Model

Use cases · Individuals

Options trader: 20 ways to use Ora

Picks strategies by volatility regime, expected range and the event calendar. Each example is a complete, runnable request with the real answers it returned (30 requests, captured 2026-10-31), what they mean and, where it fits, the action it would send.

Run withAnswers were captured on ora-fin-0.1.1. Another model changes the request JSON and the Playground link; run it there to see its answers.

Rule functions and facts used by this player (48)

offset 7 atr 6 std 6 ref 6 log 5 sqrt 5 abs 5 sma 5 bbupper 3 max 3 bblower 2 min 2 last_earnings_move 2 pays_dividend 2 adx 1 between 1 days_to_earnings 1 last_earnings_gap 1 next_report_amc 1 macdhist 1 rsi 1 cut_last 1 swinglow 1 bbmid 1 percentrank 1 atr_pct 1 days_since_ex_div 1 days_to_ex_div 1 hanging_man 1 harami_bear 1 highest 1 inverted_hammer 1 shooting_star 1 lowest 1 tr 1 beats_last4 1 ema 1 eps_growth_yoy 1 avg 1 years_of_growth 1 days_since_split 1 days_to_split 1 last_split_ratio 1 splits_5y 1 barssince 1 crossup 1 beat_eps_last 1 days_since_earnings 1

Examples 11–20 of 20 · page 2 of 2

Options trader · example 11

Shooting star at a high: put spread on NFLX

A shooting star after a 20-day high is a short-term top signal often traded with a put spread.

ora-fin-0.1.1NFLX6 questions

StateNFLX
Questions6 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actionsnone

State

{"symbol":"NFLX"} The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`ss_high`	rule	`shooting_star() and H > highest(H, 20)` Shooting star at a 20-day high
`ss`	rule	`shooting_star()` shooting star candle: Upper wick at least twice the body, lower wick at most 10% of the range, after a five-bar rise.
`hanging`	rule	`hanging_man()` hanging man candle: Hammer shape, closing above the close five bars back.
`inv`	rule	`inverted_hammer()` inverted hammer candle: Shooting-star shape after a five-bar decline.
`harami_bear`	rule	`harami_bear()` harami bear candle: A small red body inside yesterday's green body.
`down_week`	forecast	Will the stock be lower in a week? Lower in a week

Answers

Question	Answer	Reading
`ss_high` Shooting star at a 20-day high	0.0689	false
`ss` shooting star candle: Upper wick at least twice the body, lower wick at most 10% of the range, after a five-bar rise.	0.1284	false
`hanging` hanging man candle: Hammer shape, closing above the close five bars back.	0.1284	false
`inv` inverted hammer candle: Shooting-star shape after a five-bar decline.	0.15	false
`harami_bear` harami bear candle: A small red body inside yesterday's green body.	0.2285	false
`down_week` Lower in a week	0.492	49% · close to even

What it means

For NFLX on the session of 2026-10-30: Not true: Shooting star at a 20-day high; shooting star candle: Upper wick at least twice the body, lower wick at most 10% of the range, after a five-bar rise.; hanging man candle: Hammer shape, closing above the close five bars back.; inverted hammer candle: Shooting-star shape after a five-bar decline.; harami bear candle: A small red body inside yesterday's green body.. Forecasts: Lower in a week 49%.

A shooting star at a fresh high is the trigger for a defined-risk put spread; a lone candle without the high is not.

Request JSON

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "NFLX"
  },
  "questions": {
    "ss_high": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "shooting_star() and H > highest(H, 20)"
    },
    "ss": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "shooting_star()"
    },
    "hanging": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "hanging_man()"
    },
    "inv": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "inverted_hammer()"
    },
    "harami_bear": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "harami_bear()"
    },
    "down_week": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will the stock be lower in a week?"
    }
  }
}

Response JSON (NFLX, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "ss_high": {
      "yes_no": 0.0689,
      "rule": "shooting_star() and H > highest(H, 20)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "ss": {
      "yes_no": 0.1284,
      "rule": "shooting_star()",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "hanging": {
      "yes_no": 0.1284,
      "rule": "hanging_man()",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "inv": {
      "yes_no": 0.15,
      "rule": "inverted_hammer()",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "harami_bear": {
      "yes_no": 0.2285,
      "rule": "harami_bear()",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "down_week": {
      "yes_no": 0.492
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "NFLX",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  }
}

hanging_man harami_bear highest inverted_hammer shooting_star

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Options trader · example 12

Calendar spread in XLU: quiet now, livelier later

Calendars like low near-term movement and higher volatility later.

ora-fin-0.1.1XLU4 questions

StateXLU
Questions4 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actionsnone

State

{"symbol":"XLU"} The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`hv_low`	English → rule	Is 20-day historical volatility below 20%?
`nr7`	rule	`(H - L) < lowest(H - L, 6)` Narrowest range of the last seven sessions (NR7)
`calm`	forecast	Will volatility calm down over the next 5 days? Volatility calming over 5 days
`vol_up`	forecast	Will volatility be higher over the next month? Higher volatility next month

Answers

Question	Answer	Reading
`hv_low` Is 20-day historical volatility below 20% compiled to `std(log(C / C[-1]), 20) * sqrt(20 / 19) * sqrt(252) < 0.2`	0.9117	true
`nr7` Narrowest range of the last seven sessions (NR7)	0.6522	true
`calm` Volatility calming over 5 days	0.622	62% · likely
`vol_up` Higher volatility next month	0.456	46% · close to even

What it means

For XLU on the session of 2026-10-30: True now: Is 20-day historical volatility below 20%; Narrowest range of the last seven sessions (NR7). Forecasts: Volatility calming over 5 days 62%; Higher volatility next month 46%.

Quiet now and higher-volatility odds for the month is the calendar setup.

Request JSON

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "XLU"
  },
  "questions": {
    "hv_low": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Is 20-day historical volatility below 20%?"
    },
    "nr7": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "(H - L) < lowest(H - L, 6)"
    },
    "calm": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will volatility calm down over the next 5 days?"
    },
    "vol_up": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will volatility be higher over the next month?"
    }
  }
}

Response JSON (XLU, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "hv_low": {
      "yes_no": 0.9117,
      "rule": "std(log(C / C[-1]), 20) * sqrt(20 / 19) * sqrt(252) < 0.2",
      "basis": "pattern"
    },
    "nr7": {
      "yes_no": 0.6522,
      "rule": "(H - L) < lowest(H - L, 6)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "calm": {
      "yes_no": 0.622
    },
    "vol_up": {
      "yes_no": 0.456
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "XLU",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  }
}

log lowest offset sqrt std

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Options trader · example 13

Same-day index options: is today a trend day in SPY

For short-dated index options, the type of day matters more than direction.

ora-fin-0.1.1SPY5 questions

StateSPY
Questions5 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actionsnone

State

{"symbol":"SPY"} The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`trend_up`	rule	`(O <= L + 0.2 * (H - L)) and (C >= H - 0.2 * (H - L))` A trend day up: opened near the low, closed near the high
`trend_dn`	rule	`(H > L) and (O >= H - 0.2 * (H - L)) and (C <= L + 0.2 * (H - L))` Trend day down (opened near the high, closed near the low)
`tr_wide`	rule	`tr() > 1.5 * ref(atr(14), -1)` True range 1.5× yesterday's ATR
`move2`	forecast	Will the stock move more than 2% in either direction in 5 trading days? A 2%+ move either way in 5 days
`up_tmr`	forecast	Will the stock be up tomorrow? Up tomorrow

Answers

Question	Answer	Reading
`trend_up` A trend day up: opened near the low, closed near the high	0.0537	false
`trend_dn` Trend day down (opened near the high, closed near the low)	0.0669	false
`tr_wide` True range 1.5× yesterday's ATR	0.943	true
`move2` A 2%+ move either way in 5 days	0.394	39% · unlikely
`up_tmr` Up tomorrow	0.532	53% · close to even

What it means

For SPY on the session of 2026-10-30: True now: True range 1.5× yesterday's ATR. Not true: A trend day up: opened near the low, closed near the high; Trend day down (opened near the high, closed near the low). Forecasts: A 2%+ move either way in 5 days 39%; Up tomorrow 53%.

After a trend day the next day is often quieter, which favors selling same-day premium.

Request JSON

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "SPY"
  },
  "questions": {
    "trend_up": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "(O <= L + 0.2 * (H - L)) and (C >= H - 0.2 * (H - L))"
    },
    "trend_dn": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "(H > L) and (O >= H - 0.2 * (H - L)) and (C <= L + 0.2 * (H - L))"
    },
    "tr_wide": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "tr() > 1.5 * ref(atr(14), -1)"
    },
    "move2": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will the stock move more than 2% in either direction in 5 trading days?"
    },
    "up_tmr": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will the stock be up tomorrow?"
    }
  }
}

Response JSON (SPY, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "trend_up": {
      "yes_no": 0.0537,
      "rule": "(O <= L + 0.2 * (H - L)) and (C >= H - 0.2 * (H - L))",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "trend_dn": {
      "yes_no": 0.0669,
      "rule": "(H > L) and (O >= H - 0.2 * (H - L)) and (C <= L + 0.2 * (H - L))",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "tr_wide": {
      "yes_no": 0.943,
      "rule": "tr() > 1.5 * ref(atr(14), -1)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "move2": {
      "yes_no": 0.394
    },
    "up_tmr": {
      "yes_no": 0.532
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "SPY",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  }
}

atr ref tr

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Options trader · example 14

LEAPS on MSFT: long-term trend and earnings quality

Long-dated calls need a long-term trend and a business that keeps beating.

ora-fin-0.1.1MSFT5 questions

StateMSFT
Questions5 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actionsnone

State

{"symbol":"MSFT"} The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`trend`	rule	`sma(C, 200) > ref(sma(C, 200), -20)` The 200-day average is rising
`stack`	rule	`C > ema(C, 20) and ema(C, 20) > sma(C, 50) and sma(C, 50) > sma(C, 200)` Stacked averages: close > 20 EMA > 50 > 200
`beats`	English → rule	Has the stock beaten EPS estimates in at least 3 of the last 4 quarters?
`eps_g`	rule	`eps_growth_yoy > 10` EPS up more than 10% on the year
`rally10`	forecast	Will it rally at least 10% at some point in the next month? A 10% rally within a month

Answers

Question	Answer	Reading
`trend` The 200-day average is rising	0.8991	true
`stack` Stacked averages: close > 20 EMA > 50 > 200	0.3192	false
`beats` Has the stock beaten EPS estimates in at least 3 of the last 4 quarters compiled to `beats_last4 >= 3`	0.8591	true
`eps_g` EPS up more than 10% on the year	0.8327	true
`rally10` A 10% rally within a month	0.495	50% · close to even

What it means

For MSFT on the session of 2026-10-30: True now: The 200-day average is rising; Has the stock beaten EPS estimates in at least 3 of the last 4 quarters; EPS up more than 10% on the year. Not true: Stacked averages: close > 20 EMA > 50 > 200. Forecasts: A 10% rally within a month 50%.

Rising 200-day and steady beats support a LEAPS position; a broken trend or misses argue for stock or nothing.

Request JSON

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "MSFT"
  },
  "questions": {
    "trend": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "sma(C, 200) > ref(sma(C, 200), -20)"
    },
    "stack": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C > ema(C, 20) and ema(C, 20) > sma(C, 50) and sma(C, 50) > sma(C, 200)"
    },
    "beats": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Has the stock beaten EPS estimates in at least 3 of the last 4 quarters?"
    },
    "eps_g": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "eps_growth_yoy > 10"
    },
    "rally10": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will it rally at least 10% at some point in the next month?"
    }
  }
}

Response JSON (MSFT, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "trend": {
      "yes_no": 0.8991,
      "rule": "sma(C, 200) > ref(sma(C, 200), -20)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "stack": {
      "yes_no": 0.3192,
      "rule": "C > ema(C, 20) and ema(C, 20) > sma(C, 50) and sma(C, 50) > sma(C, 200)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "beats": {
      "yes_no": 0.8591,
      "rule": "beats_last4 >= 3",
      "basis": "pattern"
    },
    "eps_g": {
      "yes_no": 0.8327,
      "rule": "eps_growth_yoy > 10",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "rally10": {
      "yes_no": 0.495
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "MSFT",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  }
}

beats_last4 ema eps_growth_yoy ref sma

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Options trader · example 15

Wheel strategy candidates: KO, PEP, JNJ, PG

Pick names for selling puts then calls: liquid, steady, dividend-paying, not crashing.

ora-fin-0.1.14 symbols, one request each5 questions

State4 symbols
Questions5 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actionsnone

State

{"symbol":"KO"} then PEP, JNJ, PG, one request each. The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`liquid`	English → rule	Does the stock trade more than $50 million a day on average?
`hv_low`	English → rule	Is 20-day historical volatility below 20%?
`grower`	rule	`years_of_growth >= 10` Ten years of dividend growth
`drawdown`	rule	`C < 0.8 * max(H, 252)` More than 20% off the 52-week high
`drop5`	forecast	Will it drop at least 5% at some point in the next month? A 5% drawdown within a month

Answers

Symbol	`liquid`rule	`hv_low`rule	`grower`rule	`drawdown`rule	`drop5`forecast
`KO`	0.9463	0.2605	0.9463	0.0537	0.361
`PEP`	0.9463	0.0794	0.9463	0.1715	0.418
`JNJ`	0.9463	0.0666	0.9463	0.0537	0.461
`PG`	0.9463	0.0873	0.9463	0.0537	0.357

true false not known for rules; forecasts are odds. Hover a column for its question.

What it means

Session of 2026-10-30, 4 symbols: Does the stock trade more than $50 million a day on average: true for KO, PEP, JNJ, PG of 4. Is 20-day historical volatility below 20%: true for none of 4. Ten years of dividend growth: true for KO, PEP, JNJ, PG of 4. More than 20% off the 52-week high: true for none of 4. Highest odds for “A 5% drawdown within a month”: JNJ at 46%.

Liquid, calm dividend growers without a deep drawdown are wheel candidates; the drawdown forecast sets strike distance.

Request JSON (KO; the others differ only in the symbol)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "KO"
  },
  "questions": {
    "liquid": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Does the stock trade more than $50 million a day on average?"
    },
    "hv_low": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Is 20-day historical volatility below 20%?"
    },
    "grower": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "years_of_growth >= 10"
    },
    "drawdown": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C < 0.8 * max(H, 252)"
    },
    "drop5": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will it drop at least 5% at some point in the next month?"
    }
  }
}

Response JSON (KO, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "liquid": {
      "yes_no": 0.9463,
      "rule": "avg(C * V, 20) > 50000000",
      "basis": "pattern"
    },
    "hv_low": {
      "yes_no": 0.2605,
      "rule": "std(log(C / C[-1]), 20) * sqrt(20 / 19) * sqrt(252) < 0.2",
      "basis": "pattern"
    },
    "grower": {
      "yes_no": 0.9463,
      "rule": "years_of_growth >= 10",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "drawdown": {
      "yes_no": 0.0537,
      "rule": "C < 0.8 * max(H, 252)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "drop5": {
      "yes_no": 0.361
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "KO",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  }
}

avg log max offset sqrt std years_of_growth

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Options trader · example 16

Overnight gap risk on short options: TSLA

Before holding short options overnight, check gap habits and tomorrow's gap odds.

ora-fin-0.1.1TSLA5 questions2 actions

StateTSLA
Questions5 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actions2 rules · dry run

State

{"symbol":"TSLA"} The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`gap_atr`	rule	`abs(O - C[-1]) > 0.5 * ref(atr(14), -1)` Gap bigger than half an ATR
`unfilled`	rule	`L > H[-1]` An unfilled gap up
`gap_up`	forecast	Will it gap up tomorrow? A gap up tomorrow
`gap_dn`	forecast	Will it gap down tomorrow? A gap down tomorrow
`big5`	forecast	Will there be a big move in either direction in the next 5 days? A big move either way in 5 days

Answers

Question	Answer	Reading
`gap_atr` Gap bigger than half an ATR	0.8646	true
`unfilled` An unfilled gap up	0.0577	false
`gap_up` A gap up tomorrow	0.224	22% · unlikely
`gap_dn` A gap down tomorrow	0.157	16% · unlikely
`big5` A big move either way in 5 days	0.248	25% · unlikely

Actions

Rules on the answers decide what to send.

gap_up >= 0.1 or gap_dn >= 0.1→Slackoptions-desk

else→Slackoptions-desk

What each action would send 1 of 2 fired · dry run, nothing sent

close_shortwould send (dry run)Slack → options-desk

{
  "text": "TSLA (2026-10-30): overnight gap odds up 22% / down 16%. Close short premium."
}

hold_shortrule false: skipped

What it means

For TSLA on the session of 2026-10-30: True now: Gap bigger than half an ATR. Not true: An unfilled gap up. Forecasts: A gap up tomorrow 22%; A gap down tomorrow 16%; A big move either way in 5 days 25%. Fired: close_short (Slack → options-desk).

If gap odds are meaningful in either direction, short options are closed before the bell.

Request JSON

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "TSLA"
  },
  "questions": {
    "gap_atr": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "abs(O - C[-1]) > 0.5 * ref(atr(14), -1)"
    },
    "unfilled": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "L > H[-1]"
    },
    "gap_up": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will it gap up tomorrow?"
    },
    "gap_dn": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will it gap down tomorrow?"
    },
    "big5": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will there be a big move in either direction in the next 5 days?"
    }
  },
  "actions": [
    {
      "id": "close_short",
      "when": "gap_up >= 0.1 or gap_dn >= 0.1",
      "do": "slack",
      "connection": "options-desk",
      "message": "{{symbol}} ({{as_of}}): overnight gap odds up {{gap_up|pct}} / down {{gap_dn|pct}}. Close short premium."
    },
    {
      "id": "hold_short",
      "when": "else",
      "do": "slack",
      "connection": "options-desk",
      "message": "{{symbol}} ({{as_of}}): low gap odds; short premium can be held."
    }
  ],
  "dry_run": true
}

Response JSON (TSLA, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "gap_atr": {
      "yes_no": 0.8646,
      "rule": "abs(O - C[-1]) > 0.5 * ref(atr(14), -1)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "unfilled": {
      "yes_no": 0.0577,
      "rule": "L > H[-1]",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "gap_up": {
      "yes_no": 0.224
    },
    "gap_dn": {
      "yes_no": 0.157
    },
    "big5": {
      "yes_no": 0.248
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "TSLA",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  },
  "actions": [
    {
      "id": "close_short",
      "fired": true,
      "status": "dry_run",
      "do": "slack",
      "connection": "options-desk",
      "preview": {
        "text": "TSLA (2026-10-30): overnight gap odds up 22% / down 16%. Close short premium."
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "hold_short",
      "fired": false,
      "status": "skipped"
    }
  ]
}

abs atr offset ref

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Options trader · example 17

Split check before reading old option strikes: NVDA, TSLA, AMZN

Past splits change strikes and contract sizes; check split history before comparing chains.

ora-fin-0.1.13 symbols, one request each4 questions

State3 symbols
Questions4 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actionsnone

State

{"symbol":"NVDA"} then TSLA, AMZN, one request each. The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`split3y`	rule	`days_since_split <= 1095` Split in the last three years
`ratio`	rule	`last_split_ratio >= 4` Last split at least 4-for-1
`announced`	rule	`days_to_split <= 365` A split is announced
`multi`	rule	`splits_5y >= 2` Two or more splits in five years

Answers

Symbol	`split3y`rule	`ratio`rule	`announced`rule	`multi`rule
`NVDA`	0.9463	0.9463	0.0537	0.1409
`TSLA`	0.0537	0.0683	0.0537	0.1409
`AMZN`	0.0537	0.9463	0.0537	0.1409

true false not known for rules; forecasts are odds. Hover a column for its question.

What it means

Session of 2026-10-30, 3 symbols: Split in the last three years: true for NVDA of 3. Last split at least 4-for-1: true for NVDA, AMZN of 3. A split is announced: true for none of 3. Two or more splits in five years: true for none of 3.

If a split happened recently, old strikes and open interest must be adjusted before any comparison.

Request JSON (NVDA; the others differ only in the symbol)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "NVDA"
  },
  "questions": {
    "split3y": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "days_since_split <= 1095"
    },
    "ratio": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "last_split_ratio >= 4"
    },
    "announced": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "days_to_split <= 365"
    },
    "multi": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "splits_5y >= 2"
    }
  }
}

Response JSON (NVDA, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "split3y": {
      "yes_no": 0.9463,
      "rule": "days_since_split <= 1095",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "ratio": {
      "yes_no": 0.9463,
      "rule": "last_split_ratio >= 4",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "announced": {
      "yes_no": 0.0537,
      "rule": "days_to_split <= 365",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "multi": {
      "yes_no": 0.1409,
      "rule": "splits_5y >= 2",
      "basis": "rule"
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "NVDA",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  }
}

days_since_split days_to_split last_split_ratio splits_5y

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Options trader · example 18

Delta-hedge trigger for a long straddle in IWM

Rebalance the hedge after a large move; send the instruction to the execution system.

ora-fin-0.1.1IWM4 questions2 actions

StateIWM
Questions4 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actions2 rules · dry run

State

{"symbol":"IWM"} The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`big`	rule	`abs(C - C[-1]) > 1.5 * atr(14)` Today's move was bigger than 1.5 ATR
`up`	rule	`C > C[-1]` Closed higher than yesterday
`move`	rule	`abs(C / C[-1] - 1) > 0.015` Moved more than 1.5% today
`vol_rise`	forecast	Will volatility rise over the next 5 days? Volatility rising over 5 days

Answers

Question	Answer	Reading
`big` Today's move was bigger than 1.5 ATR	0.1815	false
`up` Closed higher than yesterday	0.0707	false
`move` Moved more than 1.5% today	0.6739	true
`vol_rise` Volatility rising over 5 days	0.408	41% · close to even

Actions

Rules on the answers decide what to send.

move >= 0.6 and up >= 0.6→Webhookexec-system

move >= 0.6→Webhookexec-system

What each action would send 1 of 2 fired · dry run, nothing sent

rehedge_sellrule false: skipped

rehedge_buywould send (dry run)Webhook → exec-system

{
  "underlying": "IWM",
  "action": "buy_shares_to_rehedge",
  "p_move": 0.6739,
  "as_of": "2026-10-30"
}

What it means

For IWM on the session of 2026-10-30: True now: Moved more than 1.5% today. Not true: Today's move was bigger than 1.5 ATR; Closed higher than yesterday. Forecasts: Volatility rising over 5 days 41%. Fired: rehedge_buy (Webhook → exec-system).

A move larger than the hedge band sends a re-hedge order in the opposite direction of the move.

Request JSON

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "IWM"
  },
  "questions": {
    "big": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "abs(C - C[-1]) > 1.5 * atr(14)"
    },
    "up": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C > C[-1]"
    },
    "move": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "abs(C / C[-1] - 1) > 0.015"
    },
    "vol_rise": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will volatility rise over the next 5 days?"
    }
  },
  "actions": [
    {
      "id": "rehedge_sell",
      "when": "move >= 0.6 and up >= 0.6",
      "do": "webhook",
      "connection": "exec-system",
      "body": {
        "underlying": "{{symbol}}",
        "action": "sell_shares_to_rehedge",
        "p_move": "{{move}}",
        "as_of": "{{as_of}}"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "rehedge_buy",
      "when": "move >= 0.6",
      "do": "webhook",
      "connection": "exec-system",
      "body": {
        "underlying": "{{symbol}}",
        "action": "buy_shares_to_rehedge",
        "p_move": "{{move}}",
        "as_of": "{{as_of}}"
      }
    }
  ],
  "dry_run": true
}

Response JSON (IWM, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "big": {
      "yes_no": 0.1815,
      "rule": "abs(C - C[-1]) > 1.5 * atr(14)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "up": {
      "yes_no": 0.0707,
      "rule": "C > C[-1]",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "move": {
      "yes_no": 0.6739,
      "rule": "abs(C / C[-1] - 1) > 0.015",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "vol_rise": {
      "yes_no": 0.408
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "IWM",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  },
  "actions": [
    {
      "id": "rehedge_sell",
      "fired": false,
      "status": "skipped"
    },
    {
      "id": "rehedge_buy",
      "fired": true,
      "status": "dry_run",
      "do": "webhook",
      "connection": "exec-system",
      "preview": {
        "body": {
          "underlying": "IWM",
          "action": "buy_shares_to_rehedge",
          "p_move": 0.6739,
          "as_of": "2026-10-30"
        }
      }
    }
  ]
}

abs atr offset

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Options trader · example 19

Long volatility products: UVXY and VXX trend

Volatility ETPs decay; only hold them while their own trend is up.

ora-fin-0.1.12 symbols, one request each4 questions

State2 symbols
Questions4 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actionsnone

State

{"symbol":"UVXY"} then VXX, one request each. The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`above20`	rule	`C > sma(C, 20)` Above the 20-day average
`crossup`	rule	`crossup(C, sma(C, 20))` Crossed above the 20-day today
`bars`	rule	`barssince(crossup(C, sma(C, 20))) < 5` Crossed above the 20-day within 5 sessions
`up_week`	forecast	Will the stock be higher in a week? Higher in a week

Answers

Symbol	`above20`rule	`crossup`rule	`bars`rule	`up_week`forecast
`UVXY`	0.9212	0.95	0.7515	0.486
`VXX`	0.9313	0.95	0.7549	0.434

true false not known for rules; forecasts are odds. Hover a column for its question.

What it means

Session of 2026-10-30, 2 symbols: Above the 20-day average: true for UVXY, VXX of 2. Crossed above the 20-day today: true for UVXY, VXX of 2. Crossed above the 20-day within 5 sessions: true for UVXY, VXX of 2. Highest odds for “Higher in a week”: UVXY at 49%.

A fresh cross above the 20-day is the only time to hold these; below it, decay wins.

Request JSON (UVXY; the others differ only in the symbol)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "UVXY"
  },
  "questions": {
    "above20": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C > sma(C, 20)"
    },
    "crossup": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "crossup(C, sma(C, 20))"
    },
    "bars": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "barssince(crossup(C, sma(C, 20))) < 5"
    },
    "up_week": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will the stock be higher in a week?"
    }
  }
}

Response JSON (UVXY, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "above20": {
      "yes_no": 0.9212,
      "rule": "C > sma(C, 20)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "crossup": {
      "yes_no": 0.95,
      "rule": "crossup(C, sma(C, 20))",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "bars": {
      "yes_no": 0.7515,
      "rule": "barssince(crossup(C, sma(C, 20))) < 5",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "up_week": {
      "yes_no": 0.486
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "UVXY",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  }
}

barssince crossup sma

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Options trader · example 20

After the report: sell volatility on JPM?

Once the report is out, implied volatility usually drops; check that the report happened and the move was small.

ora-fin-0.1.1JPM4 questions1 actionworkflow · Mon–Fri at 15:30 ET

ScheduleMon–Fri at 15:30 ET
StateJPM
Questions4 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actions1 rule · dry run

State

{"symbol":"JPM"} The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`recent`	rule	`days_since_earnings <= 5` Reported in the last 5 days
`small`	rule	`abs(last_earnings_move) < 3` Last earnings reaction under 3%
`beat`	English → rule	Did the stock beat EPS estimates last quarter?
`calm`	forecast	Will volatility calm down over the next 5 days? Volatility calming over 5 days

Answers

Question	Answer	Reading
`recent` Reported in the last 5 days	0.0537	false
`small` Last earnings reaction under 3%	0.9463	true
`beat` Did the stock beat EPS estimates last quarter compiled to `beat_eps_last > 0.5`	0.1409	false
`calm` Volatility calming over 5 days	0.505	51% · close to even

Actions

Rules on the answers decide what to send.

recent >= 0.6 and small >= 0.6→Emailme

What each action would send 0 of 1 fired · dry run, nothing sent

sell_volrule false: skipped

What it means

For JPM on the session of 2026-10-30: True now: Last earnings reaction under 3%. Not true: Reported in the last 5 days; Did the stock beat EPS estimates last quarter. Forecasts: Volatility calming over 5 days 51%. No action fired: every rule was false.

Reported, small reaction and calming volatility odds is the window to sell short-dated premium.

As a scheduled workflow (Mon–Fri at 15:30 ET)

Create it under Workflows in the console: it runs these questions for every symbol on the schedule and fires the actions per symbol. The answers above are what one run returned.

{
  "name": "After the report: sell volatility on JPM?",
  "symbols": "JPM",
  "days": [
    1,
    2,
    3,
    4,
    5
  ],
  "at_time": "15:30",
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "questions": {
    "recent": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "days_since_earnings <= 5"
    },
    "small": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "abs(last_earnings_move) < 3"
    },
    "beat": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Did the stock beat EPS estimates last quarter?"
    },
    "calm": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will volatility calm down over the next 5 days?"
    }
  },
  "actions": [
    {
      "id": "sell_vol",
      "when": "recent >= 0.6 and small >= 0.6",
      "do": "email",
      "connection": "me",
      "subject": "{{symbol}}: post-earnings premium window",
      "message": "{{symbol}} ({{as_of}}) reported within 5 days with a small reaction. Calming odds {{calm|pct}}."
    }
  ]
}

Request JSON

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "JPM"
  },
  "questions": {
    "recent": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "days_since_earnings <= 5"
    },
    "small": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "abs(last_earnings_move) < 3"
    },
    "beat": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Did the stock beat EPS estimates last quarter?"
    },
    "calm": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will volatility calm down over the next 5 days?"
    }
  },
  "actions": [
    {
      "id": "sell_vol",
      "when": "recent >= 0.6 and small >= 0.6",
      "do": "email",
      "connection": "me",
      "subject": "{{symbol}}: post-earnings premium window",
      "message": "{{symbol}} ({{as_of}}) reported within 5 days with a small reaction. Calming odds {{calm|pct}}."
    }
  ],
  "dry_run": true
}

Response JSON (JPM, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "recent": {
      "yes_no": 0.0537,
      "rule": "days_since_earnings <= 5",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "small": {
      "yes_no": 0.9463,
      "rule": "abs(last_earnings_move) < 3",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "beat": {
      "yes_no": 0.1409,
      "rule": "beat_eps_last > 0.5",
      "basis": "pattern"
    },
    "calm": {
      "yes_no": 0.505
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "JPM",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  },
  "actions": [
    {
      "id": "sell_vol",
      "fired": false,
      "status": "skipped"
    }
  ]
}

abs beat_eps_last days_since_earnings last_earnings_move

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Information, not investment advice. Rules answer from the latest completed daily session; forecasts are probabilities. Actions ran as dry runs: nothing was sent. More in Individuals: Retail investor, Active day trader, Swing trader, Dividend investor, Long-term passive investor, Crypto trader, FX trader, Commodities trader, Social trading community, Students and universities.

Create an account Open the Playground Everything here also lives in the console, next to your keys and usage.

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Institutions

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Calendar spread in XLU: quiet now, livelier later

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LEAPS on MSFT: long-term trend and earnings quality

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Overnight gap risk on short options: TSLA

State

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What it means

Split check before reading old option strikes: NVDA, TSLA, AMZN

State

Questions

Answers

What it means

Delta-hedge trigger for a long straddle in IWM

State

Questions

Answers

Actions

What it means

Long volatility products: UVXY and VXX trend

State

Questions

Answers

What it means

After the report: sell volatility on JPM?

State

Questions

Answers

Actions

What it means