull 1 hammer 1 raised_last 1 bblower 1 bbmid 1 roc 1 days_since_ex_div 1 days_to_ex_div 1 div_count_ttm 1 days_since_earnings 1 eps_surprise_pct 1 last_earnings_gap 1 pre_earnings_close 1 atr_pct 1 log 1 sqrt 1

Examples 1–10 of 20 · page 1 of 2

Retail investor · example 1

Is AAPL in an uptrend before I buy?

Before adding to a position, confirm the long-term trend, check that the stock is not overbought, and get the odds for the next week.

ora-fin-0.1.1AAPL4 questions

StateAAPL
Questions4 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actionsnone

State

{"symbol":"AAPL"} The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`above_200d`	English → rule	Is the stock above its 200-day moving average?
`golden`	rule	`sma(C, 50) > sma(C, 200)` 50-day above the 200-day
`overbought`	rule	`rsi(C, 14) > 70` RSI above 70
`up_week`	forecast	Will the stock be higher in a week? Higher in a week

Answers

Question	Answer	Reading
`above_200d` Is the stock above its 200-day moving average compiled to `C > sma(C, 200)`	0.9463	true
`golden` 50-day above the 200-day	0.9463	true
`overbought` RSI above 70	0.0657	false
`up_week` Higher in a week	0.59	59% · close to even

What it means

For AAPL on the session of 2026-10-30: True now: Is the stock above its 200-day moving average; 50-day above the 200-day. Not true: RSI above 70. Forecasts: Higher in a week 59%.

Two trend checks that are true and an RSI that is not overbought say the buy is not chasing; the forecast is the odds for the coming week, not a promise.

Request JSON

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "AAPL"
  },
  "questions": {
    "above_200d": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Is the stock above its 200-day moving average?"
    },
    "golden": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "sma(C, 50) > sma(C, 200)"
    },
    "overbought": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "rsi(C, 14) > 70"
    },
    "up_week": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will the stock be higher in a week?"
    }
  }
}

Response JSON (AAPL, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "above_200d": {
      "yes_no": 0.9463,
      "rule": "C > sma(C, 200)",
      "basis": "comparison"
    },
    "golden": {
      "yes_no": 0.9463,
      "rule": "sma(C, 50) > sma(C, 200)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "overbought": {
      "yes_no": 0.0657,
      "rule": "rsi(C, 14) > 70",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "up_week": {
      "yes_no": 0.59
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "AAPL",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  }
}

rsi sma

Try it in the Playground

Retail investor · example 2

Email me when MSFT dips inside its uptrend

Get one email when Microsoft pulls back (RSI under 40) while it is still above its 200-day average, the classic buy-the-dip setup.

ora-fin-0.1.1MSFT4 questions1 action

StateMSFT
Questions4 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actions1 rule · dry run

State

{"symbol":"MSFT"} The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`uptrend`	rule	`C > sma(C, 200) * 1.10` More than 10% above the 200-day
`dip`	rule	`C > sma(C, 200) and rsi(C, 14) < 40` Pullback in an uptrend: above the 200-day, RSI under 40
`rsi40`	English → rule	Is RSI below 40?
`drop5`	forecast	Will it drop at least 5% at some point in the next month? A 5% drawdown within a month

Answers

Question	Answer	Reading
`uptrend` More than 10% above the 200-day	0.9431	true
`dip` Pullback in an uptrend: above the 200-day, RSI under 40	0.1064	false
`rsi40` Is RSI below 40 compiled to `rsi(C, 14) < 40`	0.1064	false
`drop5` A 5% drawdown within a month	0.422	42% · close to even

Actions

Rules on the answers decide what to send.

dip >= 0.6→Emailme

What each action would send 0 of 1 fired · dry run, nothing sent

dip_alertrule false: skipped

What it means

For MSFT on the session of 2026-10-30: True now: More than 10% above the 200-day. Not true: Pullback in an uptrend: above the 200-day, RSI under 40; Is RSI below 40. Forecasts: A 5% drawdown within a month 42%. No action fired: every rule was false.

The email only goes out when the pullback rule is true; on most days it stays quiet, which is the point of an alert.

Request JSON

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "MSFT"
  },
  "questions": {
    "uptrend": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C > sma(C, 200) * 1.10"
    },
    "dip": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C > sma(C, 200) and rsi(C, 14) < 40"
    },
    "rsi40": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Is RSI below 40?"
    },
    "drop5": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will it drop at least 5% at some point in the next month?"
    }
  },
  "actions": [
    {
      "id": "dip_alert",
      "when": "dip >= 0.6",
      "do": "email",
      "connection": "me",
      "subject": "{{symbol}}: dip in an uptrend ({{as_of}})",
      "message": "{{symbol}} pulled back inside its uptrend (rule {{dip|pct}}). Odds of a further 5% drop within a month: {{drop5|pct}}."
    }
  ],
  "dry_run": true
}

Response JSON (MSFT, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "uptrend": {
      "yes_no": 0.9431,
      "rule": "C > sma(C, 200) * 1.10",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "dip": {
      "yes_no": 0.1064,
      "rule": "C > sma(C, 200) and rsi(C, 14) < 40",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "rsi40": {
      "yes_no": 0.1064,
      "rule": "rsi(C, 14) < 40",
      "basis": "comparison"
    },
    "drop5": {
      "yes_no": 0.422
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "MSFT",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  },
  "actions": [
    {
      "id": "dip_alert",
      "fired": false,
      "status": "skipped"
    }
  ]
}

rsi sma

Try it in the Playground

Retail investor · example 3

Does NVDA report soon, and how did it react last time?

Avoid buying right before a report by accident: when is the next one, did the last quarter beat, and how big was the move.

ora-fin-0.1.1NVDA5 questions

StateNVDA
Questions5 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actionsnone

State

{"symbol":"NVDA"} The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`soon`	English → rule	Is earnings in the next 14 days?
`beat`	English → rule	Did the stock beat on both EPS and revenue last quarter?
`big_move`	rule	`abs(last_earnings_move) > 5` Last earnings move bigger than 5%
`after_close`	English → rule	Does the stock report after the close next time?
`beat_next`	forecast	Will the stock beat earnings next quarter? Beating earnings next quarter

Answers

Question	Answer	Reading
`soon` Is earnings in the next 14 days compiled to `days_to_earnings <= 14`	0.1033	false
`beat` Did the stock beat on both EPS and revenue last quarter compiled to `beat_eps_last > 0.5 and beat_revenue_last > 0.5`	0.8591	true
`big_move` Last earnings move bigger than 5%	0.9463	true
`after_close` Does the stock report after the close next time compiled to `next_report_amc > 0.5`	0.8591	true
`beat_next` Beating earnings next quarter	0.516	52% · close to even

What it means

For NVDA on the session of 2026-10-30: True now: Did the stock beat on both EPS and revenue last quarter; Last earnings move bigger than 5%; Does the stock report after the close next time. Not true: Is earnings in the next 14 days. Forecasts: Beating earnings next quarter 52%.

If the report is close and the last reaction was large, a new position takes on that event risk; waiting a few days is a choice, not a forecast.

Request JSON

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "NVDA"
  },
  "questions": {
    "soon": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Is earnings in the next 14 days?"
    },
    "beat": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Did the stock beat on both EPS and revenue last quarter?"
    },
    "big_move": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "abs(last_earnings_move) > 5"
    },
    "after_close": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Does the stock report after the close next time?"
    },
    "beat_next": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will the stock beat earnings next quarter?"
    }
  }
}

Response JSON (NVDA, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "soon": {
      "yes_no": 0.1033,
      "rule": "days_to_earnings <= 14",
      "basis": "pattern"
    },
    "beat": {
      "yes_no": 0.8591,
      "rule": "beat_eps_last > 0.5 and beat_revenue_last > 0.5",
      "basis": "pattern"
    },
    "big_move": {
      "yes_no": 0.9463,
      "rule": "abs(last_earnings_move) > 5",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "after_close": {
      "yes_no": 0.8591,
      "rule": "next_report_amc > 0.5",
      "basis": "pattern"
    },
    "beat_next": {
      "yes_no": 0.516
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "NVDA",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  }
}

abs beat_eps_last beat_revenue_last days_to_earnings last_earnings_move next_report_amc

Try it in the Playground

Retail investor · example 4

Is KO's dividend still safe to rely on?

For an income holding, check that it still pays, has not cut, keeps growing, and that the price trend under the payout is healthy.

ora-fin-0.1.1KO5 questions

StateKO
Questions5 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actionsnone

State

{"symbol":"KO"} The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`pays`	rule	`pays_dividend > 0.5` Pays a dividend
`no_cut`	rule	`cut_last < 0.5` Did not cut its last dividend
`grower`	rule	`years_of_growth >= 10` Ten years of dividend growth
`trend`	rule	`div_yield_ttm > 2 and C > sma(C, 200)` Yield above 2% and above the 200-day
`raise_next`	forecast	Will the company raise its dividend next year? Raising the dividend next year

Answers

Question	Answer	Reading
`pays` Pays a dividend	0.8591	true
`no_cut` Did not cut its last dividend	0.8591	true
`grower` Ten years of dividend growth	0.9463	true
`trend` Yield above 2% and above the 200-day	0.9463	true
`raise_next` Raising the dividend next year	0.517	52% · close to even

What it means

For KO on the session of 2026-10-30: True now: Pays a dividend; Did not cut its last dividend; Ten years of dividend growth; Yield above 2% and above the 200-day. Forecasts: Raising the dividend next year 52%.

Facts about the payout record answer from the dividend history; the raise-next-year question is a forecast and reads as odds.

Request JSON

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "KO"
  },
  "questions": {
    "pays": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "pays_dividend > 0.5"
    },
    "no_cut": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "cut_last < 0.5"
    },
    "grower": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "years_of_growth >= 10"
    },
    "trend": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "div_yield_ttm > 2 and C > sma(C, 200)"
    },
    "raise_next": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will the company raise its dividend next year?"
    }
  }
}

Response JSON (KO, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "pays": {
      "yes_no": 0.8591,
      "rule": "pays_dividend > 0.5",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "no_cut": {
      "yes_no": 0.8591,
      "rule": "cut_last < 0.5",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "grower": {
      "yes_no": 0.9463,
      "rule": "years_of_growth >= 10",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "trend": {
      "yes_no": 0.9463,
      "rule": "div_yield_ttm > 2 and C > sma(C, 200)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "raise_next": {
      "yes_no": 0.517
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "KO",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  }
}

cut_last div_yield_ttm pays_dividend sma years_of_growth

Try it in the Playground

Retail investor · example 5

A Friday email for my five stocks

Every Friday after the close, the same three questions for each stock on the watchlist, and one email per stock that is breaking down.

ora-fin-0.1.15 symbols, one request each3 questions1 actionworkflow · Fri at 16:30 ET

ScheduleFri at 16:30 ET
State5 symbols
Questions3 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actions1 rule · dry run

State

{"symbol":"AAPL"} then MSFT, AMZN, COST, JNJ, one request each. The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`above_50d`	rule	`C > sma(C, 50)` Above the 50-day average
`breakdown`	rule	`C < lowest(L, 20)` Closed under the 20-day low
`up_week`	forecast	Will the stock be higher in a week? Higher in a week

Answers

Symbol	`above_50d`rule	`breakdown`rule	`up_week`forecast	Fired
`AAPL`	0.9119	0.0744	0.59	none
`MSFT`	0.7088	0.365	0.574	none
`AMZN`	0.0964	0.5418	0.493	none
`COST`	0.9336	0.0553	0.519	none
`JNJ`	0.8309	0.0537	0.525	none

true false not known for rules; forecasts are odds. Hover a column for its question.

Actions

Rules on the answers decide what to send. Each symbol runs its own request, so each one can fire.

breakdown >= 0.6→Emailme

AAPL 0 of 1 fired · dry run, nothing sent

MSFT 0 of 1 fired · dry run, nothing sent

AMZN 0 of 1 fired · dry run, nothing sent

COST 0 of 1 fired · dry run, nothing sent

JNJ 0 of 1 fired · dry run, nothing sent

What it means

Session of 2026-10-30, 5 symbols: Above the 50-day average: true for AAPL, MSFT, COST, JNJ of 5. Closed under the 20-day low: true for none of 5. Highest odds for “Higher in a week”: AAPL at 59%. breaking_down fired for none.

A workflow runs this list on a schedule; each symbol gets its own answers, and only a breakdown sends mail.

As a scheduled workflow (Fri at 16:30 ET)

Create it under Workflows in the console: it runs these questions for every symbol on the schedule and fires the actions per symbol. The answers above are what one run returned.

{
  "name": "A Friday email for my five stocks",
  "symbols": "AAPL MSFT AMZN COST JNJ",
  "days": [
    5
  ],
  "at_time": "16:30",
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "questions": {
    "above_50d": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C > sma(C, 50)"
    },
    "breakdown": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C < lowest(L, 20)"
    },
    "up_week": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will the stock be higher in a week?"
    }
  },
  "actions": [
    {
      "id": "breaking_down",
      "when": "breakdown >= 0.6",
      "do": "email",
      "connection": "me",
      "subject": "{{symbol}} closed under its 20-day low",
      "message": "{{symbol}} ({{as_of}}) broke its 20-day low. Above the 50-day: {{above_50d|pct}}. Higher in a week: {{up_week|pct}}."
    }
  ]
}

Request JSON (AAPL; the others differ only in the symbol)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "AAPL"
  },
  "questions": {
    "above_50d": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C > sma(C, 50)"
    },
    "breakdown": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C < lowest(L, 20)"
    },
    "up_week": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will the stock be higher in a week?"
    }
  },
  "actions": [
    {
      "id": "breaking_down",
      "when": "breakdown >= 0.6",
      "do": "email",
      "connection": "me",
      "subject": "{{symbol}} closed under its 20-day low",
      "message": "{{symbol}} ({{as_of}}) broke its 20-day low. Above the 50-day: {{above_50d|pct}}. Higher in a week: {{up_week|pct}}."
    }
  ],
  "dry_run": true
}

Response JSON (AAPL, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "above_50d": {
      "yes_no": 0.9119,
      "rule": "C > sma(C, 50)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "breakdown": {
      "yes_no": 0.0744,
      "rule": "C < lowest(L, 20)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "up_week": {
      "yes_no": 0.59
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "AAPL",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  },
  "actions": [
    {
      "id": "breaking_down",
      "fired": false,
      "status": "skipped"
    }
  ]
}

lowest sma

Try it in the Playground

Retail investor · example 6

Is COST near its 52-week high, and is volume confirming?

Decide whether a strong stock is breaking out with participation or drifting up on light volume.

ora-fin-0.1.1COST5 questions

StateCOST
Questions5 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actionsnone

State

{"symbol":"COST"} The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`near_high`	rule	`C >= 0.98 * max(H, 252)` Within 2% of the 52-week high
`new_high`	English → rule	Did the stock make a new 52-week high today?
`volume`	rule	`V > avg(V, 20)` Volume above its 20-day average
`obv`	rule	`obv() > sma(obv(), 20)` On-balance volume above its 20-day average
`rally5`	forecast	Will it rally at least 5% at some point in the next month? A 5% rally within a month

Answers

Question	Answer	Reading
`near_high` Within 2% of the 52-week high	0.0786	false
`new_high` Did the stock make a new 52-week high today compiled to `H > highest(H, 252)`	0.0669	false
`volume` Volume above its 20-day average	0.9297	true
`obv` On-balance volume above its 20-day average	0.793	true
`rally5` A 5% rally within a month	0.353	35% · unlikely

What it means

For COST on the session of 2026-10-30: True now: Volume above its 20-day average; On-balance volume above its 20-day average. Not true: Within 2% of the 52-week high; Did the stock make a new 52-week high today. Forecasts: A 5% rally within a month 35%.

A new high with rising on-balance volume is the stronger read; near the high on thin volume is a reason to wait for confirmation.

Request JSON

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "COST"
  },
  "questions": {
    "near_high": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C >= 0.98 * max(H, 252)"
    },
    "new_high": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Did the stock make a new 52-week high today?"
    },
    "volume": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "V > avg(V, 20)"
    },
    "obv": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "obv() > sma(obv(), 20)"
    },
    "rally5": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will it rally at least 5% at some point in the next month?"
    }
  }
}

Response JSON (COST, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "near_high": {
      "yes_no": 0.0786,
      "rule": "C >= 0.98 * max(H, 252)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "new_high": {
      "yes_no": 0.0669,
      "rule": "H > highest(H, 252)",
      "basis": "pattern"
    },
    "volume": {
      "yes_no": 0.9297,
      "rule": "V > avg(V, 20)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "obv": {
      "yes_no": 0.793,
      "rule": "obv() > sma(obv(), 20)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "rally5": {
      "yes_no": 0.353
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "COST",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  }
}

avg highest max obv sma

Try it in the Playground

Retail investor · example 7

Was today's drop in TSLA unusual?

After a red day, check whether the move was big for this stock (in ATR and in standard deviations) before reacting.

ora-fin-0.1.1TSLA5 questions

StateTSLA
Questions5 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actionsnone

State

{"symbol":"TSLA"} The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`big_atr`	rule	`abs(C - C[-1]) > 1.5 * atr(14)` Today's move was bigger than 1.5 ATR
`shock`	rule	`zscore(C / C[-1] - 1, 20) < -2` A two-sigma down day
`down_vol`	rule	`C < C[-1] and V > 1.5 * ref(avg(V, 20), -1)` Down on heavy volume
`worst20`	English → rule	Was today the worst day of the last 20 sessions?
`big_move5`	forecast	Will there be a big move in either direction in the next 5 days? A big move either way in 5 days

Answers

Question	Answer	Reading
`big_atr` Today's move was bigger than 1.5 ATR	0.054	false
`shock` A two-sigma down day	0.0945	false
`down_vol` Down on heavy volume	0.1309	false
`worst20` Was today the worst day of the last 20 sessions compiled to `(C < C[-1]) and (C / C[-1] - 1 < ref(min(C / C[-1] - 1, 19), -1))`	0.2631	false
`big_move5` A big move either way in 5 days	0.248	25% · unlikely

What it means

For TSLA on the session of 2026-10-30: Not true: Today's move was bigger than 1.5 ATR; A two-sigma down day; Down on heavy volume; Was today the worst day of the last 20 sessions. Forecasts: A big move either way in 5 days 25%.

If none of the size rules is true, the drop was ordinary for a volatile stock; a return shock on heavy volume is the case worth a closer look.

Request JSON

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "TSLA"
  },
  "questions": {
    "big_atr": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "abs(C - C[-1]) > 1.5 * atr(14)"
    },
    "shock": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "zscore(C / C[-1] - 1, 20) < -2"
    },
    "down_vol": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C < C[-1] and V > 1.5 * ref(avg(V, 20), -1)"
    },
    "worst20": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Was today the worst day of the last 20 sessions?"
    },
    "big_move5": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will there be a big move in either direction in the next 5 days?"
    }
  }
}

Response JSON (TSLA, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "big_atr": {
      "yes_no": 0.054,
      "rule": "abs(C - C[-1]) > 1.5 * atr(14)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "shock": {
      "yes_no": 0.0945,
      "rule": "zscore(C / C[-1] - 1, 20) < -2",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "down_vol": {
      "yes_no": 0.1309,
      "rule": "C < C[-1] and V > 1.5 * ref(avg(V, 20), -1)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "worst20": {
      "yes_no": 0.2631,
      "rule": "(C < C[-1]) and (C / C[-1] - 1 < ref(min(C / C[-1] - 1, 19), -1))",
      "basis": "pattern"
    },
    "big_move5": {
      "yes_no": 0.248
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "TSLA",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  }
}

abs atr avg min offset ref zscore

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Retail investor · example 8

Is my core index fund in a healthy trend?

A once-a-month look at VOO: trend, momentum and drawdown, without watching the market every day.

ora-fin-0.1.1VOO5 questions

StateVOO
Questions5 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actionsnone

State

{"symbol":"VOO"} The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`trend`	English → rule	Is the stock above its 200-day moving average?
`sma200_up`	rule	`sma(C, 200) > ref(sma(C, 200), -20)` The 200-day average is rising
`three_month`	rule	`C > C[-63]` Higher than three months ago
`drawdown20`	rule	`C < 0.8 * max(H, 252)` More than 20% off the 52-week high
`drop5`	forecast	Will it drop at least 5% at some point in the next month? A 5% drawdown within a month

Answers

Question	Answer	Reading
`trend` Is the stock above its 200-day moving average compiled to `C > sma(C, 200)`	0.9463	true
`sma200_up` The 200-day average is rising	0.9463	true
`three_month` Higher than three months ago	0.5147	on the line (true)
`drawdown20` More than 20% off the 52-week high	0.0537	false
`drop5` A 5% drawdown within a month	0.194	19% · unlikely

What it means

For VOO on the session of 2026-10-30: True now: Is the stock above its 200-day moving average; The 200-day average is rising. Not true: More than 20% off the 52-week high. On the line: Higher than three months ago. Forecasts: A 5% drawdown within a month 19%.

Trend rules true and no 20% drawdown means the core position needs nothing; the forecast is context for the month ahead.

Request JSON

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "VOO"
  },
  "questions": {
    "trend": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Is the stock above its 200-day moving average?"
    },
    "sma200_up": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "sma(C, 200) > ref(sma(C, 200), -20)"
    },
    "three_month": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C > C[-63]"
    },
    "drawdown20": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C < 0.8 * max(H, 252)"
    },
    "drop5": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will it drop at least 5% at some point in the next month?"
    }
  }
}

Response JSON (VOO, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "trend": {
      "yes_no": 0.9463,
      "rule": "C > sma(C, 200)",
      "basis": "comparison"
    },
    "sma200_up": {
      "yes_no": 0.9463,
      "rule": "sma(C, 200) > ref(sma(C, 200), -20)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "three_month": {
      "yes_no": 0.5147,
      "rule": "C > C[-63]",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "drawdown20": {
      "yes_no": 0.0537,
      "rule": "C < 0.8 * max(H, 252)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "drop5": {
      "yes_no": 0.194
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "VOO",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  }
}

max offset ref sma

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Retail investor · example 9

Did AMD just make a golden cross?

Check the moving-average story people talk about: did the 50-day cross the 200-day today, and is the stock above both.

ora-fin-0.1.1AMD5 questions

StateAMD
Questions5 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actionsnone

State

{"symbol":"AMD"} The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`cross_today`	English → rule	Did a golden cross happen today?
`setup`	English → rule	Is the 50-day moving average above the 200-day?
`stacked`	rule	`C > ema(C, 20) and ema(C, 20) > sma(C, 50) and sma(C, 50) > sma(C, 200)` Stacked averages: close > 20 EMA > 50 > 200
`macd`	rule	`macd(C) > macdsignal(C)` MACD above its signal line
`up_week`	forecast	Will the stock be higher in a week? Higher in a week

Answers

Question	Answer	Reading
`cross_today` Did a golden cross happen today compiled to `(sma(C, 50) > sma(C, 200)) and (ref(sma(C, 50), -1) <= ref(sma(C, 200), -1))`	0.0537	false
`setup` Is the 50-day moving average above the 200-day compiled to `sma(C, 50) > sma(C, 200)`	0.9463	true
`stacked` Stacked averages: close > 20 EMA > 50 > 200	0.1048	false
`macd` MACD above its signal line	0.2076	false
`up_week` Higher in a week	0.577	58% · close to even

What it means

For AMD on the session of 2026-10-30: True now: Is the 50-day moving average above the 200-day. Not true: Did a golden cross happen today; Stacked averages: close > 20 EMA > 50 > 200; MACD above its signal line. Forecasts: Higher in a week 58%.

The cross itself is a one-day event and is usually false; the setup (50-day above 200-day) is the state that lasts.

Request JSON

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "AMD"
  },
  "questions": {
    "cross_today": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Did a golden cross happen today?"
    },
    "setup": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Is the 50-day moving average above the 200-day?"
    },
    "stacked": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C > ema(C, 20) and ema(C, 20) > sma(C, 50) and sma(C, 50) > sma(C, 200)"
    },
    "macd": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "macd(C) > macdsignal(C)"
    },
    "up_week": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will the stock be higher in a week?"
    }
  }
}

Response JSON (AMD, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "cross_today": {
      "yes_no": 0.0537,
      "rule": "(sma(C, 50) > sma(C, 200)) and (ref(sma(C, 50), -1) <= ref(sma(C, 200), -1))",
      "basis": "pattern"
    },
    "setup": {
      "yes_no": 0.9463,
      "rule": "sma(C, 50) > sma(C, 200)",
      "basis": "comparison"
    },
    "stacked": {
      "yes_no": 0.1048,
      "rule": "C > ema(C, 20) and ema(C, 20) > sma(C, 50) and sma(C, 50) > sma(C, 200)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "macd": {
      "yes_no": 0.2076,
      "rule": "macd(C) > macdsignal(C)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "up_week": {
      "yes_no": 0.577
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "AMD",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  }
}

ema macd macdsignal ref sma

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Retail investor · example 10

Should I trim NFLX after a big run?

Check whether the stock is stretched above its averages before taking some profit.

ora-fin-0.1.1NFLX5 questions2 actions

StateNFLX
Questions5 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actions2 rules · dry run

State

{"symbol":"NFLX"} The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`ext_200d`	English → rule	Is the stock more than 10% above its 200-day moving average?
`stretched`	rule	`C > sma(C, 20) + 2 * atr(14)` Stretched: more than 2 ATR above the 20-day
`rsi70`	rule	`rsi(C, 14) > 70` RSI above 70
`bb_up`	rule	`C > bbupper(C, 20, 2)` Closed above the upper Bollinger band
`drop5`	forecast	Will it drop at least 5% at some point in the next month? A 5% drawdown within a month

Answers

Question	Answer	Reading
`ext_200d` Is the stock more than 10% above its 200-day moving average compiled to `C > sma(C, 200) * 1.1`	0.0537	false
`stretched` Stretched: more than 2 ATR above the 20-day	0.061	false
`rsi70` RSI above 70	0.0537	false
`bb_up` Closed above the upper Bollinger band	0.057	false
`drop5` A 5% drawdown within a month	0.627	63% · likely

Actions

Rules on the answers decide what to send.

stretched >= 0.6 and rsi70 >= 0.6→Emailme

else→Emailme

What each action would send 1 of 2 fired · dry run, nothing sent

trim_noterule false: skipped

hold_notewould send (dry run)Email → me

{
  "subject": "NFLX: no trim signal",
  "text": "NFLX (2026-10-30): not stretched (rule 6%), RSI over 70 5%."
}

What it means

For NFLX on the session of 2026-10-30: Not true: Is the stock more than 10% above its 200-day moving average; Stretched: more than 2 ATR above the 20-day; RSI above 70; Closed above the upper Bollinger band. Forecasts: A 5% drawdown within a month 63%. Fired: hold_note (Email → me).

The trim email fires only when both stretch rules agree; otherwise the else branch confirms there is nothing to do.

Request JSON

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "NFLX"
  },
  "questions": {
    "ext_200d": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Is the stock more than 10% above its 200-day moving average?"
    },
    "stretched": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C > sma(C, 20) + 2 * atr(14)"
    },
    "rsi70": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "rsi(C, 14) > 70"
    },
    "bb_up": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C > bbupper(C, 20, 2)"
    },
    "drop5": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will it drop at least 5% at some point in the next month?"
    }
  },
  "actions": [
    {
      "id": "trim_note",
      "when": "stretched >= 0.6 and rsi70 >= 0.6",
      "do": "email",
      "connection": "me",
      "subject": "{{symbol}} looks stretched",
      "message": "{{symbol}} ({{as_of}}) is 2 ATR above its 20-day and RSI is over 70. Consider trimming. 5% drawdown odds: {{drop5|pct}}."
    },
    {
      "id": "hold_note",
      "when": "else",
      "do": "email",
      "connection": "me",
      "subject": "{{symbol}}: no trim signal",
      "message": "{{symbol}} ({{as_of}}): not stretched (rule {{stretched|pct}}), RSI over 70 {{rsi70|pct}}."
    }
  ],
  "dry_run": true
}

Response JSON (NFLX, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "ext_200d": {
      "yes_no": 0.0537,
      "rule": "C > sma(C, 200) * 1.1",
      "basis": "comparison"
    },
    "stretched": {
      "yes_no": 0.061,
      "rule": "C > sma(C, 20) + 2 * atr(14)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "rsi70": {
      "yes_no": 0.0537,
      "rule": "rsi(C, 14) > 70",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "bb_up": {
      "yes_no": 0.057,
      "rule": "C > bbupper(C, 20, 2)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "drop5": {
      "yes_no": 0.627
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "NFLX",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  },
  "actions": [
    {
      "id": "trim_note",
      "fired": false,
      "status": "skipped"
    },
    {
      "id": "hold_note",
      "fired": true,
      "status": "dry_run",
      "do": "email",
      "connection": "me",
      "preview": {
        "subject": "NFLX: no trim signal",
        "text": "NFLX (2026-10-30): not stretched (rule 6%), RSI over 70 5%."
      }
    }
  ]
}

atr bbupper rsi sma

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Information, not investment advice. Rules answer from the latest completed daily session; forecasts are probabilities. Actions ran as dry runs: nothing was sent. More in Individuals: Active day trader, Swing trader, Options trader, Dividend investor, Long-term passive investor, Crypto trader, FX trader, Commodities trader, Social trading community, Students and universities.

Create an account Open the Playground Everything here also lives in the console, next to your keys and usage.

Individuals

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Corporates

Builders

Institutions

Is AAPL in an uptrend before I buy?

State

Questions

Answers

What it means

Email me when MSFT dips inside its uptrend

State

Questions

Answers

Actions

What it means

Does NVDA report soon, and how did it react last time?

State

Questions

Answers

What it means

Is KO's dividend still safe to rely on?

State

Questions

Answers

What it means

A Friday email for my five stocks

State

Questions

Answers

Actions

What it means

Is COST near its 52-week high, and is volume confirming?

State

Questions

Answers

What it means

Was today's drop in TSLA unusual?

State

Questions

Answers

What it means

Is my core index fund in a healthy trend?

State

Questions

Answers

What it means

Did AMD just make a golden cross?

State

Questions

Answers

What it means

Should I trim NFLX after a big run?

State

Questions

Answers

Actions

What it means