Model

Use cases · Individuals

Crypto trader: 20 ways to use Ora

Trades crypto through listed vehicles: spot bitcoin and ether ETFs, miners and bitcoin-heavy treasuries. Each example is a complete, runnable request with the real answers it returned (29 requests, captured 2026-10-31), what they mean and, where it fits, the action it would send.

Run withAnswers were captured on ora-fin-0.1.1. Another model changes the request JSON and the Playground link; run it there to see its answers.

Rule functions and facts used by this player (50)

offset 8 ref 7 rsi 7 sma 5 atr 4 abs 3 ema 2 avg 2 highest 2 bblower 2 atr_pct 2 log 2 sqrt 2 std 2 roc 2 pays_dividend 2 percentrank 2 macd 1 macdsignal 1 max 1 willr 1 zscore 1 days_to_earnings 1 last_earnings_move 1 adx 1 diminus 1 diplus 1 hammer 1 morning_star 1 piercing_line 1 linreg 1 mean 1 wma 1 tr 1 crossup 1 macdhist 1 bbmid 1 bbupper 1 min 1 swinglow 1 between 1 least 1 median 1 cum 1 rec 1 rma 1 dark_cloud 1 days_since_split 1 last_split_ratio 1 shooting_star 1

Examples 11–20 of 20 · page 2 of 2

Crypto trader · example 11

Did MSTR cross back above its 20-day EMA?

A momentum entry: the close crosses up through the 20-day EMA while the MACD histogram turns higher.

ora-fin-0.1.1MSTR4 questions1 action

StateMSTR
Questions4 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actions1 rule · dry run

State

{"symbol":"MSTR"} The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`cross`	rule	`crossup(C, ema(C, 20))` Close crossed above the 20-day EMA today
`hist`	rule	`macdhist(C) > ref(macdhist(C), -1)` MACD histogram rising
`rsi50`	rule	`rsi(C, 14) > 50` RSI above 50
`drop10`	forecast	Will it drop at least 10% at some point in the next month? A 10% drawdown within a month

Answers

Question	Answer	Reading
`cross` Close crossed above the 20-day EMA today	0.05	false
`hist` MACD histogram rising	0.138	false
`rsi50` RSI above 50	0.1221	false
`drop10` A 10% drawdown within a month	0.777	78% · likely

Actions

Rules on the answers decide what to send.

cross >= 0.6 and hist >= 0.6→Webhookmy-oms

What each action would send 0 of 1 fired · dry run, nothing sent

entryrule false: skipped

What it means

For MSTR on the session of 2026-10-30: Not true: Close crossed above the 20-day EMA today; MACD histogram rising; RSI above 50. Forecasts: A 10% drawdown within a month 78%. No action fired: every rule was false.

The order webhook fires only when the cross and the histogram agree on the same day; a cross alone is often noise.

Request JSON

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "MSTR"
  },
  "questions": {
    "cross": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "crossup(C, ema(C, 20))"
    },
    "hist": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "macdhist(C) > ref(macdhist(C), -1)"
    },
    "rsi50": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "rsi(C, 14) > 50"
    },
    "drop10": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will it drop at least 10% at some point in the next month?"
    }
  },
  "actions": [
    {
      "id": "entry",
      "when": "cross >= 0.6 and hist >= 0.6",
      "do": "webhook",
      "connection": "my-oms",
      "body": {
        "symbol": "{{symbol}}",
        "side": "buy",
        "signal": "ema20_reclaim",
        "p_cross": "{{cross}}",
        "p_hist": "{{hist}}",
        "p_drop10": "{{drop10}}",
        "as_of": "{{as_of}}"
      }
    }
  ],
  "dry_run": true
}

Response JSON (MSTR, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "cross": {
      "yes_no": 0.05,
      "rule": "crossup(C, ema(C, 20))",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "hist": {
      "yes_no": 0.138,
      "rule": "macdhist(C) > ref(macdhist(C), -1)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "rsi50": {
      "yes_no": 0.1221,
      "rule": "rsi(C, 14) > 50",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "drop10": {
      "yes_no": 0.777
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "MSTR",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  },
  "actions": [
    {
      "id": "entry",
      "fired": false,
      "status": "skipped"
    }
  ]
}

crossup ema macdhist ref rsi

Try it in the Playground

Crypto trader · example 12

Ether vs bitcoin ETFs: which is stronger this month?

ETHA and IBIT with identical questions: momentum, trend and the odds of beating SPY. Rotate toward the stronger one.

ora-fin-0.1.12 symbols, one request each4 questions

State2 symbols
Questions4 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actionsnone

State

{"symbol":"ETHA"} then IBIT, one request each. The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`roc`	rule	`roc(C, 20) > 5` Up more than 5% in 20 sessions
`three_month`	rule	`C > C[-63]` Higher than three months ago
`rsi50`	rule	`rsi(C, 14) > 50` RSI above 50
`beat_spy`	forecast	Will it beat SPY over the next month? Beating SPY over a month

Answers

Symbol	`roc`rule	`three_month`rule	`rsi50`rule	`beat_spy`forecast
`ETHA`	0.0996	0.8278	0.1212	0.509
`IBIT`	0.0982	0.8566	0.111	0.516

true false not known for rules; forecasts are odds. Hover a column for its question.

What it means

Session of 2026-10-30, 2 symbols: Up more than 5% in 20 sessions: true for none of 2. Higher than three months ago: true for ETHA, IBIT of 2. RSI above 50: true for none of 2. Highest odds for “Beating SPY over a month”: IBIT at 52%.

Side-by-side answers make the rotation question concrete: the fund with more momentum rules true and better odds against SPY leads.

Request JSON (ETHA; the others differ only in the symbol)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "ETHA"
  },
  "questions": {
    "roc": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "roc(C, 20) > 5"
    },
    "three_month": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C > C[-63]"
    },
    "rsi50": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "rsi(C, 14) > 50"
    },
    "beat_spy": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will it beat SPY over the next month?"
    }
  }
}

Response JSON (ETHA, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "roc": {
      "yes_no": 0.0996,
      "rule": "roc(C, 20) > 5",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "three_month": {
      "yes_no": 0.8278,
      "rule": "C > C[-63]",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "rsi50": {
      "yes_no": 0.1212,
      "rule": "rsi(C, 14) > 50",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "beat_spy": {
      "yes_no": 0.509
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "ETHA",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  }
}

offset roc rsi

Try it in the Playground

Crypto trader · example 13

RIOT gapped up: did it hold or fade?

Miners gap on bitcoin's overnight moves. Check whether today's gap held, faded or filled.

ora-fin-0.1.1RIOT5 questions

StateRIOT
Questions5 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actionsnone

State

{"symbol":"RIOT"} The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`gap1`	rule	`O > C[-1] * 1.01` Opened more than 1% above yesterday's close
`faded`	rule	`O > C[-1] and C < C[-1]` Gapped up but closed under yesterday's close
`filled`	English → rule	Did today's gap up fill?
`close_top`	rule	`(C - L) / (H - L) > 0.75` Closed in the top quarter of the day's range
`gap_tomorrow`	forecast	Will it gap up tomorrow? A gap up tomorrow

Answers

Question	Answer	Reading
`gap1` Opened more than 1% above yesterday's close	0.1048	false
`faded` Gapped up but closed under yesterday's close	0.1237	false
`filled` Did today's gap up fill compiled to `(O > C[-1] * 1) and (L <= C[-1])`	0.1237	false
`close_top` Closed in the top quarter of the day's range	0.6069	true
`gap_tomorrow` A gap up tomorrow	0.416	42% · close to even

What it means

For RIOT on the session of 2026-10-30: True now: Closed in the top quarter of the day's range. Not true: Opened more than 1% above yesterday's close; Gapped up but closed under yesterday's close; Did today's gap up fill. Forecasts: A gap up tomorrow 42%.

A gap that closes in the top quarter of the range held; a fade or a fill says sellers met the overnight move.

Request JSON

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "RIOT"
  },
  "questions": {
    "gap1": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "O > C[-1] * 1.01"
    },
    "faded": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "O > C[-1] and C < C[-1]"
    },
    "filled": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Did today's gap up fill?"
    },
    "close_top": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "(C - L) / (H - L) > 0.75"
    },
    "gap_tomorrow": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will it gap up tomorrow?"
    }
  }
}

Response JSON (RIOT, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "gap1": {
      "yes_no": 0.1048,
      "rule": "O > C[-1] * 1.01",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "faded": {
      "yes_no": 0.1237,
      "rule": "O > C[-1] and C < C[-1]",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "filled": {
      "yes_no": 0.1237,
      "rule": "(O > C[-1] * 1) and (L <= C[-1])",
      "basis": "pattern"
    },
    "close_top": {
      "yes_no": 0.6069,
      "rule": "(C - L) / (H - L) > 0.75",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "gap_tomorrow": {
      "yes_no": 0.416
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "RIOT",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  }
}

offset

Try it in the Playground

Crypto trader · example 14

Is bitcoin volatility compressing before a move?

Bollinger width, ATR versus its past and NR7 in IBIT: a quiet coil often comes before a large move in crypto.

ora-fin-0.1.1IBIT5 questions

StateIBIT
Questions5 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actionsnone

State

{"symbol":"IBIT"} The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`squeeze`	rule	`(bbupper(C, 20, 2) - bblower(C, 20, 2)) / bbmid(C, 20) < 0.06` Bollinger bands narrower than 6% of price
`bbw_low`	English → rule	Is Bollinger Band width at its lowest in 120 sessions?
`nr7`	English → rule	Is today an NR7 day, the narrowest range of the last 7 sessions?
`pr_atr`	rule	`percentrank(atr(14), 100) < 20` ATR in the bottom fifth of the last 100 sessions
`big_move`	forecast	Will there be a big move in either direction in the next 5 days? A big move either way in 5 days

Answers

Question	Answer	Reading
`squeeze` Bollinger bands narrower than 6% of price	0.3238	false
`bbw_low` Is Bollinger Band width at its lowest in 120 sessions compiled to `((bbupper(C, 20) - bblower(C, 20)) / bbmid(C, 20)) <= ref(min(((bbupper(C, 20) - bblower(C, 20)) / bbmid(C, 20)), 119), -1)`	0.2793	false
`nr7` Is today an NR7 day, the narrowest range of the last 7 sessions compiled to `(H > L) and ((H - L) <= ref(min(H - L, 6), -1))`	0.1347	false
`pr_atr` ATR in the bottom fifth of the last 100 sessions	0.1407	false
`big_move` A big move either way in 5 days	0.363	36% · unlikely

What it means

For IBIT on the session of 2026-10-30: Not true: Bollinger bands narrower than 6% of price; Is Bollinger Band width at its lowest in 120 sessions; Is today an NR7 day, the narrowest range of the last 7 sessions; ATR in the bottom fifth of the last 100 sessions. Forecasts: A big move either way in 5 days 36%.

Compression rules say the market is quiet now; the big-move forecast says whether that is likely to change soon, not in which direction.

Request JSON

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "IBIT"
  },
  "questions": {
    "squeeze": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "(bbupper(C, 20, 2) - bblower(C, 20, 2)) / bbmid(C, 20) < 0.06"
    },
    "bbw_low": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Is Bollinger Band width at its lowest in 120 sessions?"
    },
    "nr7": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Is today an NR7 day, the narrowest range of the last 7 sessions?"
    },
    "pr_atr": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "percentrank(atr(14), 100) < 20"
    },
    "big_move": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will there be a big move in either direction in the next 5 days?"
    }
  }
}

Response JSON (IBIT, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "squeeze": {
      "yes_no": 0.3238,
      "rule": "(bbupper(C, 20, 2) - bblower(C, 20, 2)) / bbmid(C, 20) < 0.06",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "bbw_low": {
      "yes_no": 0.2793,
      "rule": "((bbupper(C, 20) - bblower(C, 20)) / bbmid(C, 20)) <= ref(min(((bbupper(C, 20) - bblower(C, 20)) / bbmid(C, 20)), 119), -1)",
      "basis": "pattern"
    },
    "nr7": {
      "yes_no": 0.1347,
      "rule": "(H > L) and ((H - L) <= ref(min(H - L, 6), -1))",
      "basis": "pattern"
    },
    "pr_atr": {
      "yes_no": 0.1407,
      "rule": "percentrank(atr(14), 100) < 20",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "big_move": {
      "yes_no": 0.363
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "IBIT",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  }
}

atr bblower bbmid bbupper min percentrank ref

Try it in the Playground

Crypto trader · example 15

Is the stop hit on my MSTR position?

A chandelier stop and a swing-low break as exact rules, with the drawdown odds. Exit on the stop, warn on the forecast.

ora-fin-0.1.1MSTR4 questions2 actions

StateMSTR
Questions4 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actions2 rules · dry run

State

{"symbol":"MSTR"} The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`chandelier`	rule	`C < highest(H, 22) - 3 * atr(22)` Chandelier exit: 3 ATR under the 22-day high
`swing_break`	rule	`C < swinglow(5, 1)` Close under the last swing low
`lower_lows`	rule	`swinglow(5, 1) < swinglow(5, 2)` Latest swing low below the one before
`drop10`	forecast	Will it drop at least 10% at some point in the next month? A 10% drawdown within a month

Answers

Question	Answer	Reading
`chandelier` Chandelier exit: 3 ATR under the 22-day high	0.8807	true
`swing_break` Close under the last swing low	0.5889	on the line (true)
`lower_lows` Latest swing low below the one before	0.8788	true
`drop10` A 10% drawdown within a month	0.777	78% · likely

Actions

Rules on the answers decide what to send.

chandelier >= 0.6 or swing_break >= 0.6→Webhookmy-oms

drop10 >= 0.4→Slackcrypto-desk

What each action would send 2 of 2 fired · dry run, nothing sent

exitwould send (dry run)Webhook → my-oms

{
  "symbol": "MSTR",
  "decision": "exit_long",
  "p_chandelier": 0.8807,
  "p_swing_break": 0.5889,
  "as_of": "2026-10-30"
}

warnwould send (dry run)Slack → crypto-desk

{
  "text": "MSTR (2026-10-30): stop not hit, but 10% drawdown odds are 78%. Lower swing lows: 88%."
}

What it means

For MSTR on the session of 2026-10-30: True now: Chandelier exit: 3 ATR under the 22-day high; Latest swing low below the one before. On the line: Close under the last swing low. Forecasts: A 10% drawdown within a month 78%. Fired: exit (Webhook → my-oms), warn (Slack → crypto-desk).

Exits come from the exact stop rules; the forecast only produces a warning, so a probability never closes a position by itself.

Request JSON

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "MSTR"
  },
  "questions": {
    "chandelier": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C < highest(H, 22) - 3 * atr(22)"
    },
    "swing_break": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C < swinglow(5, 1)"
    },
    "lower_lows": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "swinglow(5, 1) < swinglow(5, 2)"
    },
    "drop10": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will it drop at least 10% at some point in the next month?"
    }
  },
  "actions": [
    {
      "id": "exit",
      "when": "chandelier >= 0.6 or swing_break >= 0.6",
      "do": "webhook",
      "connection": "my-oms",
      "body": {
        "symbol": "{{symbol}}",
        "decision": "exit_long",
        "p_chandelier": "{{chandelier}}",
        "p_swing_break": "{{swing_break}}",
        "as_of": "{{as_of}}"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "warn",
      "when": "drop10 >= 0.4",
      "do": "slack",
      "connection": "crypto-desk",
      "message": "{{symbol}} ({{as_of}}): stop not hit, but 10% drawdown odds are {{drop10|pct}}. Lower swing lows: {{lower_lows|pct}}."
    }
  ],
  "dry_run": true
}

Response JSON (MSTR, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "chandelier": {
      "yes_no": 0.8807,
      "rule": "C < highest(H, 22) - 3 * atr(22)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "swing_break": {
      "yes_no": 0.5889,
      "rule": "C < swinglow(5, 1)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "lower_lows": {
      "yes_no": 0.8788,
      "rule": "swinglow(5, 1) < swinglow(5, 2)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "drop10": {
      "yes_no": 0.777
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "MSTR",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  },
  "actions": [
    {
      "id": "exit",
      "fired": true,
      "status": "dry_run",
      "do": "webhook",
      "connection": "my-oms",
      "preview": {
        "body": {
          "symbol": "MSTR",
          "decision": "exit_long",
          "p_chandelier": 0.8807,
          "p_swing_break": 0.5889,
          "as_of": "2026-10-30"
        }
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "warn",
      "fired": true,
      "status": "dry_run",
      "do": "slack",
      "connection": "crypto-desk",
      "preview": {
        "text": "MSTR (2026-10-30): stop not hit, but 10% drawdown odds are 78%. Lower swing lows: 88%."
      }
    }
  ]
}

atr highest swinglow

Try it in the Playground

Crypto trader · example 16

Pre-open crypto digest: IBIT, ETHA, MSTR, MARA

Every weekday before the open, the same checks for four crypto vehicles, with a Slack line for each one above its 50-day.

ora-fin-0.1.14 symbols, one request each4 questions1 actionworkflow · Mon–Fri at 09:00 ET

ScheduleMon–Fri at 09:00 ET
State4 symbols
Questions4 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actions1 rule · dry run

State

{"symbol":"IBIT"} then ETHA, MSTR, MARA, one request each. The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`above_50d`	rule	`C > sma(C, 50)` Above the 50-day average
`rsi_hot`	rule	`rsi(C, 14) > 70` RSI above 70
`vol_rise`	forecast	Will volatility rise over the next 5 days? Volatility rising over 5 days
`up_week`	forecast	Will the stock be higher in a week? Higher in a week

Answers

Symbol	`above_50d`rule	`rsi_hot`rule	`vol_rise`forecast	`up_week`forecast	Fired
`IBIT`	0.1649	0.0537	0.46	0.528	none
`ETHA`	0.1263	0.0569	0.486	0.537	none
`MSTR`	0.1883	0.0537	0.357	0.547	none
`MARA`	0.0674	0.0537	0.559	0.621	none

true false not known for rules; forecasts are odds. Hover a column for its question.

Actions

Rules on the answers decide what to send. Each symbol runs its own request, so each one can fire.

above_50d >= 0.6→Slackcrypto-desk

IBIT 0 of 1 fired · dry run, nothing sent

ETHA 0 of 1 fired · dry run, nothing sent

MSTR 0 of 1 fired · dry run, nothing sent

MARA 0 of 1 fired · dry run, nothing sent

What it means

Session of 2026-10-30, 4 symbols: Above the 50-day average: true for none of 4. RSI above 70: true for none of 4. Highest odds for “Volatility rising over 5 days”: MARA at 56%. trend_line fired for none.

A workflow repeats the request for each symbol; only the names in an uptrend produce a Slack line.

As a scheduled workflow (Mon–Fri at 09:00 ET)

Create it under Workflows in the console: it runs these questions for every symbol on the schedule and fires the actions per symbol. The answers above are what one run returned.

{
  "name": "Pre-open crypto digest: IBIT, ETHA, MSTR, MARA",
  "symbols": "IBIT ETHA MSTR MARA",
  "days": [
    1,
    2,
    3,
    4,
    5
  ],
  "at_time": "09:00",
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "questions": {
    "above_50d": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C > sma(C, 50)"
    },
    "rsi_hot": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "rsi(C, 14) > 70"
    },
    "vol_rise": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will volatility rise over the next 5 days?"
    },
    "up_week": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will the stock be higher in a week?"
    }
  },
  "actions": [
    {
      "id": "trend_line",
      "when": "above_50d >= 0.6",
      "do": "slack",
      "connection": "crypto-desk",
      "message": "{{symbol}} ({{as_of}}): above the 50-day. RSI over 70 {{rsi_hot|pct}}, higher in a week {{up_week|pct}}, volatility rising {{vol_rise|pct}}."
    }
  ]
}

Request JSON (IBIT; the others differ only in the symbol)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "IBIT"
  },
  "questions": {
    "above_50d": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C > sma(C, 50)"
    },
    "rsi_hot": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "rsi(C, 14) > 70"
    },
    "vol_rise": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will volatility rise over the next 5 days?"
    },
    "up_week": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will the stock be higher in a week?"
    }
  },
  "actions": [
    {
      "id": "trend_line",
      "when": "above_50d >= 0.6",
      "do": "slack",
      "connection": "crypto-desk",
      "message": "{{symbol}} ({{as_of}}): above the 50-day. RSI over 70 {{rsi_hot|pct}}, higher in a week {{up_week|pct}}, volatility rising {{vol_rise|pct}}."
    }
  ],
  "dry_run": true
}

Response JSON (IBIT, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "above_50d": {
      "yes_no": 0.1649,
      "rule": "C > sma(C, 50)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "rsi_hot": {
      "yes_no": 0.0537,
      "rule": "rsi(C, 14) > 70",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "vol_rise": {
      "yes_no": 0.46
    },
    "up_week": {
      "yes_no": 0.528
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "IBIT",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  },
  "actions": [
    {
      "id": "trend_line",
      "fired": false,
      "status": "skipped"
    }
  ]
}

rsi sma

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Crypto trader · example 17

Is IBIT pulling back into a buy zone?

In an uptrend, wait for a pullback between the 20-day and the 50-day, with RSI back between 40 and 60.

ora-fin-0.1.1IBIT4 questions

StateIBIT
Questions4 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actionsnone

State

{"symbol":"IBIT"} The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`zone`	rule	`C < sma(C, 20) and C > sma(C, 50)` Between the 20-day and the 50-day average
`rsi_mid`	rule	`between(rsi(C, 14), 40, 60)` RSI between 40 and 60
`trend`	rule	`sma(C, 50) > sma(C, 200)` 50-day above the 200-day
`drop5`	forecast	Will it drop at least 5% at some point in the next month? A 5% drawdown within a month

Answers

Question	Answer	Reading
`zone` Between the 20-day and the 50-day average	0.1649	false
`rsi_mid` RSI between 40 and 60	0.05	false
`trend` 50-day above the 200-day	0.8747	true
`drop5` A 5% drawdown within a month	0.566	57% · close to even

What it means

For IBIT on the session of 2026-10-30: True now: 50-day above the 200-day. Not true: Between the 20-day and the 50-day average; RSI between 40 and 60. Forecasts: A 5% drawdown within a month 57%.

The zone and the mid-range RSI together describe a calm pullback inside a trend; the drawdown odds say how deep it could still go.

Request JSON

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "IBIT"
  },
  "questions": {
    "zone": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C < sma(C, 20) and C > sma(C, 50)"
    },
    "rsi_mid": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "between(rsi(C, 14), 40, 60)"
    },
    "trend": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "sma(C, 50) > sma(C, 200)"
    },
    "drop5": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will it drop at least 5% at some point in the next month?"
    }
  }
}

Response JSON (IBIT, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "zone": {
      "yes_no": 0.1649,
      "rule": "C < sma(C, 20) and C > sma(C, 50)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "rsi_mid": {
      "yes_no": 0.05,
      "rule": "between(rsi(C, 14), 40, 60)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "trend": {
      "yes_no": 0.8747,
      "rule": "sma(C, 50) > sma(C, 200)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "drop5": {
      "yes_no": 0.566
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "IBIT",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  }
}

between rsi sma

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Crypto trader · example 18

Was today a volume climax in MARA?

A huge-volume down day can mark capitulation. Compare volume with its median and rank, and check where the close sits in the range.

ora-fin-0.1.1MARA5 questions

StateMARA
Questions5 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actionsnone

State

{"symbol":"MARA"} The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`vol_med`	rule	`V > 2 * median(V, 20)` Volume over twice its 20-day median
`vol_rank`	rule	`percentrank(V, 50) > 90` Volume in the top tenth of 50 sessions
`down_vol`	English → rule	Did the stock fall on above-average volume?
`lower_wick`	rule	`least(O, C) - L > 2 * abs(C - O)` Lower wick more than twice the body
`vol_spike`	forecast	Will volume spike tomorrow? A volume spike tomorrow

Answers

Question	Answer	Reading
`vol_med` Volume over twice its 20-day median	0.0668	false
`vol_rank` Volume in the top tenth of 50 sessions	0.1888	false
`down_vol` Did the stock fall on above-average volume compiled to `(C < C[-1]) and (V > ref(avg(V, 20), -1))`	0.7475	true
`lower_wick` Lower wick more than twice the body	0.7144	true
`vol_spike` A volume spike tomorrow	0.059	6% · unlikely

What it means

For MARA on the session of 2026-10-30: True now: Did the stock fall on above-average volume; Lower wick more than twice the body. Not true: Volume over twice its 20-day median; Volume in the top tenth of 50 sessions. Forecasts: A volume spike tomorrow 6%.

Heavy volume with a long lower wick is the capitulation picture; heavy volume closing on the low is just selling.

Request JSON

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "MARA"
  },
  "questions": {
    "vol_med": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "V > 2 * median(V, 20)"
    },
    "vol_rank": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "percentrank(V, 50) > 90"
    },
    "down_vol": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Did the stock fall on above-average volume?"
    },
    "lower_wick": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "least(O, C) - L > 2 * abs(C - O)"
    },
    "vol_spike": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will volume spike tomorrow?"
    }
  }
}

Response JSON (MARA, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "vol_med": {
      "yes_no": 0.0668,
      "rule": "V > 2 * median(V, 20)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "vol_rank": {
      "yes_no": 0.1888,
      "rule": "percentrank(V, 50) > 90",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "down_vol": {
      "yes_no": 0.7475,
      "rule": "(C < C[-1]) and (V > ref(avg(V, 20), -1))",
      "basis": "pattern"
    },
    "lower_wick": {
      "yes_no": 0.7144,
      "rule": "least(O, C) - L > 2 * abs(C - O)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "vol_spike": {
      "yes_no": 0.059
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "MARA",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  }
}

abs avg least median offset percentrank ref

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Crypto trader · example 19

Has IBIT had more up days than down days since listing?

A long-view question: count up closes against down closes over the fund's history, and check its smoothed trend.

ora-fin-0.1.1IBIT5 questions

StateIBIT
Questions5 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actionsnone

State

{"symbol":"IBIT"} The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`more_up`	rule	`cum(C > C[-1]) > cum(C < C[-1])` More up closes than down closes since the first bar
`smooth`	rule	`C > rec(C, self + 0.1 * (C - self))` Close above its own exponential smoothing (alpha 0.1)
`rma`	rule	`C > rma(C, 50)` Close above the 50-day Wilder average
`up_month`	English → rule	Is the stock up over the last month?
`rally10`	forecast	Will it rally at least 10% at some point in the next month? A 10% rally within a month

Answers

Question	Answer	Reading
`more_up` More up closes than down closes since the first bar	0.0537	false
`smooth` Close above its own exponential smoothing (alpha 0.1)	0.1066	false
`rma` Close above the 50-day Wilder average	0.475	on the line (false)
`up_month` Is the stock up over the last month compiled to `C > C[-21]`	0.1145	false
`rally10` A 10% rally within a month	0.64	64% · likely

What it means

For IBIT on the session of 2026-10-30: Not true: More up closes than down closes since the first bar; Close above its own exponential smoothing (alpha 0.1); Is the stock up over the last month. On the line: Close above the 50-day Wilder average. Forecasts: A 10% rally within a month 64%.

cum() counts over the whole history and rec() builds a custom smoothing step by step; both show the language goes beyond fixed indicators.

Request JSON

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "IBIT"
  },
  "questions": {
    "more_up": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "cum(C > C[-1]) > cum(C < C[-1])"
    },
    "smooth": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C > rec(C, self + 0.1 * (C - self))"
    },
    "rma": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C > rma(C, 50)"
    },
    "up_month": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Is the stock up over the last month?"
    },
    "rally10": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will it rally at least 10% at some point in the next month?"
    }
  }
}

Response JSON (IBIT, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "more_up": {
      "yes_no": 0.0537,
      "rule": "cum(C > C[-1]) > cum(C < C[-1])",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "smooth": {
      "yes_no": 0.1066,
      "rule": "C > rec(C, self + 0.1 * (C - self))",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "rma": {
      "yes_no": 0.475,
      "rule": "C > rma(C, 50)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "up_month": {
      "yes_no": 0.1145,
      "rule": "C > C[-21]",
      "basis": "pattern"
    },
    "rally10": {
      "yes_no": 0.64
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "IBIT",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  }
}

cum offset rec rma

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Crypto trader · example 20

MSTR and the bitcoin ETFs: splits, dividends and events

Before using MSTR as a bitcoin proxy, check its corporate-action record (splits, dividends) next to the ETF it is compared with.

ora-fin-0.1.12 symbols, one request each6 questions

State2 symbols
Questions6 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actionsnone

State

{"symbol":"MSTR"} then IBIT, one request each. The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`split_3y`	rule	`days_since_split <= 1095` Split in the last three years
`ratio`	English → rule	Was the last split at least 2-for-1?
`pays`	rule	`pays_dividend > 0.5` Pays a dividend
`shooting`	rule	`shooting_star()` shooting star candle: Upper wick at least twice the body, lower wick at most 10% of the range, after a five-bar rise.
`dark`	rule	`dark_cloud()` dark cloud candle: After a green day, opens above its close and closes below the middle of its body (but above its open).
`up_week`	forecast	Will the stock be higher in a week? Higher in a week

Answers

Symbol	`split_3y`rule	`ratio`rule	`pays`rule	`shooting`rule	`dark`rule	`up_week`forecast
`MSTR`	0.9463	0.9463	0.1409	0.0537	0.0606	0.547
`IBIT`	0.0537	0.50	0.1409	0.1066	0.058	0.528

true false not known for rules; forecasts are odds. Hover a column for its question.

What it means

Session of 2026-10-30, 2 symbols: Split in the last three years: true for MSTR of 2. Was the last split at least 2-for-1: true for MSTR of 2. Pays a dividend: true for none of 2. shooting star candle: Upper wick at least twice the body, lower wick at most 10% of the range, after a five-bar rise.: true for none of 2. Highest odds for “Higher in a week”: MSTR at 55%.

Corporate-action facts explain jumps in old price history and whether a proxy pays anything; the top-reversal candles are a short-term warning only.

Request JSON (MSTR; the others differ only in the symbol)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "MSTR"
  },
  "questions": {
    "split_3y": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "days_since_split <= 1095"
    },
    "ratio": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Was the last split at least 2-for-1?"
    },
    "pays": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "pays_dividend > 0.5"
    },
    "shooting": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "shooting_star()"
    },
    "dark": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "dark_cloud()"
    },
    "up_week": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will the stock be higher in a week?"
    }
  }
}

Response JSON (MSTR, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "split_3y": {
      "yes_no": 0.9463,
      "rule": "days_since_split <= 1095",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "ratio": {
      "yes_no": 0.9463,
      "rule": "last_split_ratio >= 2",
      "basis": "pattern"
    },
    "pays": {
      "yes_no": 0.1409,
      "rule": "pays_dividend > 0.5",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "shooting": {
      "yes_no": 0.0537,
      "rule": "shooting_star()",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "dark": {
      "yes_no": 0.0606,
      "rule": "dark_cloud()",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "up_week": {
      "yes_no": 0.547
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "MSTR",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  }
}

dark_cloud days_since_split last_split_ratio pays_dividend shooting_star

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Information, not investment advice. Rules answer from the latest completed daily session; forecasts are probabilities. Actions ran as dry runs: nothing was sent. More in Individuals: Retail investor, Active day trader, Swing trader, Options trader, Dividend investor, Long-term passive investor, FX trader, Commodities trader, Social trading community, Students and universities.

Create an account Open the Playground Everything here also lives in the console, next to your keys and usage.

Individuals

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Sell side

Corporates

Builders

Institutions

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State

Questions

Answers

Actions

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Ether vs bitcoin ETFs: which is stronger this month?

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Is bitcoin volatility compressing before a move?

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Is the stop hit on my MSTR position?

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What it means

Pre-open crypto digest: IBIT, ETHA, MSTR, MARA

State

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What it means

Is IBIT pulling back into a buy zone?

State

Questions

Answers

What it means

Was today a volume climax in MARA?

State

Questions

Answers

What it means

Has IBIT had more up days than down days since listing?

State

Questions

Answers

What it means

MSTR and the bitcoin ETFs: splits, dividends and events

State

Questions

Answers

What it means