Model

Use cases · Individuals

Commodities trader: 20 ways to use Ora

Gold, silver, oil, gas, metals and agriculture through their exchange-traded funds and producers. Each example is a complete, runnable request with the real answers it returned (35 requests, captured 2026-10-31), what they mean and, where it fits, the action it would send.

Run withAnswers were captured on ora-fin-0.1.1. Another model changes the request JSON and the Playground link; run it there to see its answers.

Rule functions and facts used by this player (49)

sma 12 ref 5 roc 4 avg 3 highest 3 offset 3 swinglow 3 rsi 3 lowest 3 ema 2 atr_pct 2 atr 2 max 2 swinghigh 2 min 2 adx 1 log 1 sqrt 1 std 1 tr 1 obv 1 crossup 1 beat_eps_last 1 div_yield_ttm 1 years_of_growth 1 dragonfly_doji 1 hammer 1 inverted_hammer 1 macd 1 macdsignal 1 inside_bar 1 abs 1 beats_last4 1 days_to_earnings 1 last_earnings_gap 1 last_earnings_move 1 cut_last 1 engulfing_bull 1 harami_bull 1 pays_dividend 1 bblower 1 percentrank 1 stochd 1 linreg 1 rma 1 wma 1 engulfing_bear 1 three_black_crows 1 eps_growth_yoy 1

Examples 11–20 of 20 · page 2 of 2

Commodities trader · example 11

Platinum (PPLT): is it stuck in a range?

Range traders want a tight, quiet market. Check range width, NR7 and where the close sits in its 20-day range.

ora-fin-0.1.1PPLT5 questions

StatePPLT
Questions5 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actionsnone

State

{"symbol":"PPLT"} The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`tight`	English → rule	Has the stock traded in a range of less than 5% over the last 10 sessions?
`nr7`	rule	`(H - L) < lowest(H - L, 6)` Narrowest range of the last seven sessions (NR7)
`range_pos`	rule	`(C - lowest(L, 20)) / (highest(H, 20) - lowest(L, 20)) < 0.3` Close in the bottom 30% of the prior 20-day range
`inside`	rule	`inside_bar()` inside bar candle: Today's high and low are inside yesterday's (equal counts).
`big_move`	forecast	Will there be a big move in either direction in the next 5 days? A big move either way in 5 days

Answers

Question	Answer	Reading
`tight` Has the stock traded in a range of less than 5% over the last 10 sessions compiled to `max(H, 10) / min(L, 10) - 1 < 0.05`	0.0537	false
`nr7` Narrowest range of the last seven sessions (NR7)	0.2061	false
`range_pos` Close in the bottom 30% of the prior 20-day range	0.8824	true
`inside` inside bar candle: Today's high and low are inside yesterday's (equal counts).	0.0917	false
`big_move` A big move either way in 5 days	0.353	35% · unlikely

What it means

For PPLT on the session of 2026-10-30: True now: Close in the bottom 30% of the prior 20-day range. Not true: Has the stock traded in a range of less than 5% over the last 10 sessions; Narrowest range of the last seven sessions (NR7); inside bar candle: Today's high and low are inside yesterday's (equal counts).. Forecasts: A big move either way in 5 days 35%.

A tight range with the close near the bottom is a range-buy setup; the big-move forecast warns when the range may break.

Request JSON

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "PPLT"
  },
  "questions": {
    "tight": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Has the stock traded in a range of less than 5% over the last 10 sessions?"
    },
    "nr7": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "(H - L) < lowest(H - L, 6)"
    },
    "range_pos": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "(C - lowest(L, 20)) / (highest(H, 20) - lowest(L, 20)) < 0.3"
    },
    "inside": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "inside_bar()"
    },
    "big_move": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will there be a big move in either direction in the next 5 days?"
    }
  }
}

Response JSON (PPLT, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "tight": {
      "yes_no": 0.0537,
      "rule": "max(H, 10) / min(L, 10) - 1 < 0.05",
      "basis": "pattern"
    },
    "nr7": {
      "yes_no": 0.2061,
      "rule": "(H - L) < lowest(H - L, 6)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "range_pos": {
      "yes_no": 0.8824,
      "rule": "(C - lowest(L, 20)) / (highest(H, 20) - lowest(L, 20)) < 0.3",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "inside": {
      "yes_no": 0.0917,
      "rule": "inside_bar()",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "big_move": {
      "yes_no": 0.353
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "PPLT",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  }
}

highest inside_bar lowest max min

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Commodities trader · example 12

Energy equities: OIH and XOP vs crude

Oil services and exploration stocks lead or lag crude. Compare their trend and momentum with USO.

ora-fin-0.1.13 symbols, one request each4 questions

State3 symbols
Questions4 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actionsnone

State

{"symbol":"OIH"} then XOP, USO, one request each. The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`trend`	rule	`C > sma(C, 50)` Above the 50-day average
`roc`	rule	`roc(C, 20) > 5` Up more than 5% in 20 sessions
`rsi_hot`	rule	`rsi(C, 14) > 70` RSI above 70
`beat_spy`	forecast	Will it beat SPY over the next month? Beating SPY over a month

Answers

Symbol	`trend`rule	`roc`rule	`rsi_hot`rule	`beat_spy`forecast
`OIH`	0.745	0.6882	0.1605	0.54
`XOP`	0.9204	0.8431	0.1585	0.547
`USO`	0.9434	0.8727	0.2905	0.573

true false not known for rules; forecasts are odds. Hover a column for its question.

What it means

Session of 2026-10-30, 3 symbols: Above the 50-day average: true for OIH, XOP, USO of 3. Up more than 5% in 20 sessions: true for OIH, XOP, USO of 3. RSI above 70: true for none of 3. Highest odds for “Beating SPY over a month”: USO at 57%.

Equities leading crude is a sign the market expects higher prices to stick; equities lagging a crude rally doubts it.

Request JSON (OIH; the others differ only in the symbol)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "OIH"
  },
  "questions": {
    "trend": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C > sma(C, 50)"
    },
    "roc": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "roc(C, 20) > 5"
    },
    "rsi_hot": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "rsi(C, 14) > 70"
    },
    "beat_spy": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will it beat SPY over the next month?"
    }
  }
}

Response JSON (OIH, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "trend": {
      "yes_no": 0.745,
      "rule": "C > sma(C, 50)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "roc": {
      "yes_no": 0.6882,
      "rule": "roc(C, 20) > 5",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "rsi_hot": {
      "yes_no": 0.1605,
      "rule": "rsi(C, 14) > 70",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "beat_spy": {
      "yes_no": 0.54
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "OIH",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  }
}

roc rsi sma

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Commodities trader · example 13

Safe-haven bid: gold up while stocks fall

Email when GLD makes a 20-day high on a day it rose on volume, the classic flight-to-safety print.

ora-fin-0.1.1GLD4 questions2 actions

StateGLD
Questions4 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actions2 rules · dry run

State

{"symbol":"GLD"} The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`high20`	rule	`H > highest(H, 20)` Took out the 20-day high intraday
`up_vol`	English → rule	Did the stock rise on above-average volume?
`trend_day`	rule	`(O <= L + 0.2 * (H - L)) and (C >= H - 0.2 * (H - L))` A trend day up: opened near the low, closed near the high
`vol_rise`	forecast	Will volatility rise over the next 5 days? Volatility rising over 5 days

Answers

Question	Answer	Reading
`high20` Took out the 20-day high intraday	0.0732	false
`up_vol` Did the stock rise on above-average volume compiled to `(C > C[-1]) and (V > ref(avg(V, 20), -1))`	0.064	false
`trend_day` A trend day up: opened near the low, closed near the high	0.0574	false
`vol_rise` Volatility rising over 5 days	0.568	57% · close to even

Actions

Rules on the answers decide what to send.

high20 >= 0.6 and up_vol >= 0.6→Emailme

else→Emailme

What each action would send 1 of 2 fired · dry run, nothing sent

havenrule false: skipped

quietwould send (dry run)Email → me

{
  "subject": "GLD: no haven bid",
  "text": "GLD (2026-10-30): no 20-day high on volume (high 7%, volume 6%)."
}

What it means

For GLD on the session of 2026-10-30: Not true: Took out the 20-day high intraday; Did the stock rise on above-average volume; A trend day up: opened near the low, closed near the high. Forecasts: Volatility rising over 5 days 57%. Fired: quiet (Email → me).

One of two emails every time it runs: a haven-bid note or a no-signal line, so silence never means the check failed.

Request JSON

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "GLD"
  },
  "questions": {
    "high20": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "H > highest(H, 20)"
    },
    "up_vol": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Did the stock rise on above-average volume?"
    },
    "trend_day": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "(O <= L + 0.2 * (H - L)) and (C >= H - 0.2 * (H - L))"
    },
    "vol_rise": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will volatility rise over the next 5 days?"
    }
  },
  "actions": [
    {
      "id": "haven",
      "when": "high20 >= 0.6 and up_vol >= 0.6",
      "do": "email",
      "connection": "me",
      "subject": "{{symbol}}: safe-haven bid ({{as_of}})",
      "message": "{{symbol}} made a 20-day high on above-average volume. Trend day up {{trend_day|pct}}; volatility rising {{vol_rise|pct}}."
    },
    {
      "id": "quiet",
      "when": "else",
      "do": "email",
      "connection": "me",
      "subject": "{{symbol}}: no haven bid",
      "message": "{{symbol}} ({{as_of}}): no 20-day high on volume (high {{high20|pct}}, volume {{up_vol|pct}})."
    }
  ],
  "dry_run": true
}

Response JSON (GLD, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "high20": {
      "yes_no": 0.0732,
      "rule": "H > highest(H, 20)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "up_vol": {
      "yes_no": 0.064,
      "rule": "(C > C[-1]) and (V > ref(avg(V, 20), -1))",
      "basis": "pattern"
    },
    "trend_day": {
      "yes_no": 0.0574,
      "rule": "(O <= L + 0.2 * (H - L)) and (C >= H - 0.2 * (H - L))",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "vol_rise": {
      "yes_no": 0.568
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "GLD",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  },
  "actions": [
    {
      "id": "haven",
      "fired": false,
      "status": "skipped"
    },
    {
      "id": "quiet",
      "fired": true,
      "status": "dry_run",
      "do": "email",
      "connection": "me",
      "preview": {
        "subject": "GLD: no haven bid",
        "text": "GLD (2026-10-30): no 20-day high on volume (high 7%, volume 6%)."
      }
    }
  ]
}

avg highest offset ref

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Commodities trader · example 14

Steel and aluminum: NUE and AA into earnings

Metals producers react hard to results. Check the report date, beat history and last reaction before holding through it.

ora-fin-0.1.12 symbols, one request each5 questions

State2 symbols
Questions5 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actionsnone

State

{"symbol":"NUE"} then AA, one request each. The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`earn_soon`	rule	`days_to_earnings <= 10` Reports earnings within 10 days
`streak`	English → rule	Has the stock beaten EPS estimates in at least 3 of the last 4 quarters?
`big`	rule	`abs(last_earnings_move) > 5` Last earnings move bigger than 5%
`gap_after`	English → rule	Did the stock gap up after its last earnings?
`big_move`	forecast	Will there be a big move in either direction in the next 5 days? A big move either way in 5 days

Answers

Symbol	`earn_soon`rule	`streak`rule	`big`rule	`gap_after`rule	`big_move`forecast
`NUE`	0.0537	0.1409	0.9463	0.9083	0.257
`AA`	0.0537	0.1409	0.0537	0.9463	0.258

true false not known for rules; forecasts are odds. Hover a column for its question.

What it means

Session of 2026-10-30, 2 symbols: Reports earnings within 10 days: true for none of 2. Has the stock beaten EPS estimates in at least 3 of the last 4 quarters: true for none of 2. Last earnings move bigger than 5%: true for NUE of 2. Did the stock gap up after its last earnings: true for NUE, AA of 2. Highest odds for “A big move either way in 5 days”: AA at 26%.

A report within days plus a history of big reactions is event risk to size for; the beat record is context, not a prediction.

Request JSON (NUE; the others differ only in the symbol)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "NUE"
  },
  "questions": {
    "earn_soon": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "days_to_earnings <= 10"
    },
    "streak": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Has the stock beaten EPS estimates in at least 3 of the last 4 quarters?"
    },
    "big": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "abs(last_earnings_move) > 5"
    },
    "gap_after": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Did the stock gap up after its last earnings?"
    },
    "big_move": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will there be a big move in either direction in the next 5 days?"
    }
  }
}

Response JSON (NUE, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "earn_soon": {
      "yes_no": 0.0537,
      "rule": "days_to_earnings <= 10",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "streak": {
      "yes_no": 0.1409,
      "rule": "beats_last4 >= 3",
      "basis": "pattern"
    },
    "big": {
      "yes_no": 0.9463,
      "rule": "abs(last_earnings_move) > 5",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "gap_after": {
      "yes_no": 0.9083,
      "rule": "last_earnings_gap > 0",
      "basis": "pattern"
    },
    "big_move": {
      "yes_no": 0.257
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "NUE",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  }
}

abs beats_last4 days_to_earnings last_earnings_gap last_earnings_move

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Commodities trader · example 15

Close-of-day commodity digest: GLD, SLV, USO, UNG, DBA

Every weekday after the close, run the same three questions on five funds and post a Slack line for any breakdown.

ora-fin-0.1.15 symbols, one request each3 questions1 actionworkflow · Mon–Fri at 17:00 ET

ScheduleMon–Fri at 17:00 ET
State5 symbols
Questions3 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actions1 rule · dry run

State

{"symbol":"GLD"} then SLV, USO, UNG, DBA, one request each. The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`breakdown`	rule	`C < lowest(L, 20)` Closed under the 20-day low
`trend`	rule	`C > sma(C, 50)` Above the 50-day average
`drop5`	forecast	Will it drop at least 5% at some point in the next month? A 5% drawdown within a month

Answers

Symbol	`breakdown`rule	`trend`rule	`drop5`forecast	Fired
`GLD`	0.7286	0.0807	0.435	`breakdown`
`SLV`	0.7691	0.0607	0.612	`breakdown`
`USO`	0.0537	0.9434	0.615	none
`UNG`	0.5521	0.0642	0.632	none
`DBA`	0.5978	0.0654	0.165	none

true false not known for rules; forecasts are odds. Hover a column for its question.

Actions

Rules on the answers decide what to send. Each symbol runs its own request, so each one can fire.

breakdown >= 0.6→Slackcommodities-desk

GLD 1 of 1 fired · dry run, nothing sent

breakdownwould send (dry run)Slack → commodities-desk

{
  "text": "GLD (2026-10-30): closed under its 20-day low. Above the 50-day 8%; 5% drawdown odds 44%."
}

SLV 1 of 1 fired · dry run, nothing sent

breakdownwould send (dry run)Slack → commodities-desk

{
  "text": "SLV (2026-10-30): closed under its 20-day low. Above the 50-day 6%; 5% drawdown odds 61%."
}

USO 0 of 1 fired · dry run, nothing sent

UNG 0 of 1 fired · dry run, nothing sent

DBA 0 of 1 fired · dry run, nothing sent

What it means

Session of 2026-10-30, 5 symbols: Closed under the 20-day low: true for GLD, SLV of 5. Above the 50-day average: true for USO of 5. Highest odds for “A 5% drawdown within a month”: UNG at 63%. breakdown fired for GLD, SLV.

A scheduled workflow: quiet days produce nothing, a breakdown in any fund produces one Slack line.

As a scheduled workflow (Mon–Fri at 17:00 ET)

Create it under Workflows in the console: it runs these questions for every symbol on the schedule and fires the actions per symbol. The answers above are what one run returned.

{
  "name": "Close-of-day commodity digest: GLD, SLV, USO, UNG, DBA",
  "symbols": "GLD SLV USO UNG DBA",
  "days": [
    1,
    2,
    3,
    4,
    5
  ],
  "at_time": "17:00",
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "questions": {
    "breakdown": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C < lowest(L, 20)"
    },
    "trend": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C > sma(C, 50)"
    },
    "drop5": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will it drop at least 5% at some point in the next month?"
    }
  },
  "actions": [
    {
      "id": "breakdown",
      "when": "breakdown >= 0.6",
      "do": "slack",
      "connection": "commodities-desk",
      "message": "{{symbol}} ({{as_of}}): closed under its 20-day low. Above the 50-day {{trend|pct}}; 5% drawdown odds {{drop5|pct}}."
    }
  ]
}

Request JSON (GLD; the others differ only in the symbol)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "GLD"
  },
  "questions": {
    "breakdown": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C < lowest(L, 20)"
    },
    "trend": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C > sma(C, 50)"
    },
    "drop5": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will it drop at least 5% at some point in the next month?"
    }
  },
  "actions": [
    {
      "id": "breakdown",
      "when": "breakdown >= 0.6",
      "do": "slack",
      "connection": "commodities-desk",
      "message": "{{symbol}} ({{as_of}}): closed under its 20-day low. Above the 50-day {{trend|pct}}; 5% drawdown odds {{drop5|pct}}."
    }
  ],
  "dry_run": true
}

Response JSON (GLD, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "breakdown": {
      "yes_no": 0.7286,
      "rule": "C < lowest(L, 20)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "trend": {
      "yes_no": 0.0807,
      "rule": "C > sma(C, 50)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "drop5": {
      "yes_no": 0.435
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "GLD",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  },
  "actions": [
    {
      "id": "breakdown",
      "fired": true,
      "status": "dry_run",
      "do": "slack",
      "connection": "commodities-desk",
      "preview": {
        "text": "GLD (2026-10-30): closed under its 20-day low. Above the 50-day 8%; 5% drawdown odds 44%."
      }
    }
  ]
}

lowest sma

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Commodities trader · example 16

NEM: gold producer trend, dividend and candles

Check Newmont against gold: trend, dividend facts and any engulfing or harami candles on the latest bars.

ora-fin-0.1.1NEM6 questions

StateNEM
Questions6 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actionsnone

State

{"symbol":"NEM"} The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`trend`	rule	`C > sma(C, 50)` Above the 50-day average
`pays`	rule	`pays_dividend > 0.5` Pays a dividend
`cut`	English → rule	Did the stock cut its dividend last time?
`engulf`	rule	`engulfing_bull()` engulfing bull candle: A green body that engulfs yesterday's red body.
`harami`	rule	`harami_bull()` harami bull candle: A small green body inside yesterday's red body.
`up_week`	forecast	Will the stock be higher in a week? Higher in a week

Answers

Question	Answer	Reading
`trend` Above the 50-day average	0.1321	false
`pays` Pays a dividend	0.8591	true
`cut` Did the stock cut its dividend last time compiled to `cut_last > 0.5`	0.1409	false
`engulf` engulfing bull candle: A green body that engulfs yesterday's red body.	0.0943	false
`harami` harami bull candle: A small green body inside yesterday's red body.	0.0776	false
`up_week` Higher in a week	0.515	52% · close to even

What it means

For NEM on the session of 2026-10-30: True now: Pays a dividend. Not true: Above the 50-day average; Did the stock cut its dividend last time; engulfing bull candle: A green body that engulfs yesterday's red body.; harami bull candle: A small green body inside yesterday's red body.. Forecasts: Higher in a week 52%.

Producer dividends can be cut when gold falls; the candle checks are short-term timing on top of the trend.

Request JSON

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "NEM"
  },
  "questions": {
    "trend": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C > sma(C, 50)"
    },
    "pays": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "pays_dividend > 0.5"
    },
    "cut": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Did the stock cut its dividend last time?"
    },
    "engulf": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "engulfing_bull()"
    },
    "harami": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "harami_bull()"
    },
    "up_week": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will the stock be higher in a week?"
    }
  }
}

Response JSON (NEM, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "trend": {
      "yes_no": 0.1321,
      "rule": "C > sma(C, 50)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "pays": {
      "yes_no": 0.8591,
      "rule": "pays_dividend > 0.5",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "cut": {
      "yes_no": 0.1409,
      "rule": "cut_last > 0.5",
      "basis": "pattern"
    },
    "engulf": {
      "yes_no": 0.0943,
      "rule": "engulfing_bull()",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "harami": {
      "yes_no": 0.0776,
      "rule": "harami_bull()",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "up_week": {
      "yes_no": 0.515
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "NEM",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  }
}

cut_last engulfing_bull harami_bull pays_dividend sma

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Commodities trader · example 17

Is crude (USO) oversold enough to fade?

Short-term mean reversion in oil: RSI(2), percent-rank of the close and distance under the lower band.

ora-fin-0.1.1USO5 questions

StateUSO
Questions5 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actionsnone

State

{"symbol":"USO"} The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`rsi2`	rule	`rsi(C, 2) < 10` Two-day RSI under 10
`rank`	rule	`percentrank(C, 60) < 10` Close in the bottom 10% of the last 60 sessions
`band`	English → rule	Did the stock close below the lower Bollinger Band?
`stoch_d`	rule	`stochd(14) < 20` Stochastic %D under 20
`bounce`	forecast	Will it rally at least 5% at some point in the next month? A 5% rally within a month

Answers

Question	Answer	Reading
`rsi2` Two-day RSI under 10	0.0582	false
`rank` Close in the bottom 10% of the last 60 sessions	0.0537	false
`band` Did the stock close below the lower Bollinger Band compiled to `C < bblower(C, 20)`	0.054	false
`stoch_d` Stochastic %D under 20	0.0611	false
`bounce` A 5% rally within a month	0.658	66% · likely

What it means

For USO on the session of 2026-10-30: Not true: Two-day RSI under 10; Close in the bottom 10% of the last 60 sessions; Did the stock close below the lower Bollinger Band; Stochastic %D under 20. Forecasts: A 5% rally within a month 66%.

Several oversold readings together describe a washed-out market; the bounce forecast is the odds, not a target.

Request JSON

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "USO"
  },
  "questions": {
    "rsi2": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "rsi(C, 2) < 10"
    },
    "rank": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "percentrank(C, 60) < 10"
    },
    "band": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Did the stock close below the lower Bollinger Band?"
    },
    "stoch_d": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "stochd(14) < 20"
    },
    "bounce": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will it rally at least 5% at some point in the next month?"
    }
  }
}

Response JSON (USO, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "rsi2": {
      "yes_no": 0.0582,
      "rule": "rsi(C, 2) < 10",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "rank": {
      "yes_no": 0.0537,
      "rule": "percentrank(C, 60) < 10",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "band": {
      "yes_no": 0.054,
      "rule": "C < bblower(C, 20)",
      "basis": "comparison"
    },
    "stoch_d": {
      "yes_no": 0.0611,
      "rule": "stochd(14) < 20",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "bounce": {
      "yes_no": 0.658
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "USO",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  }
}

bblower percentrank rsi stochd

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Commodities trader · example 18

Gold's long trend, measured several ways

Compare simple, Wilder and weighted averages and a regression line on IAU, so one indicator's quirk does not decide the trend.

ora-fin-0.1.1IAU5 questions

StateIAU
Questions5 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actionsnone

State

{"symbol":"IAU"} The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`sma`	rule	`C > sma(C, 100)` Above the 100-day SMA
`rma`	rule	`C > rma(C, 100)` Above the 100-day Wilder average
`wma`	rule	`C > wma(C, 100)` Above the 100-day WMA
`linreg`	rule	`linreg(C, 50) > ref(linreg(C, 50), -10)` 50-day regression line rising over two weeks
`drop5`	forecast	Will it drop at least 5% at some point in the next month? A 5% drawdown within a month

Answers

Question	Answer	Reading
`sma` Above the 100-day SMA	0.0562	false
`rma` Above the 100-day Wilder average	0.0619	false
`wma` Above the 100-day WMA	0.066	false
`linreg` 50-day regression line rising over two weeks	0.177	false
`drop5` A 5% drawdown within a month	0.425	43% · close to even

What it means

For IAU on the session of 2026-10-30: Not true: Above the 100-day SMA; Above the 100-day Wilder average; Above the 100-day WMA; 50-day regression line rising over two weeks. Forecasts: A 5% drawdown within a month 43%.

When all four agree, the trend is not an artefact of one averaging method; disagreement means the trend is young or fading.

Request JSON

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "IAU"
  },
  "questions": {
    "sma": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C > sma(C, 100)"
    },
    "rma": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C > rma(C, 100)"
    },
    "wma": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C > wma(C, 100)"
    },
    "linreg": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "linreg(C, 50) > ref(linreg(C, 50), -10)"
    },
    "drop5": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will it drop at least 5% at some point in the next month?"
    }
  }
}

Response JSON (IAU, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "sma": {
      "yes_no": 0.0562,
      "rule": "C > sma(C, 100)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "rma": {
      "yes_no": 0.0619,
      "rule": "C > rma(C, 100)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "wma": {
      "yes_no": 0.066,
      "rule": "C > wma(C, 100)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "linreg": {
      "yes_no": 0.177,
      "rule": "linreg(C, 50) > ref(linreg(C, 50), -10)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "drop5": {
      "yes_no": 0.425
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "IAU",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  }
}

linreg ref rma sma wma

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Commodities trader · example 19

Metals & mining (XME): breakdown short signal

A breakdown below the 20-day low with a bearish candle sends a short signal to the order system; otherwise nothing.

ora-fin-0.1.1XME5 questions1 action

StateXME
Questions5 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actions1 rule · dry run

State

{"symbol":"XME"} The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`breakdown`	rule	`C < lowest(L, 20)` Closed under the 20-day low
`crows`	rule	`three_black_crows()` three black crows candle: Three red bars, each closing lower and opening inside the previous body.
`bear_engulf`	English → rule	Is today a bearish engulfing candle?
`lower`	English → rule	Is the stock making lower swing highs and lower swing lows?
`drop10`	forecast	Will it drop at least 10% at some point in the next month? A 10% drawdown within a month

Answers

Question	Answer	Reading
`breakdown` Closed under the 20-day low	0.3233	false
`crows` three black crows candle: Three red bars, each closing lower and opening inside the previous body.	0.0726	false
`bear_engulf` Is today a bearish engulfing candle compiled to `engulfing_bear()`	0.0726	false
`lower` Is the stock making lower swing highs and lower swing lows compiled to `(swinghigh(5, 1) < swinghigh(5, 2)) and (swinglow(5, 1) < swinglow(5, 2))`	0.6865	true
`drop10` A 10% drawdown within a month	0.529	53% · close to even

Actions

Rules on the answers decide what to send.

breakdown >= 0.6 and (crows >= 0.6 or bear_engulf >= 0.6)→Webhookmy-oms

What each action would send 0 of 1 fired · dry run, nothing sent

shortrule false: skipped

What it means

For XME on the session of 2026-10-30: True now: Is the stock making lower swing highs and lower swing lows. Not true: Closed under the 20-day low; three black crows candle: Three red bars, each closing lower and opening inside the previous body.; Is today a bearish engulfing candle. Forecasts: A 10% drawdown within a month 53%. No action fired: every rule was false.

The short signal needs a breakdown and a bearish candle on the same day; lower swing highs and lows add context but do not trigger it.

Request JSON

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "XME"
  },
  "questions": {
    "breakdown": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C < lowest(L, 20)"
    },
    "crows": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "three_black_crows()"
    },
    "bear_engulf": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Is today a bearish engulfing candle?"
    },
    "lower": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Is the stock making lower swing highs and lower swing lows?"
    },
    "drop10": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will it drop at least 10% at some point in the next month?"
    }
  },
  "actions": [
    {
      "id": "short",
      "when": "breakdown >= 0.6 and (crows >= 0.6 or bear_engulf >= 0.6)",
      "do": "webhook",
      "connection": "my-oms",
      "body": {
        "symbol": "{{symbol}}",
        "side": "sell_short",
        "signal": "breakdown_bear_candle",
        "p_breakdown": "{{breakdown}}",
        "p_crows": "{{crows}}",
        "p_engulf": "{{bear_engulf}}",
        "as_of": "{{as_of}}"
      }
    }
  ],
  "dry_run": true
}

Response JSON (XME, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "breakdown": {
      "yes_no": 0.3233,
      "rule": "C < lowest(L, 20)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "crows": {
      "yes_no": 0.0726,
      "rule": "three_black_crows()",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "bear_engulf": {
      "yes_no": 0.0726,
      "rule": "engulfing_bear()",
      "basis": "pattern"
    },
    "lower": {
      "yes_no": 0.6865,
      "rule": "(swinghigh(5, 1) < swinghigh(5, 2)) and (swinglow(5, 1) < swinglow(5, 2))",
      "basis": "pattern"
    },
    "drop10": {
      "yes_no": 0.529
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "XME",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  },
  "actions": [
    {
      "id": "short",
      "fired": false,
      "status": "skipped"
    }
  ]
}

engulfing_bear lowest swinghigh swinglow three_black_crows

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Commodities trader · example 20

COP and OXY: which oil producer is stronger?

Two US producers, identical questions: trend, momentum, earnings growth and the odds of beating SPY.

ora-fin-0.1.12 symbols, one request each4 questions

State2 symbols
Questions4 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actionsnone

State

{"symbol":"COP"} then OXY, one request each. The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`trend`	rule	`C > ema(C, 20) and ema(C, 20) > sma(C, 50) and sma(C, 50) > sma(C, 200)` Stacked averages: close > 20 EMA > 50 > 200
`roc`	rule	`roc(C, 20) > 5` Up more than 5% in 20 sessions
`eps_g`	rule	`eps_growth_yoy > 10` EPS up more than 10% on the year
`beat_spy`	forecast	Will it beat SPY over the next month? Beating SPY over a month

Answers

Symbol	`trend`rule	`roc`rule	`eps_g`rule	`beat_spy`forecast
`COP`	0.9328	0.9299	0.9463	0.60
`OXY`	0.8828	0.8349	0.9463	0.548

true false not known for rules; forecasts are odds. Hover a column for its question.

What it means

Session of 2026-10-30, 2 symbols: Stacked averages: close > 20 EMA > 50 > 200: true for COP, OXY of 2. Up more than 5% in 20 sessions: true for COP, OXY of 2. EPS up more than 10% on the year: true for COP, OXY of 2. Highest odds for “Beating SPY over a month”: COP at 60%.

Prefer the producer with more rules true and better relative odds; earnings growth explains part of any gap between them.

Request JSON (COP; the others differ only in the symbol)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "COP"
  },
  "questions": {
    "trend": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C > ema(C, 20) and ema(C, 20) > sma(C, 50) and sma(C, 50) > sma(C, 200)"
    },
    "roc": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "roc(C, 20) > 5"
    },
    "eps_g": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "eps_growth_yoy > 10"
    },
    "beat_spy": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will it beat SPY over the next month?"
    }
  }
}

Response JSON (COP, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "trend": {
      "yes_no": 0.9328,
      "rule": "C > ema(C, 20) and ema(C, 20) > sma(C, 50) and sma(C, 50) > sma(C, 200)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "roc": {
      "yes_no": 0.9299,
      "rule": "roc(C, 20) > 5",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "eps_g": {
      "yes_no": 0.9463,
      "rule": "eps_growth_yoy > 10",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "beat_spy": {
      "yes_no": 0.6
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "COP",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  }
}

ema eps_growth_yoy roc sma

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Information, not investment advice. Rules answer from the latest completed daily session; forecasts are probabilities. Actions ran as dry runs: nothing was sent. More in Individuals: Retail investor, Active day trader, Swing trader, Options trader, Dividend investor, Long-term passive investor, Crypto trader, FX trader, Social trading community, Students and universities.

Create an account Open the Playground Everything here also lives in the console, next to your keys and usage.

Individuals

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Sell side

Corporates

Builders

Institutions

Platinum (PPLT): is it stuck in a range?

State

Questions

Answers

What it means

Energy equities: OIH and XOP vs crude

State

Questions

Answers

What it means

Safe-haven bid: gold up while stocks fall

State

Questions

Answers

Actions

What it means

Steel and aluminum: NUE and AA into earnings

State

Questions

Answers

What it means

Close-of-day commodity digest: GLD, SLV, USO, UNG, DBA

State

Questions

Answers

Actions

What it means

NEM: gold producer trend, dividend and candles

State

Questions

Answers

What it means

Is crude (USO) oversold enough to fade?

State

Questions

Answers

What it means

Gold's long trend, measured several ways

State

Questions

Answers

What it means

Metals & mining (XME): breakdown short signal

State

Questions

Answers

Actions

What it means

COP and OXY: which oil producer is stronger?

State

Questions

Answers

What it means