Model

VC / growth investor: 20 ways to use Ora

Public growth comps, IPO windows and the health of listed portfolio companies. Each example is a complete, runnable request with the real answers it returned (41 requests, captured 2026-10-31), what they mean and, where it fits, the action it would send.

Run withAnswers were captured on ora-fin-0.1.1. Another model changes the request JSON and the Playground link; run it there to see its answers.

Rule functions and facts used by this player (48)

sma 16 max 9 offset 8 log 4 roc 4 sqrt 4 std 4 ema 3 ref 3 atr 3 revenue_growth_yoy 2 beat_eps_last 2 beat_revenue_last 2 beats_last4 1 days_to_earnings 1 crossup 1 adx 1 swinghigh 1 swinglow 1 linreg 1 cum 1 highestbars 1 obv 1 sign 1 sum 1 abs 1 eps_surprise_pct 1 last_earnings_gap 1 last_earnings_move 1 pre_earnings_close 1 inverted_hammer 1 macd 1 macdsignal 1 morning_star 1 stochd 1 stochk 1 three_white_soldiers 1 inside_bar 1 lowest 1 min 1 spinning_top 1 tweezer_bottom 1 avg 1 hl2 1 mean 1 ohlc4 1 rec 1 zscore 1

Examples 11–20 of 20 · page 2 of 2

VC / growth investor · example 11

Is NOW's momentum broad or a single spike?

A best-in-class software comp: check whether the advance is steady.

ora-fin-0.1.1NOW5 questions

StateNOW
Questions5 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actionsnone

State

{"symbol":"NOW"} The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`cum`	rule	`cum(C > C[-1]) > cum(C < C[-1])` More up days than down days in the whole history
`sign`	rule	`sum(sign(C - C[-1]), 20) > 2` Up days outnumber down days by more than 2 in 20 sessions
`obv`	rule	`obv() > sma(obv(), 20)` On-balance volume above its 20-day average
`highbars`	rule	`highestbars(H, 60) <= 5` 60-day high set within the last 5 sessions
`rally5`	forecast	Will it rally at least 5% at some point in the next month? A 5% rally within a month

Answers

Question	Answer	Reading
`cum` More up days than down days in the whole history	0.9463	true
`sign` Up days outnumber down days by more than 2 in 20 sessions	0.45	on the line (false)
`obv` On-balance volume above its 20-day average	0.0598	false
`highbars` 60-day high set within the last 5 sessions	0.55	on the line (true)
`rally5` A 5% rally within a month	0.675	68% · likely

What it means

For NOW on the session of 2026-10-30: True now: More up days than down days in the whole history. Not true: On-balance volume above its 20-day average. On the line: Up days outnumber down days by more than 2 in 20 sessions; 60-day high set within the last 5 sessions. Forecasts: A 5% rally within a month 68%.

Steady up days with a fresh high describe a healthy comp; a single spike day reads as less durable.

Request JSON

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "NOW"
  },
  "questions": {
    "cum": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "cum(C > C[-1]) > cum(C < C[-1])"
    },
    "sign": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "sum(sign(C - C[-1]), 20) > 2"
    },
    "obv": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "obv() > sma(obv(), 20)"
    },
    "highbars": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "highestbars(H, 60) <= 5"
    },
    "rally5": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will it rally at least 5% at some point in the next month?"
    }
  }
}

Response JSON (NOW, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "cum": {
      "yes_no": 0.9463,
      "rule": "cum(C > C[-1]) > cum(C < C[-1])",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "sign": {
      "yes_no": 0.45,
      "rule": "sum(sign(C - C[-1]), 20) > 2",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "obv": {
      "yes_no": 0.0598,
      "rule": "obv() > sma(obv(), 20)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "highbars": {
      "yes_no": 0.55,
      "rule": "highestbars(H, 60) <= 5",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "rally5": {
      "yes_no": 0.675
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "NOW",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  }
}

cum highestbars obv offset sign sma sum

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VC / growth investor · example 12

Consumer internet comps: AMZN, NFLX, EBAY, SNAP

For a consumer app round, check how listed consumer internet names trade.

ora-fin-0.1.14 symbols, one request each3 questions

State4 symbols
Questions3 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actionsnone

State

{"symbol":"AMZN"} then NFLX, EBAY, SNAP, one request each. The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`trend`	English → rule	Is the stock above its 200-day moving average?
`dd`	rule	`C < 0.8 * max(H, 252)` More than 20% off the 52-week high
`beat`	English → rule	Did revenue beat estimates last quarter?

Answers

Symbol	`trend`rule	`dd`rule	`beat`rule
`AMZN`	0.3073	0.0947	0.1409
`NFLX`	0.0537	0.9463	0.8591
`EBAY`	0.9463	0.0537	0.8591
`SNAP`	0.3858	0.9463	0.8591

true false not known for rules; forecasts are odds. Hover a column for its question.

What it means

Session of 2026-10-30, 4 symbols: Is the stock above its 200-day moving average: true for EBAY of 4. More than 20% off the 52-week high: true for NFLX, SNAP of 4. Did revenue beat estimates last quarter: true for NFLX, EBAY, SNAP of 4.

Leaders trending while smaller names sit in drawdowns says the market pays for scale, which matters for an early-stage exit path.

Request JSON (AMZN; the others differ only in the symbol)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "AMZN"
  },
  "questions": {
    "trend": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Is the stock above its 200-day moving average?"
    },
    "dd": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C < 0.8 * max(H, 252)"
    },
    "beat": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Did revenue beat estimates last quarter?"
    }
  }
}

Response JSON (AMZN, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "trend": {
      "yes_no": 0.3073,
      "rule": "C > sma(C, 200)",
      "basis": "comparison"
    },
    "dd": {
      "yes_no": 0.0947,
      "rule": "C < 0.8 * max(H, 252)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "beat": {
      "yes_no": 0.1409,
      "rule": "beat_revenue_last > 0.5",
      "basis": "pattern"
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "AMZN",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  }
}

beat_revenue_last max sma

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VC / growth investor · example 13

How did CRM's last report land?

The partner on a SaaS board wants the read on the largest comp's last quarter before a board meeting.

ora-fin-0.1.1CRM6 questions

StateCRM
Questions6 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actionsnone

State

{"symbol":"CRM"} The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`beat`	English → rule	Did the stock beat EPS estimates last quarter?
`surprise`	English → rule	Did EPS beat estimates by more than 5% last quarter?
`move`	English → rule	Was the last earnings reaction bigger than 5%?
`gap`	English → rule	Did the stock gap up after its last earnings?
`above_pre`	rule	`C > pre_earnings_close` Holding above the pre-earnings close
`beat_next`	forecast	Will the stock beat earnings next quarter? Beating earnings next quarter

Answers

Question	Answer	Reading
`beat` Did the stock beat EPS estimates last quarter compiled to `beat_eps_last > 0.5`	0.8591	true
`surprise` Did EPS beat estimates by more than 5% last quarter compiled to `eps_surprise_pct > 5`	0.9463	true
`move` Was the last earnings reaction bigger than 5% compiled to `abs(last_earnings_move) > 5`	0.9463	true
`gap` Did the stock gap up after its last earnings compiled to `last_earnings_gap > 0`	0.9463	true
`above_pre` Holding above the pre-earnings close	0.8829	true
`beat_next` Beating earnings next quarter	0.548	55% · close to even

What it means

For CRM on the session of 2026-10-30: True now: Did the stock beat EPS estimates last quarter; Did EPS beat estimates by more than 5% last quarter; Was the last earnings reaction bigger than 5%; Did the stock gap up after its last earnings; Holding above the pre-earnings close. Forecasts: Beating earnings next quarter 55%.

A beat that sold off says the bar is about guidance, which is useful framing for a portfolio company's own plan.

Request JSON

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "CRM"
  },
  "questions": {
    "beat": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Did the stock beat EPS estimates last quarter?"
    },
    "surprise": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Did EPS beat estimates by more than 5% last quarter?"
    },
    "move": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Was the last earnings reaction bigger than 5%?"
    },
    "gap": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Did the stock gap up after its last earnings?"
    },
    "above_pre": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C > pre_earnings_close"
    },
    "beat_next": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will the stock beat earnings next quarter?"
    }
  }
}

Response JSON (CRM, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "beat": {
      "yes_no": 0.8591,
      "rule": "beat_eps_last > 0.5",
      "basis": "pattern"
    },
    "surprise": {
      "yes_no": 0.9463,
      "rule": "eps_surprise_pct > 5",
      "basis": "pattern"
    },
    "move": {
      "yes_no": 0.9463,
      "rule": "abs(last_earnings_move) > 5",
      "basis": "pattern"
    },
    "gap": {
      "yes_no": 0.9463,
      "rule": "last_earnings_gap > 0",
      "basis": "pattern"
    },
    "above_pre": {
      "yes_no": 0.8829,
      "rule": "C > pre_earnings_close",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "beat_next": {
      "yes_no": 0.548
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "CRM",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  }
}

abs beat_eps_last eps_surprise_pct last_earnings_gap last_earnings_move pre_earnings_close

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VC / growth investor · example 14

Semiconductor cycle turn signals for a hardware fund

Hardware investments are cyclical; look for bottoming candles and momentum turns in SOXX.

ora-fin-0.1.1SOXX6 questions

StateSOXX
Questions6 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actionsnone

State

{"symbol":"SOXX"} The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`morning`	rule	`morning_star()` morning star candle: A red bar, a small bar (half its body or less) that stays under its close, then a green bar closing above the middle of the first.
`soldiers`	rule	`three_white_soldiers()` three white soldiers candle: Three green bars, each closing higher and opening inside the previous body.
`inverted`	rule	`inverted_hammer()` inverted hammer candle: Shooting-star shape after a five-bar decline.
`stoch`	rule	`stochk(14) > stochd(14)` Stochastic %K above %D
`macd_x`	English → rule	Did MACD cross above its signal line today?
`rally5`	forecast	Will it rally at least 5% at some point in the next month? A 5% rally within a month

Answers

Question	Answer	Reading
`morning` morning star candle: A red bar, a small bar (half its body or less) that stays under its close, then a green bar closing above the middle of the first.	0.0599	false
`soldiers` three white soldiers candle: Three green bars, each closing higher and opening inside the previous body.	0.0537	false
`inverted` inverted hammer candle: Shooting-star shape after a five-bar decline.	0.0537	false
`stoch` Stochastic %K above %D	0.4207	on the line (false)
`macd_x` Did MACD cross above its signal line today compiled to `(macd(C) > macdsignal(C)) and (ref(macd(C), -1) <= ref(macdsignal(C), -1))`	0.2359	false
`rally5` A 5% rally within a month	0.769	77% · likely

What it means

For SOXX on the session of 2026-10-30: Not true: morning star candle: A red bar, a small bar (half its body or less) that stays under its close, then a green bar closing above the middle of the first.; three white soldiers candle: Three green bars, each closing higher and opening inside the previous body.; inverted hammer candle: Shooting-star shape after a five-bar decline.; Did MACD cross above its signal line today. On the line: Stochastic %K above %D. Forecasts: A 5% rally within a month 77%.

Bottoming candles with a MACD cross are early, not proof; the fund watches for the trend rules to follow.

Request JSON

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "SOXX"
  },
  "questions": {
    "morning": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "morning_star()"
    },
    "soldiers": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "three_white_soldiers()"
    },
    "inverted": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "inverted_hammer()"
    },
    "stoch": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "stochk(14) > stochd(14)"
    },
    "macd_x": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Did MACD cross above its signal line today?"
    },
    "rally5": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will it rally at least 5% at some point in the next month?"
    }
  }
}

Response JSON (SOXX, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "morning": {
      "yes_no": 0.0599,
      "rule": "morning_star()",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "soldiers": {
      "yes_no": 0.0537,
      "rule": "three_white_soldiers()",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "inverted": {
      "yes_no": 0.0537,
      "rule": "inverted_hammer()",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "stoch": {
      "yes_no": 0.4207,
      "rule": "stochk(14) > stochd(14)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "macd_x": {
      "yes_no": 0.2359,
      "rule": "(macd(C) > macdsignal(C)) and (ref(macd(C), -1) <= ref(macdsignal(C), -1))",
      "basis": "comparison"
    },
    "rally5": {
      "yes_no": 0.769
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "SOXX",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  }
}

inverted_hammer macd macdsignal morning_star ref stochd stochk three_white_soldiers

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VC / growth investor · example 15

Rates and growth valuations: TLT versus ARKK

Long-duration growth equity is rate sensitive; read the bond trend next to the growth fund trend.

ora-fin-0.1.12 symbols, one request each4 questions

State2 symbols
Questions4 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actionsnone

State

{"symbol":"TLT"} then ARKK, one request each. The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`trend`	English → rule	Is the stock above its 50-day moving average?
`mom`	rule	`roc(C, 20) > 5` Up more than 5% in 20 sessions
`ema`	rule	`C > ema(C, 100)` Above the 100-day exponential average
`up_week`	forecast	Will the stock be higher in a week? Higher in a week

Answers

Symbol	`trend`rule	`mom`rule	`ema`rule	`up_week`forecast
`TLT`	0.8482	0.6397	0.5694	0.561
`ARKK`	0.101	0.0701	0.21	0.505

true false not known for rules; forecasts are odds. Hover a column for its question.

What it means

Session of 2026-10-30, 2 symbols: Is the stock above its 50-day moving average: true for TLT of 2. Up more than 5% in 20 sessions: true for TLT of 2. Above the 100-day exponential average: true for none of 2. Highest odds for “Higher in a week”: TLT at 56%.

Bonds and growth rising together point to falling discount rates, a tailwind for growth valuations.

Request JSON (TLT; the others differ only in the symbol)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "TLT"
  },
  "questions": {
    "trend": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Is the stock above its 50-day moving average?"
    },
    "mom": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "roc(C, 20) > 5"
    },
    "ema": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C > ema(C, 100)"
    },
    "up_week": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will the stock be higher in a week?"
    }
  }
}

Response JSON (TLT, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "trend": {
      "yes_no": 0.8482,
      "rule": "C > sma(C, 50)",
      "basis": "comparison"
    },
    "mom": {
      "yes_no": 0.6397,
      "rule": "roc(C, 20) > 5",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "ema": {
      "yes_no": 0.5694,
      "rule": "C > ema(C, 100)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "up_week": {
      "yes_no": 0.561
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "TLT",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  }
}

ema roc sma

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VC / growth investor · example 16

Recent listing check: is a new issue holding its gains?

A peer company listed recently; check whether it holds above its early range or has broken down.

ora-fin-0.1.1SMCI6 questions

StateSMCI
Questions6 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actionsnone

State

{"symbol":"SMCI"} The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`range_top`	English → rule	Is the stock in the top 10% of its 20-day range?
`breakdown`	rule	`C < lowest(L, 20)` Closed under the 20-day low
`tweezer`	rule	`tweezer_bottom()` tweezer bottom candle: Red then green, with lows within 0.1% of each other.
`spin`	rule	`spinning_top()` spinning top candle: Small body (10–30% of range) with wicks of at least a quarter of the range on both sides.
`inside`	rule	`inside_bar()` inside bar candle: Today's high and low are inside yesterday's (equal counts).
`drop10`	forecast	Will it drop at least 10% at some point in the next month? A 10% drawdown within a month

Answers

Question	Answer	Reading
`range_top` Is the stock in the top 10% of its 20-day range compiled to `(C - min(L, 20)) / (max(H, 20) - min(L, 20)) >= 0.9`	0.0557	false
`breakdown` Closed under the 20-day low	0.2515	false
`tweezer` tweezer bottom candle: Red then green, with lows within 0.1% of each other.	0.0556	false
`spin` spinning top candle: Small body (10–30% of range) with wicks of at least a quarter of the range on both sides.	0.2503	false
`inside` inside bar candle: Today's high and low are inside yesterday's (equal counts).	0.0746	false
`drop10` A 10% drawdown within a month	0.752	75% · likely

What it means

For SMCI on the session of 2026-10-30: Not true: Is the stock in the top 10% of its 20-day range; Closed under the 20-day low; tweezer bottom candle: Red then green, with lows within 0.1% of each other.; spinning top candle: Small body (10–30% of range) with wicks of at least a quarter of the range on both sides.; inside bar candle: Today's high and low are inside yesterday's (equal counts).. Forecasts: A 10% drawdown within a month 75%.

A new issue in the top of its range tells bankers the follow-on window is open for similar companies.

Request JSON

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "SMCI"
  },
  "questions": {
    "range_top": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Is the stock in the top 10% of its 20-day range?"
    },
    "breakdown": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C < lowest(L, 20)"
    },
    "tweezer": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "tweezer_bottom()"
    },
    "spin": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "spinning_top()"
    },
    "inside": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "inside_bar()"
    },
    "drop10": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will it drop at least 10% at some point in the next month?"
    }
  }
}

Response JSON (SMCI, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "range_top": {
      "yes_no": 0.0557,
      "rule": "(C - min(L, 20)) / (max(H, 20) - min(L, 20)) >= 0.9",
      "basis": "pattern"
    },
    "breakdown": {
      "yes_no": 0.2515,
      "rule": "C < lowest(L, 20)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "tweezer": {
      "yes_no": 0.0556,
      "rule": "tweezer_bottom()",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "spin": {
      "yes_no": 0.2503,
      "rule": "spinning_top()",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "inside": {
      "yes_no": 0.0746,
      "rule": "inside_bar()",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "drop10": {
      "yes_no": 0.752
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "SMCI",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  }
}

inside_bar lowest max min spinning_top tweezer_bottom

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VC / growth investor · example 17

Secondary sale timing on a listed stake: PANW

The fund plans to sell part of a listed stake; prefer strength with good liquidity.

ora-fin-0.1.1PANW5 questions2 actions

StatePANW
Questions5 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actions2 rules · dry run

State

{"symbol":"PANW"} The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`liquid`	rule	`avg(C * V, 20) > 100000000` Trades more than $100 million a day
`trend`	rule	`C > ema(C, 20) and ema(C, 20) > sma(C, 50) and sma(C, 50) > sma(C, 200)` Stacked averages: close > 20 EMA > 50 > 200
`ext`	English → rule	Is price extended more than 2 ATR above its 20-day average?
`near_high`	rule	`C >= 0.98 * max(H, 252)` Within 2% of the 52-week high
`drop5`	forecast	Will it drop at least 5% at some point in the next month? A 5% drawdown within a month

Answers

Question	Answer	Reading
`liquid` Trades more than $100 million a day	0.9463	true
`trend` Stacked averages: close > 20 EMA > 50 > 200	0.2318	false
`ext` Is price extended more than 2 ATR above its 20-day average compiled to `C - sma(C, 20) > 2 * atr(14)`	0.0666	false
`near_high` Within 2% of the 52-week high	0.0617	false
`drop5` A 5% drawdown within a month	0.727	73% · likely

Actions

Rules on the answers decide what to send.

trend >= 0.6 and liquid >= 0.6 and ext < 0.5→Webhookzapier-lp-reporting

else→Slackpartners

What each action would send 1 of 2 fired · dry run, nothing sent

sell_windowrule false: skipped

waitwould send (dry run)Slack → partners

{
  "text": "PANW (2026-10-30): sale window not open (trend 23%, stretched 7%)."
}

What it means

For PANW on the session of 2026-10-30: True now: Trades more than $100 million a day. Not true: Stacked averages: close > 20 EMA > 50 > 200; Is price extended more than 2 ATR above its 20-day average; Within 2% of the 52-week high. Forecasts: A 5% drawdown within a month 73%. Fired: wait (Slack → partners).

A trending, liquid, not-stretched stock opens the window and logs it for LP reporting; otherwise the partners get a hold note.

Request JSON

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "PANW"
  },
  "questions": {
    "liquid": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "avg(C * V, 20) > 100000000"
    },
    "trend": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C > ema(C, 20) and ema(C, 20) > sma(C, 50) and sma(C, 50) > sma(C, 200)"
    },
    "ext": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Is price extended more than 2 ATR above its 20-day average?"
    },
    "near_high": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C >= 0.98 * max(H, 252)"
    },
    "drop5": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will it drop at least 5% at some point in the next month?"
    }
  },
  "actions": [
    {
      "id": "sell_window",
      "when": "trend >= 0.6 and liquid >= 0.6 and ext < 0.5",
      "do": "webhook",
      "connection": "zapier-lp-reporting",
      "body": {
        "event": "sale_window_open",
        "symbol": "{{symbol}}",
        "p_trend": "{{trend}}",
        "p_liquid": "{{liquid}}",
        "p_drop5": "{{drop5}}",
        "as_of": "{{as_of}}"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "wait",
      "when": "else",
      "do": "slack",
      "connection": "partners",
      "message": "{{symbol}} ({{as_of}}): sale window not open (trend {{trend|pct}}, stretched {{ext|pct}})."
    }
  ],
  "dry_run": true
}

Response JSON (PANW, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "liquid": {
      "yes_no": 0.9463,
      "rule": "avg(C * V, 20) > 100000000",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "trend": {
      "yes_no": 0.2318,
      "rule": "C > ema(C, 20) and ema(C, 20) > sma(C, 50) and sma(C, 50) > sma(C, 200)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "ext": {
      "yes_no": 0.0666,
      "rule": "C - sma(C, 20) > 2 * atr(14)",
      "basis": "pattern"
    },
    "near_high": {
      "yes_no": 0.0617,
      "rule": "C >= 0.98 * max(H, 252)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "drop5": {
      "yes_no": 0.727
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "PANW",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  },
  "actions": [
    {
      "id": "sell_window",
      "fired": false,
      "status": "skipped"
    },
    {
      "id": "wait",
      "fired": true,
      "status": "dry_run",
      "do": "slack",
      "connection": "partners",
      "preview": {
        "text": "PANW (2026-10-30): sale window not open (trend 23%, stretched 7%)."
      }
    }
  ]
}

atr avg ema max sma

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VC / growth investor · example 18

Emerging-market tech comps: KWEB, TSM, BABA

For a fund investing in Asia, check the listed tech names that set public comparables.

ora-fin-0.1.13 symbols, one request each3 questions

State3 symbols
Questions3 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actionsnone

State

{"symbol":"KWEB"} then TSM, BABA, one request each. The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`trend`	English → rule	Is the stock above its 200-day moving average?
`mom`	rule	`C > C[-63]` Higher than three months ago
`dd`	rule	`C < 0.8 * max(H, 252)` More than 20% off the 52-week high

Answers

Symbol	`trend`rule	`mom`rule	`dd`rule
`KWEB`	0.0537	0.0537	0.9463
`TSM`	0.7124	0.5387	0.1622
`BABA`	0.0537	0.0541	0.9463

true false not known for rules; forecasts are odds. Hover a column for its question.

What it means

Session of 2026-10-30, 3 symbols: Is the stock above its 200-day moving average: true for TSM of 3. Higher than three months ago: true for none of 3. More than 20% off the 52-week high: true for KWEB, BABA of 3.

Asian tech in an uptrend supports regional exit plans; drawdowns push exits toward US listings or trade sales.

Request JSON (KWEB; the others differ only in the symbol)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "KWEB"
  },
  "questions": {
    "trend": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Is the stock above its 200-day moving average?"
    },
    "mom": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C > C[-63]"
    },
    "dd": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C < 0.8 * max(H, 252)"
    }
  }
}

Response JSON (KWEB, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "trend": {
      "yes_no": 0.0537,
      "rule": "C > sma(C, 200)",
      "basis": "comparison"
    },
    "mom": {
      "yes_no": 0.0537,
      "rule": "C > C[-63]",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "dd": {
      "yes_no": 0.9463,
      "rule": "C < 0.8 * max(H, 252)",
      "basis": "rule"
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "KWEB",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  }
}

max offset sma

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VC / growth investor · example 19

Smoothed growth trend on QQQ for the quarterly letter

The quarterly LP letter describes the public backdrop; use slow, smoothed filters so the description does not flip each week.

ora-fin-0.1.1QQQ5 questions

StateQQQ
Questions5 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actionsnone

State

{"symbol":"QQQ"} The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`rec`	rule	`C > rec(C, self + 0.02 * (C - self))` Above a slow recursive trend line
`ohlc`	rule	`ohlc4() > sma(ohlc4(), 50)` Average bar price above its 50-day average
`hl2`	rule	`hl2() > mean(hl2(), 100)` Bar midpoint above its 100-day mean
`trend`	rule	`sma(C, 200) > ref(sma(C, 200), -20)` The 200-day average is rising
`up_week`	forecast	Will the stock be higher in a week? Higher in a week

Answers

Question	Answer	Reading
`rec` Above a slow recursive trend line	0.0976	false
`ohlc` Average bar price above its 50-day average	0.0674	false
`hl2` Bar midpoint above its 100-day mean	0.0819	false
`trend` The 200-day average is rising	0.9463	true
`up_week` Higher in a week	0.561	56% · close to even

What it means

For QQQ on the session of 2026-10-30: True now: The 200-day average is rising. Not true: Above a slow recursive trend line; Average bar price above its 50-day average; Bar midpoint above its 100-day mean. Forecasts: Higher in a week 56%.

Slow filters agreeing means the letter can describe the backdrop as an uptrend without hedging.

Request JSON

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "QQQ"
  },
  "questions": {
    "rec": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "C > rec(C, self + 0.02 * (C - self))"
    },
    "ohlc": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "ohlc4() > sma(ohlc4(), 50)"
    },
    "hl2": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "hl2() > mean(hl2(), 100)"
    },
    "trend": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "sma(C, 200) > ref(sma(C, 200), -20)"
    },
    "up_week": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will the stock be higher in a week?"
    }
  }
}

Response JSON (QQQ, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "rec": {
      "yes_no": 0.0976,
      "rule": "C > rec(C, self + 0.02 * (C - self))",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "ohlc": {
      "yes_no": 0.0674,
      "rule": "ohlc4() > sma(ohlc4(), 50)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "hl2": {
      "yes_no": 0.0819,
      "rule": "hl2() > mean(hl2(), 100)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "trend": {
      "yes_no": 0.9463,
      "rule": "sma(C, 200) > ref(sma(C, 200), -20)",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "up_week": {
      "yes_no": 0.561
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "QQQ",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  }
}

hl2 mean ohlc4 rec ref sma

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VC / growth investor · example 20

Volatility gate before pricing a growth round

Rounds priced during market stress get repriced later; check volatility first.

ora-fin-0.1.1QQQ4 questions2 actions

StateQQQ
Questions4 asked
Answersreal, captured
Actions2 rules · dry run

State

{"symbol":"QQQ"} The server fills in the latest completed session.

Questions

`atr`	English → rule	Is the 14-day ATR less than 2% of the price?
`vol5`	English → rule	Is 5-day volatility higher than 20-day volatility?
`shock`	rule	`zscore(C / C[-1] - 1, 20) < -2` A two-sigma down day
`vol_up`	forecast	Will volatility be higher over the next month? Higher volatility next month

Answers

Question	Answer	Reading
`atr` Is the 14-day ATR less than 2% of the price compiled to `atr(14) / C < 0.02`	0.824	true
`vol5` Is 5-day volatility higher than 20-day volatility compiled to `std(log(C / C[-1]), 5) * sqrt(5 / 4) > std(log(C / C[-1]), 20) * sqrt(20 / 19)`	0.9069	true
`shock` A two-sigma down day	0.6278	true
`vol_up` Higher volatility next month	0.523	52% · close to even

Actions

Rules on the answers decide what to send.

atr >= 0.6 and shock < 0.5→Emailme

else→Emailme

What each action would send 1 of 2 fired · dry run, nothing sent

calmrule false: skipped

stressedwould send (dry run)Email → me

{
  "subject": "Pricing backdrop stressed (2026-10-30)",
  "text": "QQQ volatility elevated (5d over 20d 91%, shock 63%). Consider structure over headline price."
}

What it means

For QQQ on the session of 2026-10-30: True now: Is the 14-day ATR less than 2% of the price; Is 5-day volatility higher than 20-day volatility; A two-sigma down day. Forecasts: Higher volatility next month 52%. Fired: stressed (Email → me).

A stressed backdrop is a reason to negotiate structure rather than headline valuation.

Request JSON

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "state": {
    "symbol": "QQQ"
  },
  "questions": {
    "atr": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Is the 14-day ATR less than 2% of the price?"
    },
    "vol5": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Is 5-day volatility higher than 20-day volatility?"
    },
    "shock": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "ask": "zscore(C / C[-1] - 1, 20) < -2"
    },
    "vol_up": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will volatility be higher over the next month?"
    }
  },
  "actions": [
    {
      "id": "calm",
      "when": "atr >= 0.6 and shock < 0.5",
      "do": "email",
      "connection": "me",
      "subject": "Pricing backdrop calm ({{as_of}})",
      "message": "QQQ ATR under 2% ({{atr|pct}}), no return shock. Higher vol next month: {{vol_up|pct}}."
    },
    {
      "id": "stressed",
      "when": "else",
      "do": "email",
      "connection": "me",
      "subject": "Pricing backdrop stressed ({{as_of}})",
      "message": "QQQ volatility elevated (5d over 20d {{vol5|pct}}, shock {{shock|pct}}). Consider structure over headline price."
    }
  ],
  "dry_run": true
}

Response JSON (QQQ, real)

{
  "model": "ora-fin-0.1.1",
  "answers": {
    "atr": {
      "yes_no": 0.824,
      "rule": "atr(14) / C < 0.02",
      "basis": "pattern"
    },
    "vol5": {
      "yes_no": 0.9069,
      "rule": "std(log(C / C[-1]), 5) * sqrt(5 / 4) > std(log(C / C[-1]), 20) * sqrt(20 / 19)",
      "basis": "pattern"
    },
    "shock": {
      "yes_no": 0.6278,
      "rule": "zscore(C / C[-1] - 1, 20) < -2",
      "basis": "rule"
    },
    "vol_up": {
      "yes_no": 0.523
    }
  },
  "context": {
    "symbol": "QQQ",
    "as_of": "2026-10-30"
  },
  "actions": [
    {
      "id": "calm",
      "fired": false,
      "status": "skipped"
    },
    {
      "id": "stressed",
      "fired": true,
      "status": "dry_run",
      "do": "email",
      "connection": "me",
      "preview": {
        "subject": "Pricing backdrop stressed (2026-10-30)",
        "text": "QQQ volatility elevated (5d over 20d 91%, shock 63%). Consider structure over headline price."
      }
    }
  ]
}

atr log offset sqrt std zscore

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Information, not investment advice. Rules answer from the latest completed daily session; forecasts are probabilities. Actions ran as dry runs: nothing was sent. More in Buy side: Financial advisor / RIA, Wealth manager, Family office, Hedge fund PM, Quant researcher, Portfolio manager (long-only), Risk manager, Private equity, Fund-of-funds allocator.

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