Model

Use cases · Individuals

FX trader: 20 ways to use Ora

Reads currencies through the dollar ETF, country funds and ADRs that move with exchange rates. Each example is a complete, runnable request with the real answers it returned (40 requests, captured 2026-10-31), what they mean and, where it fits, the action it would send.

Run withAnswers were captured on ora-fin-0.1.1. Another model changes the request JSON and the Playground link; run it there to see its answers.

Rule functions and facts used by this player (43)

sma 14 ref 5 rsi 4 offset 4 ema 3 roc 3 highest 3 max 3 atr 3 adx 2 avg 2 log 2 sqrt 2 std 2 beat_eps_last 2 macd 1 lowest 1 stochk 1 atr_pct 1 swinghigh 1 swinglow 1 engulfing_bear 1 evening_star 1 harami_bear 1 tweezer_top 1 days_to_earnings 1 eps_year_ago 1 last_eps 1 between 1 cci 1 zscore 1 abs 1 diminus 1 diplus 1 obv 1 pays_dividend 1 revenue_growth_yoy 1 crossdown 1 linreg 1 rec 1 wma 1 cut_last 1 div_yield_ttm 1

Examples 11–20 of 20 · page 2 of 2

FX trader · example 11

Is the dollar stretched far from its average?

Mean reversion in a slow-moving asset: z-score, distance from the 20-day in ATR, and CCI extremes in UUP.

ora-fin-0.1.1UUP5 questions

StateUUP
Questions5 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actionsnone

State

{"symbol":"UUP"} The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`z_hi`	rule	`zscore(C, 20) > 2` Close more than 2 standard deviations above its 20-day mean
`z_lo`	rule	`zscore(C, 20) < -2` Two deviations under the 20-day mean
`cci_hi`	rule	`cci(20) > 100` CCI above 100
`stretched`	rule	`C > sma(C, 20) + 2 * atr(14)` Stretched: more than 2 ATR above the 20-day
`vol_calm`	forecast	Will volatility calm down over the next 5 days? Volatility calming over 5 days

Answers

Question	Answer	Reading
`z_hi` Close more than 2 standard deviations above its 20-day mean	0.0791	false
`z_lo` Two deviations under the 20-day mean	0.0809	false
`cci_hi` CCI above 100	0.1506	false
`stretched` Stretched: more than 2 ATR above the 20-day	0.1464	false
`vol_calm` Volatility calming over 5 days	0.521	52% · close to even

What it means

For UUP on the session of 2026-10-30: Not true: Close more than 2 standard deviations above its 20-day mean; Two deviations under the 20-day mean; CCI above 100; Stretched: more than 2 ATR above the 20-day. Forecasts: Volatility calming over 5 days 52%.

Extremes are rare in the dollar; when a z-score or CCI rule is true, a fade toward the mean is the trade to consider.

Request JSON

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "UUP"
  },
  "questions": {
    "z_hi": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "zscore(C, 20) > 2"
    },
    "z_lo": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "zscore(C, 20) < -2"
    },
    "cci_hi": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "cci(20) > 100"
    },
    "stretched": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C > sma(C, 20) + 2 * atr(14)"
    },
    "vol_calm": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will volatility calm down over the next 5 days?"
    }
  }
}

Response JSON (UUP, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "z_hi": {
      "yes_no": 0.0791,
      "rule": "zscore(C, 20) > 2",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "z_lo": {
      "yes_no": 0.0809,
      "rule": "zscore(C, 20) < -2",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "cci_hi": {
      "yes_no": 0.1506,
      "rule": "cci(20) > 100",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "stretched": {
      "yes_no": 0.1464,
      "rule": "C > sma(C, 20) + 2 * atr(14)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "vol_calm": {
      "yes_no": 0.521
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "UUP",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  }
}

atr cci sma zscore

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FX trader · example 12

Risk-off signal: strong dollar and weak emerging markets

When UUP is in an uptrend, send a signed webhook to the risk system so it can cut EM exposure; else send an all-clear.

ora-fin-0.1.1UUP4 questions2 actions

StateUUP
Questions4 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actions2 rules · dry run

State

{"symbol":"UUP"} The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`trend`	rule	`C > ema(C, 20) and ema(C, 20) > sma(C, 50) and sma(C, 50) > sma(C, 200)` Stacked averages: close > 20 EMA > 50 > 200
`momentum`	rule	`roc(C, 20) > 5` Up more than 5% in 20 sessions
`breakout`	rule	`C > highest(C, 55)` 55-day closing breakout
`up_week`	forecast	Will the stock be higher in a week? Higher in a week

Answers

Question	Answer	Reading
`trend` Stacked averages: close > 20 EMA > 50 > 200	0.6713	true
`momentum` Up more than 5% in 20 sessions	0.0556	false
`breakout` 55-day closing breakout	0.2455	false
`up_week` Higher in a week	0.561	56% · close to even

Actions

Rules on the answers decide what to send.

trend >= 0.6 and (momentum >= 0.6 or breakout >= 0.6)→Webhookrisk-system

else→Webhookrisk-system

What each action would send 1 of 2 fired · dry run, nothing sent

risk_offrule false: skipped

clearwould send (dry run)Webhook → risk-system

{
  "signal": "usd_neutral",
  "action": "none",
  "p_trend": 0.6713,
  "as_of": "2026-10-30"
}

What it means

For UUP on the session of 2026-10-30: True now: Stacked averages: close > 20 EMA > 50 > 200. Not true: Up more than 5% in 20 sessions; 55-day closing breakout. Forecasts: Higher in a week 56%. Fired: clear (Webhook → risk-system).

The risk system gets a decision either way, so its log shows the check ran even on quiet days.

Request JSON

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "UUP"
  },
  "questions": {
    "trend": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C > ema(C, 20) and ema(C, 20) > sma(C, 50) and sma(C, 50) > sma(C, 200)"
    },
    "momentum": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "roc(C, 20) > 5"
    },
    "breakout": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C > highest(C, 55)"
    },
    "up_week": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will the stock be higher in a week?"
    }
  },
  "actions": [
    {
      "id": "risk_off",
      "when": "trend >= 0.6 and (momentum >= 0.6 or breakout >= 0.6)",
      "do": "webhook",
      "connection": "risk-system",
      "body": {
        "signal": "usd_strength",
        "action": "reduce_em_exposure",
        "p_trend": "{{trend}}",
        "p_momentum": "{{momentum}}",
        "p_breakout": "{{breakout}}",
        "as_of": "{{as_of}}"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "clear",
      "when": "else",
      "do": "webhook",
      "connection": "risk-system",
      "body": {
        "signal": "usd_neutral",
        "action": "none",
        "p_trend": "{{trend}}",
        "as_of": "{{as_of}}"
      }
    }
  ],
  "dry_run": true
}

Response JSON (UUP, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "trend": {
      "yes_no": 0.6713,
      "rule": "C > ema(C, 20) and ema(C, 20) > sma(C, 50) and sma(C, 50) > sma(C, 200)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "momentum": {
      "yes_no": 0.0556,
      "rule": "roc(C, 20) > 5",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "breakout": {
      "yes_no": 0.2455,
      "rule": "C > highest(C, 55)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "up_week": {
      "yes_no": 0.561
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "UUP",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  },
  "actions": [
    {
      "id": "risk_off",
      "fired": false,
      "status": "skipped"
    },
    {
      "id": "clear",
      "fired": true,
      "status": "dry_run",
      "do": "webhook",
      "connection": "risk-system",
      "preview": {
        "body": {
          "signal": "usd_neutral",
          "action": "none",
          "p_trend": 0.6713,
          "as_of": "2026-10-30"
        }
      }
    }
  ]
}

ema highest roc sma

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FX trader · example 13

Monday FX digest: dollar and five regions

Each Monday before the open, the same questions for the dollar ETF and five regional funds, emailed per symbol in an uptrend.

ora-fin-0.1.16 symbols, one request each3 questions1 actionworkflow · Mon at 08:30 ET

ScheduleMon at 08:30 ET
State6 symbols
Questions3 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actions1 rule · dry run

State

{"symbol":"UUP"} then VGK, EWJ, EEM, EWZ, EWC, one request each. The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`trend`	rule	`C > sma(C, 50)` Above the 50-day average
`rsi50`	rule	`rsi(C, 14) > 50` RSI above 50
`up_week`	forecast	Will the stock be higher in a week? Higher in a week

Answers

Symbol	`trend`rule	`rsi50`rule	`up_week`forecast	Fired
`UUP`	0.8725	0.7635	0.561	`trend_mail`
`VGK`	0.3016	0.5868	0.538	none
`EWJ`	0.0788	0.0681	0.636	none
`EEM`	0.0611	0.072	0.55	none
`EWZ`	0.0671	0.0834	0.41	none
`EWC`	0.5727	0.6144	0.545	none

true false not known for rules; forecasts are odds. Hover a column for its question.

Actions

Rules on the answers decide what to send. Each symbol runs its own request, so each one can fire.

trend >= 0.6→Emailfx-team

UUP 1 of 1 fired · dry run, nothing sent

trend_mailwould send (dry run)Email → fx-team

{
  "subject": "FX digest: UUP in an uptrend",
  "text": "UUP (2026-10-30) is above its 50-day. RSI over 50 76%, higher in a week 56%."
}

VGK 0 of 1 fired · dry run, nothing sent

EWJ 0 of 1 fired · dry run, nothing sent

EEM 0 of 1 fired · dry run, nothing sent

EWZ 0 of 1 fired · dry run, nothing sent

EWC 0 of 1 fired · dry run, nothing sent

What it means

Session of 2026-10-30, 6 symbols: Above the 50-day average: true for UUP of 6. RSI above 50: true for UUP, EWC of 6. Highest odds for “Higher in a week”: EWJ at 64%. trend_mail fired for UUP.

One workflow, six symbols; the team only gets mail for the regions in an uptrend that week.

As a scheduled workflow (Mon at 08:30 ET)

Create it under Workflows in the console: it runs these questions for every symbol on the schedule and fires the actions per symbol. The answers above are what one run returned.

{
  "name": "Monday FX digest: dollar and five regions",
  "symbols": "UUP VGK EWJ EEM EWZ EWC",
  "days": [
    1
  ],
  "at_time": "08:30",
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "questions": {
    "trend": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C > sma(C, 50)"
    },
    "rsi50": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "rsi(C, 14) > 50"
    },
    "up_week": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will the stock be higher in a week?"
    }
  },
  "actions": [
    {
      "id": "trend_mail",
      "when": "trend >= 0.6",
      "do": "email",
      "connection": "fx-team",
      "subject": "FX digest: {{symbol}} in an uptrend",
      "message": "{{symbol}} ({{as_of}}) is above its 50-day. RSI over 50 {{rsi50|pct}}, higher in a week {{up_week|pct}}."
    }
  ]
}

Request JSON (UUP; the others differ only in the symbol)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "UUP"
  },
  "questions": {
    "trend": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C > sma(C, 50)"
    },
    "rsi50": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "rsi(C, 14) > 50"
    },
    "up_week": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will the stock be higher in a week?"
    }
  },
  "actions": [
    {
      "id": "trend_mail",
      "when": "trend >= 0.6",
      "do": "email",
      "connection": "fx-team",
      "subject": "FX digest: {{symbol}} in an uptrend",
      "message": "{{symbol}} ({{as_of}}) is above its 50-day. RSI over 50 {{rsi50|pct}}, higher in a week {{up_week|pct}}."
    }
  ],
  "dry_run": true
}

Response JSON (UUP, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "trend": {
      "yes_no": 0.8725,
      "rule": "C > sma(C, 50)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "rsi50": {
      "yes_no": 0.7635,
      "rule": "rsi(C, 14) > 50",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "up_week": {
      "yes_no": 0.561
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "UUP",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  },
  "actions": [
    {
      "id": "trend_mail",
      "fired": true,
      "status": "dry_run",
      "do": "email",
      "connection": "fx-team",
      "preview": {
        "subject": "FX digest: UUP in an uptrend",
        "text": "UUP (2026-10-30) is above its 50-day. RSI over 50 76%, higher in a week 56%."
      }
    }
  ]
}

rsi sma

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FX trader · example 14

Mexico (EWW): did today's gap hold?

Peso news often gaps EWW at the open. Check whether the gap held, filled, and how big it was against ATR.

ora-fin-0.1.1EWW5 questions

StateEWW
Questions5 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actionsnone

State

{"symbol":"EWW"} The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`gap_held`	rule	`(O > C[-1]) and (L > C[-1])` Gapped up and never traded back to yesterday's close
`gap_filled`	English → rule	Did today's gap up fill?
`gap_atr`	rule	`abs(O - C[-1]) > 0.5 * ref(atr(14), -1)` Gap bigger than half an ATR
`gap_down_reclaim`	rule	`O < L[-1] and C > C[-1]` Opened under yesterday's low, closed up on the day
`big_move`	forecast	Will there be a big move in either direction in the next 5 days? A big move either way in 5 days

Answers

Question	Answer	Reading
`gap_held` Gapped up and never traded back to yesterday's close	0.0745	false
`gap_filled` Did today's gap up fill compiled to `(O > C[-1] * 1) and (L <= C[-1])`	0.0911	false
`gap_atr` Gap bigger than half an ATR	0.764	true
`gap_down_reclaim` Opened under yesterday's low, closed up on the day	0.45	on the line (false)
`big_move` A big move either way in 5 days	0.398	40% · unlikely

What it means

For EWW on the session of 2026-10-30: True now: Gap bigger than half an ATR. Not true: Gapped up and never traded back to yesterday's close; Did today's gap up fill. On the line: Opened under yesterday's low, closed up on the day. Forecasts: A big move either way in 5 days 40%.

A gap that held all day shows conviction; a filled gap says the news was faded by the close.

Request JSON

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "EWW"
  },
  "questions": {
    "gap_held": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "(O > C[-1]) and (L > C[-1])"
    },
    "gap_filled": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Did today's gap up fill?"
    },
    "gap_atr": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "abs(O - C[-1]) > 0.5 * ref(atr(14), -1)"
    },
    "gap_down_reclaim": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "O < L[-1] and C > C[-1]"
    },
    "big_move": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will there be a big move in either direction in the next 5 days?"
    }
  }
}

Response JSON (EWW, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "gap_held": {
      "yes_no": 0.0745,
      "rule": "(O > C[-1]) and (L > C[-1])",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "gap_filled": {
      "yes_no": 0.0911,
      "rule": "(O > C[-1] * 1) and (L <= C[-1])",
      "basis": "pattern"
    },
    "gap_atr": {
      "yes_no": 0.764,
      "rule": "abs(O - C[-1]) > 0.5 * ref(atr(14), -1)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "gap_down_reclaim": {
      "yes_no": 0.45,
      "rule": "O < L[-1] and C > C[-1]",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "big_move": {
      "yes_no": 0.398
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "EWW",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  }
}

abs atr offset ref

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FX trader · example 15

India (INDA): trend strength with ADX and DI

Measure trend strength and direction in INDA before adding to a rupee-exposed position.

ora-fin-0.1.1INDA5 questions

StateINDA
Questions5 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actionsnone

State

{"symbol":"INDA"} The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`adx`	rule	`adx(14) > 25` ADX(14) above 25 (trending)
`plus`	rule	`diplus(14) > diminus(14)` +DI above -DI
`minus_strong`	rule	`diminus(14) > 25` -DI above 25 (strong selling)
`sma200_up`	rule	`sma(C, 200) > ref(sma(C, 200), -20)` The 200-day average is rising
`up_week`	forecast	Will the stock be higher in a week? Higher in a week

Answers

Question	Answer	Reading
`adx` ADX(14) above 25 (trending)	0.1436	false
`plus` +DI above -DI	0.7523	true
`minus_strong` -DI above 25 (strong selling)	0.7896	true
`sma200_up` The 200-day average is rising	0.0537	false
`up_week` Higher in a week	0.455	46% · close to even

What it means

For INDA on the session of 2026-10-30: True now: +DI above -DI; -DI above 25 (strong selling). Not true: ADX(14) above 25 (trending); The 200-day average is rising. Forecasts: Higher in a week 46%.

ADX tells you whether to use trend tools at all; the DI lines say whether the trend favours buyers or sellers.

Request JSON

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "INDA"
  },
  "questions": {
    "adx": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "adx(14) > 25"
    },
    "plus": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "diplus(14) > diminus(14)"
    },
    "minus_strong": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "diminus(14) > 25"
    },
    "sma200_up": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "sma(C, 200) > ref(sma(C, 200), -20)"
    },
    "up_week": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will the stock be higher in a week?"
    }
  }
}

Response JSON (INDA, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "adx": {
      "yes_no": 0.1436,
      "rule": "adx(14) > 25",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "plus": {
      "yes_no": 0.7523,
      "rule": "diplus(14) > diminus(14)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "minus_strong": {
      "yes_no": 0.7896,
      "rule": "diminus(14) > 25",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "sma200_up": {
      "yes_no": 0.0537,
      "rule": "sma(C, 200) > ref(sma(C, 200), -20)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "up_week": {
      "yes_no": 0.455
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "INDA",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  }
}

adx diminus diplus ref sma

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FX trader · example 16

Developed vs emerging (EFA vs EEM): which leads?

Allocate between developed and emerging markets abroad using identical momentum and trend questions.

ora-fin-0.1.12 symbols, one request each4 questions

State2 symbols
Questions4 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actionsnone

State

{"symbol":"EFA"} then EEM, one request each. The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`momentum`	rule	`roc(C, 63) > 10 and C >= 0.95 * max(H, 63)` Up more than 10% in a quarter, near the high
`trend`	English → rule	Is the stock above its 200-day moving average?
`obv`	rule	`obv() > sma(obv(), 20)` On-balance volume above its 20-day average
`beat_spy`	forecast	Will it beat SPY over the next month? Beating SPY over a month

Answers

Symbol	`momentum`rule	`trend`rule	`obv`rule	`beat_spy`forecast
`EFA`	0.0537	0.6709	0.5344	0.447
`EEM`	0.0537	0.1449	0.1116	0.501

true false not known for rules; forecasts are odds. Hover a column for its question.

What it means

Session of 2026-10-30, 2 symbols: Up more than 10% in a quarter, near the high: true for none of 2. Is the stock above its 200-day moving average: true for EFA of 2. On-balance volume above its 20-day average: true for none of 2. Highest odds for “Beating SPY over a month”: EEM at 50%.

The leader on momentum and volume trend gets the tilt; both weak with a strong dollar is the classic risk-off picture.

Request JSON (EFA; the others differ only in the symbol)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "EFA"
  },
  "questions": {
    "momentum": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "roc(C, 63) > 10 and C >= 0.95 * max(H, 63)"
    },
    "trend": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Is the stock above its 200-day moving average?"
    },
    "obv": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "obv() > sma(obv(), 20)"
    },
    "beat_spy": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will it beat SPY over the next month?"
    }
  }
}

Response JSON (EFA, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "momentum": {
      "yes_no": 0.0537,
      "rule": "roc(C, 63) > 10 and C >= 0.95 * max(H, 63)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "trend": {
      "yes_no": 0.6709,
      "rule": "C > sma(C, 200)",
      "basis": "comparison"
    },
    "obv": {
      "yes_no": 0.5344,
      "rule": "obv() > sma(obv(), 20)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "beat_spy": {
      "yes_no": 0.447
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "EFA",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  }
}

max obv roc sma

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FX trader · example 17

European ADRs NVO and ASML: earnings and trend

Two large European companies listed in the US: last quarter's results, dividend record and trend.

ora-fin-0.1.12 symbols, one request each5 questions

State2 symbols
Questions5 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actionsnone

State

{"symbol":"NVO"} then ASML, one request each. The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`beat`	English → rule	Did the stock beat EPS estimates last quarter?
`rev_g`	English → rule	Did revenue grow more than 5% year over year?
`pays`	English → rule	Does the stock pay a dividend?
`trend`	rule	`C > sma(C, 50)` Above the 50-day average
`drop10`	forecast	Will it drop at least 10% at some point in the next month? A 10% drawdown within a month

Answers

Symbol	`beat`rule	`rev_g`rule	`pays`rule	`trend`rule	`drop10`forecast
`NVO`	0.8591	0.0537	0.8591	0.2543	0.502
`ASML`	0.8591	0.50	0.8591	0.0764	0.624

true false not known for rules; forecasts are odds. Hover a column for its question.

What it means

Session of 2026-10-30, 2 symbols: Did the stock beat EPS estimates last quarter: true for NVO, ASML of 2. Did revenue grow more than 5% year over year: true for none of 2. Does the stock pay a dividend: true for NVO, ASML of 2. Above the 50-day average: true for none of 2. Highest odds for “A 10% drawdown within a month”: ASML at 62%.

Facts from earnings and dividends sit next to the trend rule; a strong report with a broken trend is worth a closer look.

Request JSON (NVO; the others differ only in the symbol)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "NVO"
  },
  "questions": {
    "beat": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Did the stock beat EPS estimates last quarter?"
    },
    "rev_g": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Did revenue grow more than 5% year over year?"
    },
    "pays": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Does the stock pay a dividend?"
    },
    "trend": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C > sma(C, 50)"
    },
    "drop10": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will it drop at least 10% at some point in the next month?"
    }
  }
}

Response JSON (NVO, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "beat": {
      "yes_no": 0.8591,
      "rule": "beat_eps_last > 0.5",
      "basis": "pattern"
    },
    "rev_g": {
      "yes_no": 0.0537,
      "rule": "revenue_growth_yoy > 5",
      "basis": "pattern"
    },
    "pays": {
      "yes_no": 0.8591,
      "rule": "pays_dividend > 0.5",
      "basis": "pattern"
    },
    "trend": {
      "yes_no": 0.2543,
      "rule": "C > sma(C, 50)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "drop10": {
      "yes_no": 0.502
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "NVO",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  }
}

beat_eps_last pays_dividend revenue_growth_yoy sma

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FX trader · example 18

Is the dollar's slope turning?

Use a regression line, a weighted average and an exponential smoothing on UUP to spot a turn before the averages cross.

ora-fin-0.1.1UUP5 questions

StateUUP
Questions5 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actionsnone

State

{"symbol":"UUP"} The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`slope`	rule	`linreg(C, 20) > ref(linreg(C, 20), -5)` 20-day regression line higher than a week ago
`wma`	rule	`wma(C, 10) > wma(C, 30)` 10-day WMA above the 30-day WMA
`smooth`	rule	`C > rec(C, self + 0.2 * (C - self))` Close above its own smoothing (alpha 0.2)
`cross`	rule	`crossdown(ema(C, 10), ema(C, 30))` 10-day EMA crossed below the 30-day EMA today
`down_week`	forecast	Will the stock be lower in a week? Lower in a week

Answers

Question	Answer	Reading
`slope` 20-day regression line higher than a week ago	0.4493	on the line (false)
`wma` 10-day WMA above the 30-day WMA	0.6416	true
`smooth` Close above its own smoothing (alpha 0.2)	0.4375	on the line (false)
`cross` 10-day EMA crossed below the 30-day EMA today	0.05	false
`down_week` Lower in a week	0.479	48% · close to even

What it means

For UUP on the session of 2026-10-30: True now: 10-day WMA above the 30-day WMA. Not true: 10-day EMA crossed below the 30-day EMA today. On the line: 20-day regression line higher than a week ago; Close above its own smoothing (alpha 0.2). Forecasts: Lower in a week 48%.

Slope rules turn before slow averages do; a falling regression line with a fresh EMA cross-down is an early sign the dollar trend is fading.

Request JSON

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "UUP"
  },
  "questions": {
    "slope": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "linreg(C, 20) > ref(linreg(C, 20), -5)"
    },
    "wma": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "wma(C, 10) > wma(C, 30)"
    },
    "smooth": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C > rec(C, self + 0.2 * (C - self))"
    },
    "cross": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "crossdown(ema(C, 10), ema(C, 30))"
    },
    "down_week": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will the stock be lower in a week?"
    }
  }
}

Response JSON (UUP, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "slope": {
      "yes_no": 0.4493,
      "rule": "linreg(C, 20) > ref(linreg(C, 20), -5)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "wma": {
      "yes_no": 0.6416,
      "rule": "wma(C, 10) > wma(C, 30)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "smooth": {
      "yes_no": 0.4375,
      "rule": "C > rec(C, self + 0.2 * (C - self))",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "cross": {
      "yes_no": 0.05,
      "rule": "crossdown(ema(C, 10), ema(C, 30))",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "down_week": {
      "yes_no": 0.479
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "UUP",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  }
}

crossdown ema linreg rec ref wma

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FX trader · example 19

RIO and VALE: miners as a read on AUD and BRL

Australia's and Brazil's currencies track iron ore; so do RIO and VALE. Check trend, dividends and drawdown odds.

ora-fin-0.1.12 symbols, one request each5 questions

State2 symbols
Questions5 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actionsnone

State

{"symbol":"RIO"} then VALE, one request each. The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`trend`	English → rule	Is the stock above its 200-day moving average?
`yield3`	rule	`div_yield_ttm > 3` Yield above 3%
`cut`	English → rule	Did the stock cut its dividend last time?
`pullback`	English → rule	Has the stock pulled back at least 5% from its 20-day high?
`drop5`	forecast	Will it drop at least 5% at some point in the next month? A 5% drawdown within a month

Answers

Symbol	`trend`rule	`yield3`rule	`cut`rule	`pullback`rule	`drop5`forecast
`RIO`	0.0836	0.9463	0.8591	0.9379	0.538
`VALE`	0.054	0.9463	0.8591	0.9451	0.589

true false not known for rules; forecasts are odds. Hover a column for its question.

What it means

Session of 2026-10-30, 2 symbols: Is the stock above its 200-day moving average: true for none of 2. Yield above 3%: true for RIO, VALE of 2. Did the stock cut its dividend last time: true for RIO, VALE of 2. Has the stock pulled back at least 5% from its 20-day high: true for RIO, VALE of 2. Highest odds for “A 5% drawdown within a month”: VALE at 59%.

Miner dividends follow commodity prices, so a cut is also a signal about the cycle behind the currency.

Request JSON (RIO; the others differ only in the symbol)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "RIO"
  },
  "questions": {
    "trend": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Is the stock above its 200-day moving average?"
    },
    "yield3": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "div_yield_ttm > 3"
    },
    "cut": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Did the stock cut its dividend last time?"
    },
    "pullback": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Has the stock pulled back at least 5% from its 20-day high?"
    },
    "drop5": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will it drop at least 5% at some point in the next month?"
    }
  }
}

Response JSON (RIO, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "trend": {
      "yes_no": 0.0836,
      "rule": "C > sma(C, 200)",
      "basis": "comparison"
    },
    "yield3": {
      "yes_no": 0.9463,
      "rule": "div_yield_ttm > 3",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "cut": {
      "yes_no": 0.8591,
      "rule": "cut_last > 0.5",
      "basis": "pattern"
    },
    "pullback": {
      "yes_no": 0.9379,
      "rule": "C <= max(H, 20) * 0.95",
      "basis": "pattern"
    },
    "drop5": {
      "yes_no": 0.538
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "RIO",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  }
}

cut_last div_yield_ttm max sma

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FX trader · example 20

Is volatility rising across currencies?

When volatility rises in the dollar and EM at the same time, carry trades unwind. Check UUP and EEM together.

ora-fin-0.1.12 symbols, one request each4 questions1 action

State2 symbols
Questions4 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actions1 rule · dry run

State

{"symbol":"UUP"} then EEM, one request each. The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`vol5_20`	English → rule	Is 5-day volatility higher than 20-day volatility?
`atr_up`	rule	`atr(14) > 1.2 * ref(atr(14), -10)` ATR up 20% in two weeks
`wide`	rule	`(H - L) > 2 * avg(H - L, 20)` Range more than twice the 20-day average range
`vol_up`	forecast	Will volatility be higher over the next month? Higher volatility next month

Answers

Symbol	`vol5_20`rule	`atr_up`rule	`wide`rule	`vol_up`forecast	Fired
`UUP`	0.2148	0.0537	0.064	0.538	none
`EEM`	0.8616	0.1307	0.0899	0.527	none

true false not known for rules; forecasts are odds. Hover a column for its question.

Actions

Rules on the answers decide what to send. Each symbol runs its own request, so each one can fire.

vol5_20 >= 0.6 and atr_up >= 0.6→Slackfx-desk

UUP 0 of 1 fired · dry run, nothing sent

EEM 0 of 1 fired · dry run, nothing sent

What it means

Session of 2026-10-30, 2 symbols: Is 5-day volatility higher than 20-day volatility: true for EEM of 2. ATR up 20% in two weeks: true for none of 2. Range more than twice the 20-day average range: true for none of 2. Highest odds for “Higher volatility next month”: UUP at 54%. vol_alert fired for none.

Volatility rules firing in both the dollar and EM at once is the carry-unwind picture; one alone is usually local.

Request JSON (UUP; the others differ only in the symbol)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "UUP"
  },
  "questions": {
    "vol5_20": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Is 5-day volatility higher than 20-day volatility?"
    },
    "atr_up": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "atr(14) > 1.2 * ref(atr(14), -10)"
    },
    "wide": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "(H - L) > 2 * avg(H - L, 20)"
    },
    "vol_up": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will volatility be higher over the next month?"
    }
  },
  "actions": [
    {
      "id": "vol_alert",
      "when": "vol5_20 >= 0.6 and atr_up >= 0.6",
      "do": "slack",
      "connection": "fx-desk",
      "message": "{{symbol}} ({{as_of}}): short-term volatility above 20-day and ATR expanding. Higher volatility next month {{vol_up|pct}}. Review carry positions."
    }
  ],
  "dry_run": true
}

Response JSON (UUP, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "vol5_20": {
      "yes_no": 0.2148,
      "rule": "std(log(C / C[-1]), 5) * sqrt(5 / 4) > std(log(C / C[-1]), 20) * sqrt(20 / 19)",
      "basis": "pattern"
    },
    "atr_up": {
      "yes_no": 0.0537,
      "rule": "atr(14) > 1.2 * ref(atr(14), -10)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "wide": {
      "yes_no": 0.064,
      "rule": "(H - L) > 2 * avg(H - L, 20)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "vol_up": {
      "yes_no": 0.538
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "UUP",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  },
  "actions": [
    {
      "id": "vol_alert",
      "fired": false,
      "status": "skipped"
    }
  ]
}

atr avg log offset ref sqrt std

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Information, not investment advice. Rules answer from the latest completed daily session; forecasts are probabilities. Actions ran as dry runs: nothing was sent. More in Individuals: Retail investor, Active day trader, Swing trader, Options trader, Dividend investor, Long-term passive investor, Crypto trader, Commodities trader, Social trading community, Students and universities.

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Is the dollar stretched far from its average?

State

Questions

Answers

What it means

Risk-off signal: strong dollar and weak emerging markets

State

Questions

Answers

Actions

What it means

Monday FX digest: dollar and five regions

State

Questions

Answers

Actions

What it means

Mexico (EWW): did today's gap hold?

State

Questions

Answers

What it means

India (INDA): trend strength with ADX and DI

State

Questions

Answers

What it means

Developed vs emerging (EFA vs EEM): which leads?

State

Questions

Answers

What it means

European ADRs NVO and ASML: earnings and trend

State

Questions

Answers

What it means

Is the dollar's slope turning?

State

Questions

Answers

What it means

RIO and VALE: miners as a read on AUD and BRL

State

Questions

Answers

What it means

Is volatility rising across currencies?

State

Questions

Answers

Actions

What it means