Model

Use cases · Individuals

Retail investor: 20 ways to use Ora

Checks a handful of stocks before buying, adding or trimming, and wants alerts instead of screen time. Each example is a complete, runnable request with the real answers it returned (26 requests, captured 2026-10-31), what they mean and, where it fits, the action it would send.

Run withAnswers were captured on ora-fin-0.1.1. Another model changes the request JSON and the Playground link; run it there to see its answers.

Rule functions and facts used by this player (49)

sma 13 rsi 5 max 5 lowest 4 offset 4 beat_eps_last 3 div_yield_ttm 3 atr 3 ref 3 abs 2 years_of_growth 2 avg 2 highest 2 min 2 ema 2 bbupper 2 swinglow 2 std 2 beat_revenue_last 1 days_to_earnings 1 last_earnings_move 1 next_report_amc 1 cut_last 1 pays_dividend 1 obv 1 zscore 1 macd 1 macdsignal 1 days_since_split 1 days_to_split 1 last_split_ratio 1 reverse_split_last 1 splits_5y 1 engulfing_bull 1 hammer 1 raised_last 1 bblower 1 bbmid 1 roc 1 days_since_ex_div 1 days_to_ex_div 1 div_count_ttm 1 days_since_earnings 1 eps_surprise_pct 1 last_earnings_gap 1 pre_earnings_close 1 atr_pct 1 log 1 sqrt 1

Examples 11–20 of 20 · page 2 of 2

Retail investor · example 11

Has NVDA split recently, and is another split announced?

Understand the split history behind the share price before reading old price charts or news.

ora-fin-0.1.1NVDA5 questions

StateNVDA
Questions5 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actionsnone

State

{"symbol":"NVDA"} The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`split_3y`	rule	`days_since_split <= 1095` Split in the last three years
`ratio`	English → rule	Was the last split at least 2-for-1?
`reverse`	rule	`reverse_split_last > 0.5` Last split was a reverse split
`announced`	rule	`days_to_split <= 365` A split is announced
`multi`	rule	`splits_5y >= 2` Two or more splits in five years

Answers

Question	Answer	Reading
`split_3y` Split in the last three years	0.9463	true
`ratio` Was the last split at least 2-for-1 compiled to `last_split_ratio >= 2`	0.9463	true
`reverse` Last split was a reverse split	0.1409	false
`announced` A split is announced	0.0537	false
`multi` Two or more splits in five years	0.1409	false

What it means

For NVDA on the session of 2026-10-30: True now: Split in the last three years; Was the last split at least 2-for-1. Not true: Last split was a reverse split; A split is announced; Two or more splits in five years.

Split facts come from the corporate-action record; an announced split is answered only once it is in the table.

Request JSON

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "NVDA"
  },
  "questions": {
    "split_3y": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "days_since_split <= 1095"
    },
    "ratio": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Was the last split at least 2-for-1?"
    },
    "reverse": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "reverse_split_last > 0.5"
    },
    "announced": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "days_to_split <= 365"
    },
    "multi": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "splits_5y >= 2"
    }
  }
}

Response JSON (NVDA, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "split_3y": {
      "yes_no": 0.9463,
      "rule": "days_since_split <= 1095",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "ratio": {
      "yes_no": 0.9463,
      "rule": "last_split_ratio >= 2",
      "basis": "pattern"
    },
    "reverse": {
      "yes_no": 0.1409,
      "rule": "reverse_split_last > 0.5",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "announced": {
      "yes_no": 0.0537,
      "rule": "days_to_split <= 365",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "multi": {
      "yes_no": 0.1409,
      "rule": "splits_5y >= 2",
      "basis": "rule"
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "NVDA",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  }
}

days_since_split days_to_split last_split_ratio reverse_split_last splits_5y

Try it in the Playground

Retail investor · example 12

Did a reversal candle print at support in PFE?

Look for a hammer or bullish engulfing near the recent low before averaging down.

ora-fin-0.1.1PFE5 questions

StatePFE
Questions5 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actionsnone

State

{"symbol":"PFE"} The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`hammer_low`	rule	`hammer() and L <= 1.01 * lowest(L, 20)` Hammer at a 20-day low
`engulf`	rule	`engulfing_bull()` engulfing bull candle: A green body that engulfs yesterday's red body.
`near_sup`	English → rule	Is the stock within 2% above its last swing low (support)?
`below_200d`	English → rule	Is the stock below its 200-day moving average?
`up_week`	forecast	Will the stock be higher in a week? Higher in a week

Answers

Question	Answer	Reading
`hammer_low` Hammer at a 20-day low	0.0591	false
`engulf` engulfing bull candle: A green body that engulfs yesterday's red body.	0.0562	false
`near_sup` Is the stock within 2% above its last swing low (support) compiled to `(C >= swinglow(5, 1)) and (C <= swinglow(5, 1) * 1.02)`	0.0904	false
`below_200d` Is the stock below its 200-day moving average compiled to `C < sma(C, 200)`	0.0537	false
`up_week` Higher in a week	0.555	56% · close to even

What it means

For PFE on the session of 2026-10-30: Not true: Hammer at a 20-day low; engulfing bull candle: A green body that engulfs yesterday's red body.; Is the stock within 2% above its last swing low (support); Is the stock below its 200-day moving average. Forecasts: Higher in a week 56%.

A candle at support is a reason to look, not to buy blindly; the trend rule says whether the stock is still in a downtrend.

Request JSON

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "PFE"
  },
  "questions": {
    "hammer_low": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "hammer() and L <= 1.01 * lowest(L, 20)"
    },
    "engulf": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "engulfing_bull()"
    },
    "near_sup": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Is the stock within 2% above its last swing low (support)?"
    },
    "below_200d": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Is the stock below its 200-day moving average?"
    },
    "up_week": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will the stock be higher in a week?"
    }
  }
}

Response JSON (PFE, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "hammer_low": {
      "yes_no": 0.0591,
      "rule": "hammer() and L <= 1.01 * lowest(L, 20)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "engulf": {
      "yes_no": 0.0562,
      "rule": "engulfing_bull()",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "near_sup": {
      "yes_no": 0.0904,
      "rule": "(C >= swinglow(5, 1)) and (C <= swinglow(5, 1) * 1.02)",
      "basis": "pattern"
    },
    "below_200d": {
      "yes_no": 0.0537,
      "rule": "C < sma(C, 200)",
      "basis": "comparison"
    },
    "up_week": {
      "yes_no": 0.555
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "PFE",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  }
}

engulfing_bull hammer lowest sma swinglow

Try it in the Playground

Retail investor · example 13

A quick checkup on JPM

Trend, momentum, earnings and dividend in one request for a bank stock in the portfolio.

ora-fin-0.1.1JPM6 questions

StateJPM
Questions6 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actionsnone

State

{"symbol":"JPM"} The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`trend`	rule	`C > sma(C, 50)` Above the 50-day average
`rsi50`	rule	`rsi(C, 14) > 50` RSI above 50
`beat`	English → rule	Did the stock beat EPS estimates last quarter?
`raised`	rule	`raised_last > 0.5` Raised its last dividend
`yield`	English → rule	Is the dividend yield above 2%?
`up_week`	forecast	Will the stock be higher in a week? Higher in a week

Answers

Question	Answer	Reading
`trend` Above the 50-day average	0.3034	false
`rsi50` RSI above 50	0.4703	on the line (false)
`beat` Did the stock beat EPS estimates last quarter compiled to `beat_eps_last > 0.5`	0.1409	false
`raised` Raised its last dividend	0.8591	true
`yield` Is the dividend yield above 2% compiled to `div_yield_ttm > 2`	0.0537	false
`up_week` Higher in a week	0.558	56% · close to even

What it means

For JPM on the session of 2026-10-30: True now: Raised its last dividend. Not true: Above the 50-day average; Did the stock beat EPS estimates last quarter; Is the dividend yield above 2%. On the line: RSI above 50. Forecasts: Higher in a week 56%.

One request mixes technical rules, earnings facts, dividend facts and a forecast; each answer carries its own rule, or none for the forecast.

Request JSON

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "JPM"
  },
  "questions": {
    "trend": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C > sma(C, 50)"
    },
    "rsi50": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "rsi(C, 14) > 50"
    },
    "beat": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Did the stock beat EPS estimates last quarter?"
    },
    "raised": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "raised_last > 0.5"
    },
    "yield": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Is the dividend yield above 2%?"
    },
    "up_week": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will the stock be higher in a week?"
    }
  }
}

Response JSON (JPM, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "trend": {
      "yes_no": 0.3034,
      "rule": "C > sma(C, 50)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "rsi50": {
      "yes_no": 0.4703,
      "rule": "rsi(C, 14) > 50",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "beat": {
      "yes_no": 0.1409,
      "rule": "beat_eps_last > 0.5",
      "basis": "pattern"
    },
    "raised": {
      "yes_no": 0.8591,
      "rule": "raised_last > 0.5",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "yield": {
      "yes_no": 0.0537,
      "rule": "div_yield_ttm > 2",
      "basis": "pattern"
    },
    "up_week": {
      "yes_no": 0.558
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "JPM",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  }
}

beat_eps_last div_yield_ttm raised_last rsi sma

Try it in the Playground

Retail investor · example 14

Is my stop on WMT about to be hit?

Check whether the stock closed below a chandelier stop or broke its 20-day low, and how likely a further drop is.

ora-fin-0.1.1WMT4 questions1 action

StateWMT
Questions4 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actions1 rule · dry run

State

{"symbol":"WMT"} The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`chandelier`	rule	`C < highest(H, 22) - 3 * atr(22)` Chandelier exit: 3 ATR under the 22-day high
`low_break`	rule	`C < lowest(L, 20)` Closed under the 20-day low
`swing_stop`	English → rule	Is a stop below the last swing low less than 1.5 ATR away?
`drop5`	forecast	Will it drop at least 5% at some point in the next month? A 5% drawdown within a month

Answers

Question	Answer	Reading
`chandelier` Chandelier exit: 3 ATR under the 22-day high	0.0681	false
`low_break` Closed under the 20-day low	0.0537	false
`swing_stop` Is a stop below the last swing low less than 1.5 ATR away compiled to `(C > swinglow(5, 1)) and (C - swinglow(5, 1) < 1.5 * atr(14))`	0.0575	false
`drop5` A 5% drawdown within a month	0.432	43% · close to even

Actions

Rules on the answers decide what to send.

chandelier >= 0.6 or low_break >= 0.6→Emailme

What each action would send 0 of 1 fired · dry run, nothing sent

stop_hitrule false: skipped

What it means

For WMT on the session of 2026-10-30: Not true: Chandelier exit: 3 ATR under the 22-day high; Closed under the 20-day low; Is a stop below the last swing low less than 1.5 ATR away. Forecasts: A 5% drawdown within a month 43%. No action fired: every rule was false.

The stop rules are exact checks on the close; the drawdown forecast is the odds of more downside, which helps decide whether to wait for the next session.

Request JSON

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "WMT"
  },
  "questions": {
    "chandelier": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C < highest(H, 22) - 3 * atr(22)"
    },
    "low_break": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C < lowest(L, 20)"
    },
    "swing_stop": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Is a stop below the last swing low less than 1.5 ATR away?"
    },
    "drop5": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will it drop at least 5% at some point in the next month?"
    }
  },
  "actions": [
    {
      "id": "stop_hit",
      "when": "chandelier >= 0.6 or low_break >= 0.6",
      "do": "email",
      "connection": "me",
      "subject": "{{symbol}}: stop level broken",
      "message": "{{symbol}} ({{as_of}}) closed through a stop level (chandelier {{chandelier|pct}}, 20-day low {{low_break|pct}}). Review the position."
    }
  ],
  "dry_run": true
}

Response JSON (WMT, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "chandelier": {
      "yes_no": 0.0681,
      "rule": "C < highest(H, 22) - 3 * atr(22)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "low_break": {
      "yes_no": 0.0537,
      "rule": "C < lowest(L, 20)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "swing_stop": {
      "yes_no": 0.0575,
      "rule": "(C > swinglow(5, 1)) and (C - swinglow(5, 1) < 1.5 * atr(14))",
      "basis": "pattern"
    },
    "drop5": {
      "yes_no": 0.432
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "WMT",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  },
  "actions": [
    {
      "id": "stop_hit",
      "fired": false,
      "status": "skipped"
    }
  ]
}

atr highest lowest swinglow

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Retail investor · example 15

Is HD coiling in a tight range?

Spot a quiet base (tight range, low volatility) that often comes before a bigger move.

ora-fin-0.1.1HD5 questions

StateHD
Questions5 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actionsnone

State

{"symbol":"HD"} The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`tight`	rule	`(max(H, 10) - min(L, 10)) / C < 0.05` A tight 10-day base (under 5% of price)
`squeeze`	rule	`(bbupper(C, 20, 2) - bblower(C, 20, 2)) / bbmid(C, 20) < 0.06` Bollinger bands narrower than 6% of price
`nr7`	rule	`(H - L) < lowest(H - L, 6)` Narrowest range of the last seven sessions (NR7)
`compression`	rule	`std(C, 10) < 0.5 * std(C, 50)` Swings less than half their 50-day size
`big_move5`	forecast	Will there be a big move in either direction in the next 5 days? A big move either way in 5 days

Answers

Question	Answer	Reading
`tight` A tight 10-day base (under 5% of price)	0.0626	false
`squeeze` Bollinger bands narrower than 6% of price	0.0537	false
`nr7` Narrowest range of the last seven sessions (NR7)	0.1182	false
`compression` Swings less than half their 50-day size	0.7725	true
`big_move5` A big move either way in 5 days	0.272	27% · unlikely

What it means

For HD on the session of 2026-10-30: True now: Swings less than half their 50-day size. Not true: A tight 10-day base (under 5% of price); Bollinger bands narrower than 6% of price; Narrowest range of the last seven sessions (NR7). Forecasts: A big move either way in 5 days 27%.

Several compression rules true at once describe a coiled stock; the forecast says whether a big move is likely soon, not which way.

Request JSON

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "HD"
  },
  "questions": {
    "tight": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "(max(H, 10) - min(L, 10)) / C < 0.05"
    },
    "squeeze": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "(bbupper(C, 20, 2) - bblower(C, 20, 2)) / bbmid(C, 20) < 0.06"
    },
    "nr7": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "(H - L) < lowest(H - L, 6)"
    },
    "compression": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "std(C, 10) < 0.5 * std(C, 50)"
    },
    "big_move5": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will there be a big move in either direction in the next 5 days?"
    }
  }
}

Response JSON (HD, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "tight": {
      "yes_no": 0.0626,
      "rule": "(max(H, 10) - min(L, 10)) / C < 0.05",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "squeeze": {
      "yes_no": 0.0537,
      "rule": "(bbupper(C, 20, 2) - bblower(C, 20, 2)) / bbmid(C, 20) < 0.06",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "nr7": {
      "yes_no": 0.1182,
      "rule": "(H - L) < lowest(H - L, 6)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "compression": {
      "yes_no": 0.7725,
      "rule": "std(C, 10) < 0.5 * std(C, 50)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "big_move5": {
      "yes_no": 0.272
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "HD",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  }
}

bblower bbmid bbupper lowest max min std

Try it in the Playground

Retail investor · example 16

AAPL or MSFT: which one is stronger right now?

Ask the same questions of two stocks and compare them side by side before choosing where to add.

ora-fin-0.1.12 symbols, one request each5 questions

State2 symbols
Questions5 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actionsnone

State

{"symbol":"AAPL"} then MSFT, one request each. The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`trend`	rule	`C > ema(C, 20) and ema(C, 20) > sma(C, 50) and sma(C, 50) > sma(C, 200)` Stacked averages: close > 20 EMA > 50 > 200
`momentum`	rule	`roc(C, 20) > 5` Up more than 5% in 20 sessions
`rsi50`	rule	`rsi(C, 14) > 50` RSI above 50
`near_high`	rule	`C >= 0.98 * max(H, 252)` Within 2% of the 52-week high
`beat_spy`	forecast	Will it beat SPY over the next month? Beating SPY over a month

Answers

Symbol	`trend`rule	`momentum`rule	`rsi50`rule	`near_high`rule	`beat_spy`forecast
`AAPL`	0.7079	0.3147	0.8179	0.4962	0.531
`MSFT`	0.3192	0.2797	0.4101	0.1327	0.514

true false not known for rules; forecasts are odds. Hover a column for its question.

What it means

Session of 2026-10-30, 2 symbols: Stacked averages: close > 20 EMA > 50 > 200: true for AAPL of 2. Up more than 5% in 20 sessions: true for none of 2. RSI above 50: true for AAPL of 2. Within 2% of the 52-week high: true for none of 2. Highest odds for “Beating SPY over a month”: AAPL at 53%.

One request per symbol with identical questions makes a fair comparison; prefer the one with more trend rules true and better odds against SPY.

Request JSON (AAPL; the others differ only in the symbol)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "AAPL"
  },
  "questions": {
    "trend": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C > ema(C, 20) and ema(C, 20) > sma(C, 50) and sma(C, 50) > sma(C, 200)"
    },
    "momentum": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "roc(C, 20) > 5"
    },
    "rsi50": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "rsi(C, 14) > 50"
    },
    "near_high": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C >= 0.98 * max(H, 252)"
    },
    "beat_spy": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will it beat SPY over the next month?"
    }
  }
}

Response JSON (AAPL, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "trend": {
      "yes_no": 0.7079,
      "rule": "C > ema(C, 20) and ema(C, 20) > sma(C, 50) and sma(C, 50) > sma(C, 200)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "momentum": {
      "yes_no": 0.3147,
      "rule": "roc(C, 20) > 5",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "rsi50": {
      "yes_no": 0.8179,
      "rule": "rsi(C, 14) > 50",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "near_high": {
      "yes_no": 0.4962,
      "rule": "C >= 0.98 * max(H, 252)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "beat_spy": {
      "yes_no": 0.531
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "AAPL",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  }
}

ema max roc rsi sma

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Retail investor · example 17

When does PG go ex-dividend?

Buy before the ex-date to receive the next payment, and check the yield and the record of raises.

ora-fin-0.1.1PG5 questions

StatePG
Questions5 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actionsnone

State

{"symbol":"PG"} The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`ex_soon`	rule	`days_to_ex_div <= 30` Goes ex-dividend within 30 days
`recent_ex`	English → rule	Did the stock go ex-dividend in the last 30 days?
`yield3`	English → rule	Is the dividend yield above 3%?
`grow25`	English → rule	Has the stock grown its dividend for 25 years in a row?
`quarterly`	rule	`div_count_ttm >= 4` Pays at least quarterly

Answers

Question	Answer	Reading
`ex_soon` Goes ex-dividend within 30 days	0.0537	false
`recent_ex` Did the stock go ex-dividend in the last 30 days compiled to `days_since_ex_div <= 30`	0.9463	true
`yield3` Is the dividend yield above 3% compiled to `div_yield_ttm > 3`	0.2091	false
`grow25` Has the stock grown its dividend for 25 years in a row compiled to `years_of_growth >= 25`	0.9463	true
`quarterly` Pays at least quarterly	0.55	on the line (true)

What it means

For PG on the session of 2026-10-30: True now: Did the stock go ex-dividend in the last 30 days; Has the stock grown its dividend for 25 years in a row. Not true: Goes ex-dividend within 30 days; Is the dividend yield above 3%. On the line: Pays at least quarterly.

days_to_ex_div only sees declared dates; if none is declared yet, the ex-soon question answers no.

Request JSON

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "PG"
  },
  "questions": {
    "ex_soon": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "days_to_ex_div <= 30"
    },
    "recent_ex": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Did the stock go ex-dividend in the last 30 days?"
    },
    "yield3": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Is the dividend yield above 3%?"
    },
    "grow25": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Has the stock grown its dividend for 25 years in a row?"
    },
    "quarterly": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "div_count_ttm >= 4"
    }
  }
}

Response JSON (PG, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "ex_soon": {
      "yes_no": 0.0537,
      "rule": "days_to_ex_div <= 30",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "recent_ex": {
      "yes_no": 0.9463,
      "rule": "days_since_ex_div <= 30",
      "basis": "pattern"
    },
    "yield3": {
      "yes_no": 0.2091,
      "rule": "div_yield_ttm > 3",
      "basis": "pattern"
    },
    "grow25": {
      "yes_no": 0.9463,
      "rule": "years_of_growth >= 25",
      "basis": "pattern"
    },
    "quarterly": {
      "yes_no": 0.55,
      "rule": "div_count_ttm >= 4",
      "basis": "rule"
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "PG",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  }
}

days_since_ex_div days_to_ex_div div_count_ttm div_yield_ttm years_of_growth

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Retail investor · example 18

Is NFLX drifting higher after its earnings beat?

After a report, check whether the stock beat, gapped up, and is holding above its pre-earnings price.

ora-fin-0.1.1NFLX5 questions

StateNFLX
Questions5 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actionsnone

State

{"symbol":"NFLX"} The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`drift`	rule	`beat_eps_last > 0.5 and last_earnings_gap > 0 and C > pre_earnings_close` Post-earnings drift: beat, gapped up, still above the pre-earnings close
`recent`	rule	`days_since_earnings <= 5` Reported in the last 5 days
`above_pre`	rule	`C > pre_earnings_close` Holding above the pre-earnings close
`surprise`	rule	`eps_surprise_pct > 5` EPS beat by more than 5%
`up_week`	forecast	Will the stock be higher in a week? Higher in a week

Answers

Question	Answer	Reading
`drift` Post-earnings drift: beat, gapped up, still above the pre-earnings close	0.0537	false
`recent` Reported in the last 5 days	0.0813	false
`above_pre` Holding above the pre-earnings close	0.1227	false
`surprise` EPS beat by more than 5%	0.6333	true
`up_week` Higher in a week	0.506	51% · close to even

What it means

For NFLX on the session of 2026-10-30: True now: EPS beat by more than 5%. Not true: Post-earnings drift: beat, gapped up, still above the pre-earnings close; Reported in the last 5 days; Holding above the pre-earnings close. Forecasts: Higher in a week 51%.

The drift rule needs a beat, a gap up and a hold above the pre-report close all at once; if any part is false the setup is not there.

Request JSON

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "NFLX"
  },
  "questions": {
    "drift": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "beat_eps_last > 0.5 and last_earnings_gap > 0 and C > pre_earnings_close"
    },
    "recent": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "days_since_earnings <= 5"
    },
    "above_pre": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C > pre_earnings_close"
    },
    "surprise": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "eps_surprise_pct > 5"
    },
    "up_week": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will the stock be higher in a week?"
    }
  }
}

Response JSON (NFLX, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "drift": {
      "yes_no": 0.0537,
      "rule": "beat_eps_last > 0.5 and last_earnings_gap > 0 and C > pre_earnings_close",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "recent": {
      "yes_no": 0.0813,
      "rule": "days_since_earnings <= 5",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "above_pre": {
      "yes_no": 0.1227,
      "rule": "C > pre_earnings_close",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "surprise": {
      "yes_no": 0.6333,
      "rule": "eps_surprise_pct > 5",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "up_week": {
      "yes_no": 0.506
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "NFLX",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  }
}

beat_eps_last days_since_earnings eps_surprise_pct last_earnings_gap pre_earnings_close

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Retail investor · example 19

Is TQQQ too volatile to hold this week?

Leveraged ETFs decay in choppy markets: check volatility and trend before holding through the week.

ora-fin-0.1.1TQQQ5 questions1 action

StateTQQQ
Questions5 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actions1 rule · dry run

State

{"symbol":"TQQQ"} The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`atr3`	rule	`atr_pct(14) > 3` A typical day moves more than 3%
`hv40`	rule	`std(log(C / C[-1]), 20) * sqrt(252) > 0.4` Annualized 20-day volatility above 40%
`trend`	English → rule	Is the stock above its 50-day moving average?
`vol_rise`	forecast	Will volatility rise over the next 5 days? Volatility rising over 5 days
`drop10`	forecast	Will it drop at least 10% at some point in the next month? A 10% drawdown within a month

Answers

Question	Answer	Reading
`atr3` A typical day moves more than 3%	0.9463	true
`hv40` Annualized 20-day volatility above 40%	0.9413	true
`trend` Is the stock above its 50-day moving average compiled to `C > sma(C, 50)`	0.0621	false
`vol_rise` Volatility rising over 5 days	0.427	43% · close to even
`drop10` A 10% drawdown within a month	0.766	77% · likely

Actions

Rules on the answers decide what to send.

atr3 >= 0.6 and drop10 >= 0.4→Emailme

What each action would send 1 of 1 fired · dry run, nothing sent

risk_notewould send (dry run)Email → me

{
  "subject": "TQQQ: high-volatility week",
  "text": "TQQQ (2026-10-30): ATR over 3% of price and 77% odds of a 10% drop within a month. Size down or step aside."
}

What it means

For TQQQ on the session of 2026-10-30: True now: A typical day moves more than 3%; Annualized 20-day volatility above 40%. Not true: Is the stock above its 50-day moving average. Forecasts: Volatility rising over 5 days 43%; A 10% drawdown within a month 77%. Fired: risk_note (Email → me).

For a leveraged fund the volatility rules matter as much as direction; the email only fires when volatility and drawdown odds are both high.

Request JSON

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "TQQQ"
  },
  "questions": {
    "atr3": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "atr_pct(14) > 3"
    },
    "hv40": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "std(log(C / C[-1]), 20) * sqrt(252) > 0.4"
    },
    "trend": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Is the stock above its 50-day moving average?"
    },
    "vol_rise": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will volatility rise over the next 5 days?"
    },
    "drop10": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will it drop at least 10% at some point in the next month?"
    }
  },
  "actions": [
    {
      "id": "risk_note",
      "when": "atr3 >= 0.6 and drop10 >= 0.4",
      "do": "email",
      "connection": "me",
      "subject": "{{symbol}}: high-volatility week",
      "message": "{{symbol}} ({{as_of}}): ATR over 3% of price and {{drop10|pct}} odds of a 10% drop within a month. Size down or step aside."
    }
  ],
  "dry_run": true
}

Response JSON (TQQQ, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "atr3": {
      "yes_no": 0.9463,
      "rule": "atr_pct(14) > 3",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "hv40": {
      "yes_no": 0.9413,
      "rule": "std(log(C / C[-1]), 20) * sqrt(252) > 0.4",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "trend": {
      "yes_no": 0.0621,
      "rule": "C > sma(C, 50)",
      "basis": "comparison"
    },
    "vol_rise": {
      "yes_no": 0.427
    },
    "drop10": {
      "yes_no": 0.766
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "TQQQ",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  },
  "actions": [
    {
      "id": "risk_note",
      "fired": true,
      "status": "dry_run",
      "do": "email",
      "connection": "me",
      "preview": {
        "subject": "TQQQ: high-volatility week",
        "text": "TQQQ (2026-10-30): ATR over 3% of price and 77% odds of a 10% drop within a month. Size down or step aside."
      }
    }
  ]
}

atr_pct log offset sma sqrt std

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Retail investor · example 20

A Monday rebalance nudge for a two-fund portfolio

Every Monday morning, check stocks (VTI) and bonds (BND) and email if either is in a large drawdown.

ora-fin-0.1.12 symbols, one request each4 questions1 actionworkflow · Mon at 09:00 ET

ScheduleMon at 09:00 ET
State2 symbols
Questions4 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actions1 rule · dry run

State

{"symbol":"VTI"} then BND, one request each. The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`drawdown`	rule	`C < 0.8 * max(H, 252)` More than 20% off the 52-week high
`trend`	English → rule	Is the stock above its 200-day moving average?
`down_month`	English → rule	Is the stock down more than 5% over the last month?
`drop5`	forecast	Will it drop at least 5% at some point in the next month? A 5% drawdown within a month

Answers

Symbol	`drawdown`rule	`trend`rule	`down_month`rule	`drop5`forecast	Fired
`VTI`	0.0537	0.9415	0.0662	0.187	none
`BND`	0.0537	0.2013	0.0537	0.007	none

true false not known for rules; forecasts are odds. Hover a column for its question.

Actions

Rules on the answers decide what to send. Each symbol runs its own request, so each one can fire.

drawdown >= 0.6 or down_month >= 0.6→Emailme

VTI 0 of 1 fired · dry run, nothing sent

BND 0 of 1 fired · dry run, nothing sent

What it means

Session of 2026-10-30, 2 symbols: More than 20% off the 52-week high: true for none of 2. Is the stock above its 200-day moving average: true for VTI of 2. Is the stock down more than 5% over the last month: true for none of 2. Highest odds for “A 5% drawdown within a month”: VTI at 19%. rebalance fired for none.

A quiet Monday means both funds are within their normal range; an email means one has moved enough to check the mix.

As a scheduled workflow (Mon at 09:00 ET)

Create it under Workflows in the console: it runs these questions for every symbol on the schedule and fires the actions per symbol. The answers above are what one run returned.

{
  "name": "A Monday rebalance nudge for a two-fund portfolio",
  "symbols": "VTI BND",
  "days": [
    1
  ],
  "at_time": "09:00",
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "questions": {
    "drawdown": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C < 0.8 * max(H, 252)"
    },
    "trend": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Is the stock above its 200-day moving average?"
    },
    "down_month": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Is the stock down more than 5% over the last month?"
    },
    "drop5": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will it drop at least 5% at some point in the next month?"
    }
  },
  "actions": [
    {
      "id": "rebalance",
      "when": "drawdown >= 0.6 or down_month >= 0.6",
      "do": "email",
      "connection": "me",
      "subject": "Rebalance check: {{symbol}}",
      "message": "{{symbol}} ({{as_of}}) is in a drawdown (20% off the high {{drawdown|pct}}, down 5% this month {{down_month|pct}}). Check your target mix."
    }
  ]
}

Request JSON (VTI; the others differ only in the symbol)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "VTI"
  },
  "questions": {
    "drawdown": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C < 0.8 * max(H, 252)"
    },
    "trend": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Is the stock above its 200-day moving average?"
    },
    "down_month": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Is the stock down more than 5% over the last month?"
    },
    "drop5": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will it drop at least 5% at some point in the next month?"
    }
  },
  "actions": [
    {
      "id": "rebalance",
      "when": "drawdown >= 0.6 or down_month >= 0.6",
      "do": "email",
      "connection": "me",
      "subject": "Rebalance check: {{symbol}}",
      "message": "{{symbol}} ({{as_of}}) is in a drawdown (20% off the high {{drawdown|pct}}, down 5% this month {{down_month|pct}}). Check your target mix."
    }
  ],
  "dry_run": true
}

Response JSON (VTI, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "drawdown": {
      "yes_no": 0.0537,
      "rule": "C < 0.8 * max(H, 252)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "trend": {
      "yes_no": 0.9415,
      "rule": "C > sma(C, 200)",
      "basis": "comparison"
    },
    "down_month": {
      "yes_no": 0.0662,
      "rule": "C / C[-21] - 1 < -0.05",
      "basis": "pattern"
    },
    "drop5": {
      "yes_no": 0.187
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "VTI",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  },
  "actions": [
    {
      "id": "rebalance",
      "fired": false,
      "status": "skipped"
    }
  ]
}

max offset sma

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Information, not investment advice. Rules answer from the latest completed daily session; forecasts are probabilities. Actions ran as dry runs: nothing was sent. More in Individuals: Active day trader, Swing trader, Options trader, Dividend investor, Long-term passive investor, Crypto trader, FX trader, Commodities trader, Social trading community, Students and universities.

Create an account Open the Playground Everything here also lives in the console, next to your keys and usage.

Individuals

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Corporates

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Institutions

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When does PG go ex-dividend?

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Is NFLX drifting higher after its earnings beat?

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What it means

Is TQQQ too volatile to hold this week?

State

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Answers

Actions

What it means

A Monday rebalance nudge for a two-fund portfolio

State

Questions

Answers

Actions

What it means